Liverpool vs Arsenal: Premier League Match Prediction
Liverpool
ArsenalMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (1) 1.4 lost
- Yellow cards: Total Under (5) 1.25 lost
Match result
Liverpool 0:1 Arsenal (0:1, 0:0)
In the England. Premier League match, Liverpool faced Arsenal, resulting in a final score of 0:1. The period scores were 0:1 in the first half and 0:0 in the second half. Following this outcome, our prediction of Handicap 2 (0) won.
Our prediction: Handicap 2 (0) at 1.82 — the bet won.
Our prediction: Half 2: Total Over (1) at 1.4 — the bet lost.
Liverpool host Arsenal at Anfield on 1 November in Premier League round nine. Liverpool are fourth on 15 points, six behind leaders Manchester City, who are level with second-placed Arsenal. The hosts can narrow the gap; Arsenal are defending their position in the title race.
Liverpool: winning momentum, uneven home returns
Recent form and scoring patterns
Liverpool have won their last five matches across all competitions. They beat Brentford, Villarreal, Brighton and Chelsea after scoring six at LASK. Their latest league outing was a 2:0 win over Brighton.
Strengths and weaknesses
- Liverpool have kept four league clean sheets in eight matches.
- At home in the league, they have one win, two draws and one defeat, scoring four and conceding five.
Personnel and preparation
Alexander Isak has two league goals in two appearances, while Bradley Barcola has two assists in three. Virgil van Dijk has called for concentration and a willingness to embrace major challenges.
- Chelseahome2:1
- Brighton & Hove Albionhome2:0
- Villarrealhome4:3
- Brentfordaway2:1
- LASK Linzaway6:3
Arsenal: league efficiency meets attacking doubts
Results and defensive balance
Arsenal's last five games brought three wins, a draw and a defeat. They beat Lille and Nottingham Forest, drew at Bayern Munich, beat Everton, then lost 2:1 at Fleetwood Town in the League Cup.
The strongest and weakest indicators
- Arsenal have seven wins from eight league games; their only dropped points came in defeat.
- They have kept five league clean sheets and conceded five goals.
- Three wins in four away league fixtures have come with four goals scored and three conceded.
Availability before the trip
Max Dowman is suspended after his red-card appeal was rejected. Riccardo Calafiori and Declan Rice have resumed training, but their availability is unconfirmed. Noni Madueke's ankle injury requires assessment; Bukayo Saka needs further examination despite improvement, and Christos Tzolis remains doubtful following a thigh problem. These doubts limit attacking options. Arsenal's probable XI and formation remain unconfirmed.
- Fleetwood Townaway1:2
- Evertonhome2:0
- Bayern Munichaway2:2
- Nottingham Forestaway1:0
- Lille OSChome3:0
Previous meetings favour Liverpool's record
Across 13 competitive meetings in five years, Liverpool have five wins to Arsenal's two, alongside six draws. The latest eight produced 23 goals, with BTTS in five. The two most recent encounters were a 1:0 Liverpool home win and a goalless draw at Arsenal. Four Anfield meetings produced three draws and one home victory.
- 08.01.2026Arsenal0:0LiverpoolEngland. Premier League
- 31.08.2025Liverpool1:0ArsenalEngland. Premier League
- 11.05.2025Liverpool2:2ArsenalEngland. Premier League
- 27.10.2024Arsenal2:2LiverpoolEngland. Premier League
- 31.07.2024Liverpool2:1ArsenalClub Friendlies
Arteta sets an assertive brief
Mikel Arteta says Arsenal must arrive aiming to “cause problems” and leave with victory. His team played their cup tie on 27 October, one day before Liverpool's, giving the visitors an extra day between fixtures.
Line-ups
Liverpool
Starting XI: 1. Alisson Ramses Becker, 4. Virgil van Dijk, 5. Jeremy Jacquet, 6. Milos Kerkez, 7. Florian Wirtz, 9. Alexander Isak, 10. Alexis Mac Allister, 18. Cody Gakpo, 29. Bradley Barcola, 33. Ronald Araujo, 42. Trey Nyoni
Substitutes: 2. Joe Gomez, 3. Wataru Endo, 8. Dominik Szoboszlai, 21. Konstantinos Tsimikas, 23. Victor Munoz, 25. Giorgi Mamardashvili, 38. Ryan Gravenberch, 67. Lewis Koumas, 73. Rio Ngumoha
Coach: Andoni Iraola
Arsenal
Starting XI: 1. David Raya, 6. Magalhaes Gabriel, 8. Martin Odegaard, 12. Jurrien Timber, 15. Ezri Konsa, 17. Christos Tzolis, 20. Noni Madueke, 29. Kai Havertz, 33. Riccardo Calafiori, 39. Bruno Guimaraes, 41. Declan Rice
Substitutes: 3. Cristhian Mosquera, 4. Ben White, 5. Piero Hincapie, 10. Eberechi Eze, 13. Kepa Arrizabalaga, 14. Viktor Gyokeres, 23. Mikel Merino, 36. Martin Zubimendi Ibanez, 49. Myles Lewis-Skelly
Coach: Mikel Arteta
Before the match
Liverpool host Arsenal at Anfield in fifth place with 15 points from eight matches, six behind Manchester City. Arsenal are second with 21 points, level with the leaders. Liverpool have won five consecutive matches, including a 2:1 victory over Chelsea on 28 October; Arsenal lost their latest match 1:2 away to Fleetwood Town in the League Cup.
Riccardo Calafiori and Declan Rice have returned to training. Bukayo Saka, Noni Madueke and Christos Tzolis remain doubtful. Max Dowman is suspended after his red-card appeal was rejected. Arteta has targeted victory at Anfield, while Virgil van Dijk has called for concentration.
Prediction
Our pick is Asian handicap: Arsenal (0) 1.82. Draw protection matters: six of the 13 competitive meetings over the last five years ended level. Arsenal have won seven of eight league matches, conceding five goals, and have three wins from four away league games, with three goals allowed.
Liverpool’s home league record is one win, two draws and one defeat, with five goals conceded in four games. Arsenal have five clean sheets in eight league fixtures to Liverpool’s four; BTTS (both teams to score) occurred in only two Arsenal league matches. The visitors also have an extra day of recovery after their cup match, although Saka’s possible absence would reduce their attacking options.
Expected score: 1:1, with Arsenal protected by the handicap.
Conclusion
Asian handicap: Arsenal (0) 1.82 is the pick: Arsenal’s stronger league and away records support backing them with the stake returned on a draw.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Chelseahome2:1
- Brighton & Hove Albionhome2:0
- Villarrealhome4:3
- Brentfordaway2:1
- LASK Linzaway6:3
- Fleetwood Townaway1:2
- Evertonhome2:0
- Bayern Munichaway2:2
- Nottingham Forestaway1:0
- Lille OSChome3:0
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 | Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | 14 |
Head-to-head
- 08.01.2026Arsenal0:0LiverpoolEngland. Premier League
- 31.08.2025Liverpool1:0ArsenalEngland. Premier League
- 11.05.2025Liverpool2:2ArsenalEngland. Premier League
- 27.10.2024Arsenal2:2LiverpoolEngland. Premier League
- 31.07.2024Liverpool2:1ArsenalClub Friendlies
About the match
- 1 November · 11:30 New York
- Venue: Anfield (Liverpool), Liverpulʹ
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market gives Arsenal a measured edge
The 1X2 market assigns Arsenal a 40.4% chance, Liverpool 31.8% and the draw 27.9%. Arsenal's edge falls short of majority confidence. The line has shown no notable movement over the past 24 hours.
Over 2.5 goals is priced at 50.3%, almost level with Under, while BTTS sits at 55.7%. Both teams have exceeded that goals threshold in four of eight league games, but BTTS has occurred in only three Liverpool fixtures and two Arsenal fixtures. Those league returns favour caution on BTTS at the market's assessment.
Our prediction
- Market
- Handicap 2 (0)
- Odds
- 1.82
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 52%
- Market estimate
- 54%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.82
- Potential win
- 82 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.77
- Status
- won
- Profit
- +82 $
