Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow: Russian Premier League Match Prediction
Krasnodar
CSKA MoscowKrasnodar host CSKA Moscow at Ozon Arena on 7 November in Round 14 of the Premier League. The hosts are fifth with 23 points, three behind third-placed CSKA. Victory would bring Krasnodar level with their visitors; CSKA are four points behind leaders Zenit.
Krasnodar: defensive gaps and missing players
Recent results and home record
Krasnodar have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five matches across competitions. Their latest outing ended in a 2:1 defeat at Rodina, following a cup win over Dynamo Moscow. At home in the league, they have three wins, two draws and one defeat, with nine goals scored and seven conceded.
Attacking output versus defensive exposure
- They have scored in four of their last five matches but conceded in all five.
- Their league return is 21 goals scored and 16 conceded: attacking output exceeds defensive security.
- BTTS has occurred in nine of 13 league games, with Over 2.5 goals in seven.
- Four league clean sheets underline how rarely they have shut opponents out.
Availability and key contributors
Lucas Olaza and Aleksandr Chernikov are suspended for accumulating four yellow cards. Nikita Krivtsov, Artyom Khmarin and Grigory Lovtsov are injured, removing options in defence and midfield. Jhon Cordoba has three goals and one assist in four listed appearances; Bachiessa has two of each.
- Rodina Moscowaway1:2
- Dynamo Moscowhome2:1
- Baltika Kaliningradhome1:1
- Lokomotiv Moscowaway3:3
- Fakel Voronezhhome0:2
CSKA Moscow: stronger protection, mixed away returns
Momentum and travel form
CSKA have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five fixtures. They followed victories over Spartak and Lokomotiv with a goalless draw at Orenburg. Their league away record is two wins, two draws and one defeat, with eight goals scored and seven conceded.
Where the balance differs
- CSKA match Krasnodar's league scoring total but have conceded four fewer goals.
- Five league clean sheets include shutouts in their two latest league matches.
- BTTS has landed in eight of 13 league fixtures, and Over 2.5 goals in seven.
- Their last two away outings produced one goal and no wins, contrasting with three recent home victories.
Absences and attacking options
Dmitry Barinov, Milan Gajic and Moises will miss the match through injury. Ivan Oblyakov has two goals and one assist in four listed appearances; Danil Krugovoy has one goal and two assists over the same span. Tamerlan Musaev has one goal in three appearances.
- Orenburgaway0:0
- Lokomotiv Moscowhome3:1
- Spartak Moscowhome2:0
- Dynamo Moscowaway1:3
- Rostovhome4:0
Head-to-head: a narrow overall edge for CSKA
Across 13 official meetings in five years, CSKA have six wins to Krasnodar's five, with two draws. The latest eight produced 22 goals, but only four featured BTTS. Krasnodar won the two most recent home meetings 3:2 and 4:0: that venue-specific record differs sharply from the overall balance.
- 17.03.2026Krasnodar4:0CSKA MoscowRussian Cup (Regions Path (Play-off))
- 04.03.2026CSKA Moscow3:1KrasnodarRussian Cup (Regions Path (Play-off))
- 03.02.2026CSKA Moscow3:2KrasnodarClub Friendlies
- 07.12.2025Krasnodar3:2CSKA MoscowRussia. Premier League
- 31.08.2025CSKA Moscow1:1KrasnodarRussia. Premier League
Preparation and pressure before kickoff
CSKA coach Dmitry Igdisamov expects emotion and provocation, while saying a full preparation cycle should leave his players physically ready. He also believes Krasnodar have sufficient quality to replace their absentees. Cordoba has rejected talk of a crisis; Alexander Belsky argues that defeat could complicate the hosts' title pursuit.
Our Forecast
Krasnodar face CSKA Moscow at Ozon Arena with a three-point gap separating the teams in the table: the hosts have 23 points, while CSKA have 26. Our bet is Individual Total 1 Over (1) at 1.32. The selection is supported by Krasnodar’s 21 goals in 13 league matches, an average of 1.62 per game, and nine goals across six home fixtures. They have also scored in seven of their last eight official meetings with CSKA, including three goals and four goals in the two most recent victories.
The hosts have scored in four of their last five matches despite a seven-game winless run, while CSKA’s away league record includes seven goals conceded in five matches. Krasnodar will miss Lucas Olaza and Aleksandr Chernikov through suspension, plus Nikita Krivtsov, Artem Khmarin and Grigory Lovtsov through injury, according to media reports. Those absences weaken the defensive and central areas; Jhon Cordoba leads the team with three league goals. The most likely score is 2:1, which clears the required team total.
Conclusion
Individual Total 1 Over (1) is the preferred selection. Krasnodar’s home scoring rate, reliable record in this fixture at Ozon Arena and defensive gaps on both sides point toward at least one goal from the hosts.
FAQ
When does Krasnodar — CSKA Moscow kick off?
The match starts on 07.11.2026 at 11:30 (New York), Ozon Arena (Krasnodar).
What is the prediction for Krasnodar — CSKA Moscow?
Our pick is Individual Total 1 Over (1) at 1.32.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Krasnodar win — 46%, draw — 26%, CSKA Moscow win — 28%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Rodina Moscowaway1:2
- Dynamo Moscowhome2:1
- Baltika Kaliningradhome1:1
- Lokomotiv Moscowaway3:3
- Fakel Voronezhhome0:2
- Orenburgaway0:0
- Lokomotiv Moscowhome3:1
- Spartak Moscowhome2:0
- Dynamo Moscowaway1:3
- Rostovhome4:0
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 21:12 | 28 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 21:12 | 26 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 25:10 | 26 |
| 5 | Krasnodar | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 21:16 | 23 |
| 6 | Rostov | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:17 | 18 |
Head-to-head
- 17.03.2026Krasnodar4:0CSKA MoscowRussian Cup (Regions Path (Play-off))
- 04.03.2026CSKA Moscow3:1KrasnodarRussian Cup (Regions Path (Play-off))
- 03.02.2026CSKA Moscow3:2KrasnodarClub Friendlies
- 07.12.2025Krasnodar3:2CSKA MoscowRussia. Premier League
- 31.08.2025CSKA Moscow1:1KrasnodarRussia. Premier League
About the match
- 7 November · 11:30 New York
- Venue: Ozon Arena (Krasnodar), Krasnodar
- Weather: 5° · precip. 25% · wind 1.7 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 06.11 11:40
Market view: home advantage without heavy favouritism
Krasnodar are the 1X2 favourites at 45.7%, below an outright majority; CSKA stand at 28.4% and the draw at 25.9%. The goals markets lean towards BTTS at 57.7% and Over 2.5 goals at 54%, rather than a strongly high-scoring assessment. None of the listed markets has shown meaningful movement over the past 24 hours.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 1 Over (1)
- Current odds
- 1.32
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 71%
- Market estimate
- 71%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match
