Premier League Prediction: Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
Manchester CityNottingham Forest host Manchester City at the City Ground on 7 November in Premier League round 10. Forest are 19th with 6 points, one behind 18th-placed Crystal Palace; City are second, three points behind Arsenal.
Forest: home attack yet to deliver
Recent results and scoring weaknesses
Forest have taken one point from their last five matches, scoring twice and conceding eight. Their latest outing ended in a 2:0 defeat at Brentford. None of their six league goals has come at the City Ground.
- Four home league matches have produced one draw, three defeats and three goals conceded.
- Forest average 0.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per league match.
- BTTS (both teams to score) has occurred in four of nine league games, with Over 2.5 goals in three.
- Forest have kept one league clean sheet.
Jesus returns as Glasner seeks a response
Igor Jesus is ready after missing four matches through injury and training without restrictions over the past week, though a starting place is not confirmed. Oliver Glasner retains the players' support after discussing his public criticism following Brentford. The probable XI, formation and further absences remain unconfirmed.
- Brentfordaway0:2
- Ipswich Townaway1:1
- Arsenalhome0:1
- Crystal Palaceaway1:3
- Coventry Cityhome0:1
City: attacking output masks defensive gaps
Strong away returns, uneven recent form
City have won three and lost two of their last five matches across all competitions, scoring 12 and conceding eight. Wednesday's 3:2 victory at Leipzig followed consecutive league defeats against Aston Villa and Brighton. They scored in four of those five fixtures but conceded in every one.
- Three wins in four away league games have come with nine goals scored and three conceded.
- City average 2.22 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per league match.
- Six of nine league fixtures finished Over 2.5 goals; BTTS occurred in five.
- City have kept three league clean sheets.
Recovery and the principal attacking options
Erling Haaland has four league goals in four appearances; Jeremy Doku has one goal and one assist, while Phil Foden has one goal in three appearances. Enzo Maresca gave Haaland and several teammates three days off after the Villa defeat. He has also stressed Nico O'Reilly's recovery during the international break, without confirming a match absence. The probable XI and formation remain unconfirmed.
- RasenBallsport Leipzigaway3:2
- Brighton & Hove Albionhome0:1
- Brighton & Hove Albionhome3:2
- Aston Villaaway1:2
- AEK Athenshome5:1
Previous meetings favour City
City have won six of the nine official meetings over five years, with two draws and one Forest win. The latest encounter finished 2:2 in March 2026. Across eight meetings, City scored 14 goals to Forest's five, but only three produced Over 2.5 goals: City's advantage in results has not consistently translated into high totals.
- 04.03.2026Manchester City2:2Nottingham ForestEngland. Premier League
- 27.12.2025Nottingham Forest1:2Manchester CityEngland. Premier League
- 27.04.2025Nottingham Forest0:2Manchester CityEngland. FA Cup
- 08.03.2025Nottingham Forest1:0Manchester CityEngland. Premier League
- 04.12.2024Manchester City3:0Nottingham ForestEngland. Premier League
Managerial pressure and international selection
Forest's board continues to back Glasner despite criticism from supporters and the press; he says he needs sufficient authority to correct the situation. Foden has been omitted from England's forthcoming Nations League squad.
Our prediction
Our selection is Handicap 2 (0) 1.31. Manchester City occupy second place with 21 points from nine matches, including seven wins, and have scored 20 goals. Their away record is especially strong: three victories in four league trips, with 9 goals scored and only 3 conceded. Nottingham Forest are 19th with 6 points, have lost four of their last five matches in all competitions and have yet to win at home this league season.
The hosts have scored just 6 times in nine league fixtures, including 0 goals across their four home matches. City have conceded in each of their last five games, so the handicap protects the bet if the visitors draw, while their superior results, attacking figures and away record support a victory. The head-to-head record adds weight: Manchester City won six of the nine official meetings over the past five years.
Conclusion
Handicap 2 (0) 1.31 is the preferred option. Forest’s home attack has produced 0 goals in four league matches, while City’s away balance and 20-goal season total point to the visitors avoiding defeat.
FAQ
When does Nottingham Forest — Manchester City kick off?
The match starts on 07.11.2026 at 12:30 (New York), City Ground (Nottingham).
What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest — Manchester City?
Our pick is Handicap 2 (0) at 1.31.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Nottingham Forest win — 22%, draw — 23%, Manchester City win — 55%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Brentfordaway0:2
- Ipswich Townaway1:1
- Arsenalhome0:1
- Crystal Palaceaway1:3
- Coventry Cityhome0:1
- RasenBallsport Leipzigaway3:2
- Brighton & Hove Albionhome0:1
- Brighton & Hove Albionhome3:2
- Aston Villaaway1:2
- AEK Athenshome5:1
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Head-to-head
- 04.03.2026Manchester City2:2Nottingham ForestEngland. Premier League
- 27.12.2025Nottingham Forest1:2Manchester CityEngland. Premier League
- 27.04.2025Nottingham Forest0:2Manchester CityEngland. FA Cup
- 08.03.2025Nottingham Forest1:0Manchester CityEngland. Premier League
- 04.12.2024Manchester City3:0Nottingham ForestEngland. Premier League
About the match
- 7 November · 12:30 New York
- Venue: City Ground (Nottingham)
Odds
Odds updated 06.11 12:40
City favoured, but confidence has softened
The 1X2 market assigns City a 55.4% chance of victory, Forest 21.5% and the draw 23.1%. Over the past 24 hours, support for an away win has weakened while the draw has gained support; Forest's position is broadly unchanged.
Over 2.5 goals carries a 57.9% probability and BTTS 57.7%, with support for both increasing. Forest's scoreless home record makes BTTS the less convincing of the two bets.
Our prediction
- Market
- Handicap 2 (0)
- Current odds
- 1.31
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 72%
- Market estimate
- 72%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match
