Premier League forecast: Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace
Tottenham Hotspur
Crystal PalaceTottenham host Crystal Palace in London on 31 October in Premier League round 9. Spurs are 14th with 9 points; Palace sit 17th on 7. Both need points to move clear of the bottom three.
Tottenham: recovery meets a weaker home record
Recent results and scoring patterns
Spurs followed defeats to Liverpool and Aston Villa with a draw at Manchester United, then victories over Coventry and Chelsea. They scored in all five games. Their latest result, 2:0 at Chelsea, was their only clean sheet in that sequence.
Where the balance lies
- At home in the league: 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with 5 goals scored and 6 conceded.
- Across eight league matches: 8 scored and 10 conceded.
- BTTS and Over 2.5 each occurred in 3 of 8 league fixtures; Spurs kept 3 clean sheets.
Personnel and attacking contributions
Dominic Solanke has a goal and an assist in three league appearances; James Maddison and Mathys Tel have one goal each. Harry Winks, Erik Lamela and Michel Vorm are unavailable. Danny Rose has resumed training after three months.
- Chelseaaway2:0
- Coventry Cityhome3:1
- Manchester Unitedaway1:1
- Aston Villahome2:3
- Liverpoolaway1:3
Palace: a cup response after league setbacks
Results across competitions
Palace's last five matches brought one win, one draw and three defeats. Their latest outing was a 1:0 League Cup victory at Fulham. Their last two league matches ended in defeats: 5:0 at Brighton and 2:0 at home to Newcastle.
Defensive pressure away from home
- Four league away games have yielded 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with 3 goals scored and 9 conceded.
- They have conceded 19 goals in eight league matches and kept only 1 clean sheet.
- Over 2.5 occurred in 5 of 8 league games and BTTS in 4; eight matches remain a small sample.
Absences and the goalkeeper's return
Ismaila Sarr, Takehiro Tomiyasu, Jorgen Strand Larsen, Quinten Timber, Jason Tomkins and Scott Dann are injured and unavailable. Dean Henderson returned for the cup tie. Jefferson Lerma, Yeremy Pino and Daichi Kamada each have one league goal.
- Fulhamaway1:0
- Newcastle Unitedhome0:2
- Besiktasaway2:2
- Brighton & Hove Albionaway0:5
- Lyonaway2:3
Head-to-head: overall advantage, recent home defeats
Tottenham have won 6 of the 9 official meetings over five years, with Palace winning 3 and no draws. Palace won their two latest visits, 2:0 in May 2025 and 3:1 in March 2026.
- 05.03.2026Tottenham Hotspur1:3Crystal PalaceEngland. Premier League
- 28.12.2025Crystal Palace0:1Tottenham HotspurEngland. Premier League
- 11.05.2025Tottenham Hotspur0:2Crystal PalaceEngland. Premier League
- 27.10.2024Crystal Palace1:0Tottenham HotspurEngland. Premier League
- 02.03.2024Tottenham Hotspur3:1Crystal PalaceEngland. Premier League
Preparation time and the manager's assessment
Tottenham have at least three extra training days before this fixture. Roberto De Zerbi praised individual performances and the collective display against Chelsea, highlighting a different attitude and stronger relationships late in the match. His assessment concerns that performance, rather than an improvement in Tottenham's home record.
Our prediction: Spurs to take the points
Our pick is W1 1.71. Tottenham's two successive league wins carry more weight here when paired with at least three extra days of preparation. Palace played in the cup on 28 October, leaving less time to recover and organise a defence that has conceded 19 goals in eight league games. Spurs should have more scope to sustain pressure against that back line.
Palace are without Ismaila Sarr, Jorgen Strand-Larsen, Takehiro Tomiyasu and Quinten Timber through injury. Dean Henderson's return helps, but does not repair the outfield shortages. Tottenham's one win in four home league matches argues against treating this as a certainty; the stronger case is the combination of fresher legs and a depleted opponent. Predicted score: 2:1.
Final verdict
W1 1.71 is the selection, with preparation time and Palace's absences outweighing Tottenham's uneven home record. The case is for a narrow home win rather than a comfortable margin.
FAQ
When does Tottenham Hotspur — Crystal Palace kick off?
The match starts on 31.10.2026 at 13:30 (New York), Tottenham Hotspur (London).
What is the prediction for Tottenham Hotspur — Crystal Palace?
Our pick is W1 at 1.71.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Tottenham Hotspur win — 58%, draw — 23%, Crystal Palace win — 19%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Chelseaaway2:0
- Coventry Cityhome3:1
- Manchester Unitedaway1:1
- Aston Villahome2:3
- Liverpoolaway1:3
- Fulhamaway1:0
- Newcastle Unitedhome0:2
- Besiktasaway2:2
- Brighton & Hove Albionaway0:5
- Lyonaway2:3
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bournemouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 9 |
| 14 | Tottenham Hotspur | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 15 | Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 16 | Manchester United | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | 7 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:19 | 7 |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | 6 |
Head-to-head
- 05.03.2026Tottenham Hotspur1:3Crystal PalaceEngland. Premier League
- 28.12.2025Crystal Palace0:1Tottenham HotspurEngland. Premier League
- 11.05.2025Tottenham Hotspur0:2Crystal PalaceEngland. Premier League
- 27.10.2024Crystal Palace1:0Tottenham HotspurEngland. Premier League
- 02.03.2024Tottenham Hotspur3:1Crystal PalaceEngland. Premier League
About the match
- 31 October · 13:30 New York
- Venue: Tottenham Hotspur (London)
Odds
Odds updated 31.10 06:40
Market confidence and the direction of support
Tottenham are the 1X2 favourites at a margin-adjusted 60.5%, against 22% for the draw and 17.5% for Palace. Over the last 24 hours, support has shifted from the hosts towards the visitors, while the draw has remained stable.
Over 2.5 carries a 58.3% assessment and BTTS 55.8%, with neither market showing notable movement. Both exceed Tottenham's season frequencies, while Palace's concession rate supports the higher goal expectation. The teams' scoring patterns do not offer a shared basis for either goals bet.
Our prediction
- Market
- W1
- Current odds
- 1.71
- Odds at prediction
- 1.63
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 63%
- Market estimate
- 58%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match
