Akron Tolyatti vs Dynamo Moscow: Russia Premier League Match Prediction
Akron Tolyatti
Dynamo MoscowMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (1) 1.35 pending
- Yellow cards: Total Under (4.5) 1.29 pending
Akron host Dynamo Moscow at Samara Arena on 24 October in Round 12 of the Premier League. The immediate stakes are defending first place for Dynamo and improving a narrow cushion near the bottom for Akron.
Akron: home defence under pressure
Recent results and scoring
Akron’s last five matches brought two wins, one draw and two defeats. That sequence includes a friendly defeat at Krylia Sovetov and a cup win at Lokomotiv, so it should not be treated as a league-only trend. Their latest league outing ended level at Dynamo Makhachkala.
Strengths and weaknesses
- Six draws in 11 league games show an ability to stay competitive, but only one victory limits their points return.
- At home, Akron have scored five and conceded 12 across five matches, losing three.
- Only two league clean sheets expose the defensive weakness; BTTS and Over 2.5 goals have each occurred six times.
Availability and attacking options
Aleksa Djurasovic is out following knee surgery, and left winger Yuriy Zheleznov is unavailable with a thigh strain. Defender Vyacheslav Bardybakhin is doubtful after being substituted with discomfort on 17 October. Roberto Fernandez Toro has one listed league goal and Slobodan Tedic one assist, both across two appearances.
- Dynamo Makhachkalaaway1:1
- Lokomotiv Moscowaway2:1
- Rostovaway0:1
- Krylia Sovetovaway0:4
- Akhmathome2:0
Dynamo: leadership built on defensive control
A productive recent sequence
Dynamo have won all five listed recent fixtures. The sequence includes a friendly against Rodina; the latest competitive result was a 3:1 victory over CSKA. Their two listed recent league trips produced wins at Rostov and Rubin without conceding.
The season’s strongest indicators
- Eight wins and one draw have delivered 25 points from 11 league matches.
- Nine goals conceded and five clean sheets contrast sharply with Akron’s defensive record.
- Away form is less commanding: three wins and two defeats, with six goals scored and five conceded.
- Over 2.5 goals has occurred in seven league games, but BTTS in only five.
Personnel and selection
Defensive midfielder Aleksandr Kutitsky is unavailable with a hamstring injury. Konstantin Tyukavin, Roberto Fernandez and Viktor Okishor each have one goal in the supplied player records, although their appearance totals are limited.
- CSKA Moscowhome3:1
- Akhmataway2:1
- Rubin Kazanaway1:0
- Rodina Moscowhome3:2
- Rostovaway3:0
Previous meetings favour the visitors narrowly
Dynamo have won three of the five official meetings over the last five years, with Akron winning twice and no draws. Dynamo also won both listed league visits to Akron, most recently 3:2 in April.
- 18.07.2026Akron Tolyatti0:1Dynamo MoscowClub Friendlies
- 13.04.2026Akron Tolyatti2:3Dynamo MoscowRussia. Premier League
- 08.11.2025Dynamo Moscow1:2Akron TolyattiRussia. Premier League
- 18.05.2025Dynamo Moscow2:1Akron TolyattiRussia. Premier League
- 03.08.2024Akron Tolyatti0:2Dynamo MoscowRussia. Premier League
Coaches focus on response and confidence
Akron coach Srdjan Blagojevic said he was dissatisfied with the latest draw because his side had targeted victory. Dynamo’s Sandro Schwarz praised his players’ mentality after beating CSKA, while Tyukavin said that result increased confidence. The club’s general director has publicly backed Schwarz.
Our pick: protection against the draw
Our bet is Handicap 2 (0) 1.25. Dynamo’s eight wins in 11 league games contrast with Akron’s single victory and 14th place. The clearest matchup advantage is against the hosts’ home defence: Akron have conceded 12 goals in five home fixtures, while Dynamo have won three of five away games. The visitors can exploit that weakness without needing a high-scoring contest.
The draw protection matters because Akron have drawn six league matches this season: a level finish returns the stake. According to media reports, Akron are missing holding midfielder Aleksa Djurasovic and winger Yuriy Zheleznov, with defender Vyacheslav Bardybakhin doubtful; Dynamo are without Aleksandr Kutitskiy. Akron’s absences affect both midfield protection and attacking options. A likely score is 1:2.
Final betting verdict
Handicap 2 (0) 1.25 backs Dynamo’s stronger league results while allowing for Akron’s tendency to draw. It offers a more cautious route than relying on an away win alone; an Akron victory would lose the bet.
FAQ
When does Akron Tolyatti — Dynamo Moscow kick off?
The match starts on 24.10.2026 at 05:45 (New York), Samara Arena (Samara).
What is the prediction for Akron Tolyatti — Dynamo Moscow?
Our pick is Handicap 2 (0) at 1.25.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Akron Tolyatti win — 18%, draw — 23%, Dynamo Moscow win — 58%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Dynamo Makhachkalaaway1:1
- Lokomotiv Moscowaway2:1
- Rostovaway0:1
- Krylia Sovetovaway0:4
- Akhmathome2:0
- CSKA Moscowhome3:1
- Akhmataway2:1
- Rubin Kazanaway1:0
- Rodina Moscowhome3:2
- Rostovaway3:0
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dynamo Moscow | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18:9 | 25 |
| 2 | Zenit Saint Petersburg | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 25:13 | 24 |
| 13 | Akhmat | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15:17 | 11 |
| 14 | Akron Tolyatti | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12:20 | 9 |
| 15 | Fakel Voronezh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8:19 | 6 |
Head-to-head
- 18.07.2026Akron Tolyatti0:1Dynamo MoscowClub Friendlies
- 13.04.2026Akron Tolyatti2:3Dynamo MoscowRussia. Premier League
- 08.11.2025Dynamo Moscow1:2Akron TolyattiRussia. Premier League
- 18.05.2025Dynamo Moscow2:1Akron TolyattiRussia. Premier League
- 03.08.2024Akron Tolyatti0:2Dynamo MoscowRussia. Premier League
About the match
- 24 October · 05:45 New York
- Venue: Samara Arena (Samara), Samara
- Weather: 10° · precip. 0% · wind 1.8 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 23.10 06:00
Market separates the result from the goal outlook
Dynamo are clear favourites, with a margin-adjusted away-win probability of 58.2%. The line has shown no notable movement over the past 24 hours. Goals markets are more evenly balanced: Over 2.5 goals is assessed at 54.5% and BTTS at 53.5%. That distinction fits a stronger visiting side whose away scoring rate is lower than its overall league average, facing hosts with a vulnerable home defence.
Our prediction
- Market
- Handicap 2 (0)
- Current odds
- 1.25
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 75%
- Market estimate
- 75%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.25
- Potential win
- 25 $
- Status
- pending