Krylia Sovetov vs Zenit Saint Petersburg: Premier League prediction
Krylia Sovetov
Zenit Saint PetersburgMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (1) 1.3 won
- Yellow cards: Total Under (5.5) 1.39 lost
Match result
Krylia Sovetov 0:3 Zenit Saint Petersburg (0:1, 0:2)
In the Russia Premier League, Zenit Saint Petersburg defeated Krylia Sovetov with a final score of 0:3. The match recorded period scores of 0:1 and 0:2. Our prediction for an away win (W2) was successful, and the bet won.
Our prediction: W2 at 1.6 — the bet won.
Our prediction: Half 2: Total Over (1) at 1.3 — the bet won.
Krylia Sovetov host Zenit Saint Petersburg at Samara Arena on November 2 in Round 13 of the Russia Premier League. Zenit are second, one point behind Dynamo Moscow with a game in hand; seventh-placed Krylia have 15 points and can move above Orenburg with a win.
Krylia: recovery meets a weaker home record
Recent results
Krylia followed a 1:1 draw with Spartak and defeats against Baltika and Fakel with successive 2:0 wins over Rubin and Dynamo Makhachkala. Across those five fixtures they scored six and conceded five. Their latest league win came away; at home, their league record is one win, two draws and three defeats, with seven goals scored and 12 conceded.
Strengths and weaknesses
- Six draws in 12 league matches show how often their games remain unresolved.
- BTTS has landed in eight league fixtures, against only three clean sheets.
- Six league matches exceeded 2.5 goals, fewer than Zenit's total.
Personnel and approach
First-choice goalkeeper Sergey Pesyakov is out with an unspecified injury. Nikita Kokarev, Nikolay Rasskazov and Fernando Costanza are expected back in the starting side after brief rests. Martin Kramaric has two goals in two listed appearances. The coaching staff favour compact defending and quick transitions; Sergey Bulatov wants greater home productivity and says the team owe their supporters a better return.
- Dynamo Makhachkalahome2:0
- Rubin Kazanaway2:0
- Fakel Voronezhhome1:2
- Baltika Kaliningradhome0:2
- Spartak Moscowhome1:1
Zenit: prolific away, still conceding chances
Momentum across competitions
Zenit won all five of their latest fixtures, scoring 13 and conceding seven. That run includes 3:2 victories over Krasnodar, Akhmat and, most recently, Baltika, plus wins against Dynamo Makhachkala in both competitions. They scored at least twice in every match but kept only one clean sheet.
The balance of their league campaign
- Nine wins and three defeats have produced 27 points, with no draws.
- Five wins from six away fixtures come with a 15:6 aggregate score.
- Nine of 12 league matches went Over 2.5; BTTS occurred in six.
- Five league clean sheets accompany averages of 2.25 goals scored and 1.08 conceded.
Returning options and absences
Alexander Erokhin remains unavailable and Pedro is doubtful through illness. Alexander Sobolev, Mantuan and Igor Diveev have rejoined group training; Wendel is training with the squad and Sergey Semak hopes he will be ready. Maksim Glushenkov has three goals in three listed appearances.
- Baltika Kaliningradaway3:2
- Dynamo Makhachkalahome2:0
- Akhmathome3:2
- Dynamo Makhachkalaaway2:1
- Krasnodaraway3:2
Previous meetings favour the visitors
Zenit have won nine of the 14 official meetings over five years, with three draws and two Krylia victories. The four listed encounters in Samara ended in two draws and two Zenit wins. Their most recent meeting was a 1:0 away cup victory in August, so this fixture has not consistently followed the visitors' higher-scoring recent pattern.
- 19.08.2026Krylia Sovetov0:1Zenit Saint PetersburgRussian Cup (Group Stage)
- 04.04.2026Zenit Saint Petersburg2:1Krylia SovetovRussia. Premier League
- 09.11.2025Krylia Sovetov1:1Zenit Saint PetersburgRussia. Premier League
- 01.12.2024Zenit Saint Petersburg2:3Krylia SovetovRussia. Premier League
- 20.07.2024Krylia Sovetov0:4Zenit Saint PetersburgRussia. Premier League
Recovery time shapes the preparation
Semak has prioritised recovery after the flight from Kaliningrad and says returning players have strengthened his available squad. He also praised Krylia's football this season. Glushenkov has emphasised helping the team rather than chasing individual goals. Both clubs last played on October 29, leaving the same calendar interval before this league fixture, although Zenit also have that recent travel to absorb.
Line-ups
Krylia Sovetov
Starting XI: 2. Kirill Pechenin, 4. Yuri Gorshkov, 8. Maksim Vityugov, 11. Amar Rahmanovic, 14. Nikita Saltykov, 15. Nikolay Rasskazov, 22. Fernando Peixoto Costanza, 23. Nikita Chernov, 47. Sergey Bozhin, 72. Dani Fernandez, 80. Nikita Kokarev
Substitutes: 3. Thomas Ignacio Galdames, 5. Alois Oroz, 7. Mihajlo Banjac, 17. Islam Chesnokov, 18. Ivan Lepskii, 20. Kirill Stolbov, 39. Yevgeni Frolov, 67. Kazbek Mukailov, 73. Vladislav Shitov, 77. Denis Makarov, 78. Denis Malikov, 97. Ilzat Akhmetov
Coach: Sergey Bulatov
Zenit Saint Petersburg
Starting XI: 3. Douglas Santos de Melo, 5. Wilmar Barrios, 7. Alexander Sobolev, 10. Maksim Glushenkov, 11. Luiz Henrique, 14. Jhonatan dos Santos Rosa, 25. Kevin Andrade, 31. Gustavo Mantuan, 33. Marcilio Florencio Mota Filho, 57. Bogdan Moskvichev, 93. Artem Karpukas
Substitutes: 8. Marcus Wendel Valle da Silva, 9. Felipe Augusto, 15. Vyacheslav Karavayev, 16. Denis Adamov, 20. Pedro Henrique Silva dos Santos, 28. Nuraly Alip, 38. Amir Musaev, 51. Vadim Shilov, 61. Daniil Kondakov, 66. Roman Vega, 78. Igor Diveev, 96. Maxim Zaitsev
Coach: Sergei Semak
Our prediction
Our pick is W2 at 1.6. Zenit’s away record is the strongest reason to back them in Samara: five wins in six league trips, with 15 goals scored and six conceded. Krylia have won just once in six home league matches, conceding 12 goals while scoring seven. That gap makes the visitors better equipped to take three points, even after the hosts’ recent improvement.
Squad availability also strengthens Zenit’s options: according to media reports, Sobolev, Mantuan and Diveev have returned to group training, while Wendel is working with the team but still awaits confirmation of his readiness. Krylia will be without first-choice goalkeeper Pesyakov. The main risk is Zenit’s defence: they conceded in four of their last five matches, so a clean sheet is less convincing than their ability to outscore the hosts. Predicted score: 1:2.
Final verdict
W2 at 1.6 is our selection: Zenit’s away scoring rate matches up well against Krylia’s home defensive record. Backing the visitors to win does not require them to shut out a home side that has won its last two matches.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Dynamo Makhachkalahome2:0
- Rubin Kazanaway2:0
- Fakel Voronezhhome1:2
- Baltika Kaliningradhome0:2
- Spartak Moscowhome1:1
- Baltika Kaliningradaway3:2
- Dynamo Makhachkalahome2:0
- Akhmathome3:2
- Dynamo Makhachkalaaway2:1
- Krasnodaraway3:2
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dynamo Moscow | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 21:12 | 28 |
| 2 | Zenit Saint Petersburg | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 27:13 | 27 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 21:12 | 26 |
| 8 | Orenburg | 13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 14:12 | 17 |
| 9 | Krylia Sovetov | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 17:17 | 15 |
| 10 | Rubin Kazan | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13:18 | 15 |
Head-to-head
- 19.08.2026Krylia Sovetov0:1Zenit Saint PetersburgRussian Cup (Group Stage)
- 04.04.2026Zenit Saint Petersburg2:1Krylia SovetovRussia. Premier League
- 09.11.2025Krylia Sovetov1:1Zenit Saint PetersburgRussia. Premier League
- 01.12.2024Zenit Saint Petersburg2:3Krylia SovetovRussia. Premier League
- 20.07.2024Krylia Sovetov0:4Zenit Saint PetersburgRussia. Premier League
About the match
- 2 November · 10:00 New York
- Venue: Samara Arena (Samara), Samara
Odds
odds before kick-off
A clear favourite, a closer goals assessment
Zenit are the market favourite with a 61.5% away-win probability, compared with 21.6% for a draw and 16.9% for a home win. The visitors' away record helps explain that separation, while Krylia's recent clean sheets contrast with their season-long home defensive return.
Over 2.5 carries a 57.7% probability and BTTS 54.7%, making the goals assessment less decisive than the result market. None of the listed markets has moved noticeably over the past 24 hours; there is no recorded late shift towards either team.
Our prediction
- Market
- W2
- Odds
- 1.6
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 62%
- Market estimate
- 63%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.6
- Potential win
- 60 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.52
- Status
- won
- Profit
- +60 $