Hull City vs Brentford Match Prediction: Premier League
Hull City
BrentfordMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (1) 1.3 pending
- Yellow cards: Total Under (5) 1.25 pending
Hull City host Brentford at MKM Stadium in Premier League round 8. Hull are tenth on nine points; Brentford are sixth on ten. The hosts are seeking to end a winless run, while the visitors need a response to their first league defeat of the season.
Hull City: defensive structure under pressure
Recent form and home profile
Hull have two draws and three defeats in their last five matches. They scored in three of those games and conceded in all five. A 0:1 defeat at Fulham followed a 2:2 home draw with Everton and defeats against Sunderland and Newcastle. Their league record stands at two wins, three draws and two defeats, with eight goals scored and seven conceded.
At MKM Stadium, Hull are unbeaten in three league matches, with four goals for and two against. They have kept three clean sheets in seven league games. Sergej Jakirovic uses a back five with advancing wing-backs, deep positioning, active pressing and quick counterattacks. Set pieces offer another attacking route.
Strengths, weaknesses and personnel
Hull’s home league record comprises one win and two draws. Joe Gelhardt and Mouhamed Belkheir have each scored once in two appearances.
Robinio Vaz trained after an MRI found no damage. Mohamed-Ali Cho and Lucas Gourna-Douath also trained throughout the week and may return after missing two matches. Charlie Hughes, Nobel Mendy, Darko Gyabi, Jack Butland, Matt Targett, Ilias Ansa and long-term absentee Eliot Matazo are unavailable; Hugo Larsson remains doubtful. Oscar Zambrano and Kieran Dowell are suspended.
Jakirovic indicated that several positions may change after criticising Hull’s lack of aggression, contact and work on second balls against Fulham.
- Fulhamaway0:1
- Evertonhome2:2
- Newcastle Unitedaway1:2
- Chelseaaway2:2
- Sunderlandaway0:1
Brentford: more attacking production, altered midfield
Recent form and away profile
Brentford’s last five matches brought two wins, two draws and one defeat. They scored in all five. That sequence included a 3:0 home win over Chelsea, a 2:1 cup victory at Reading and draws at Bournemouth and Aston Villa. Their latest result was a 1:2 home defeat to Liverpool. Their league record is two wins, four draws and one defeat, with thirteen goals scored and eight conceded.
Away from home, Brentford have drawn all three league matches, scoring five goals and conceding five. BTTS and Over 2.5 goals have each landed in five of their seven league games. They average 1.86 league goals per match against Hull’s 1.14.
Squad news and tactical balance
Yehor Yarmoliuk and Vitaly Janelt are suspended after the Liverpool match, forcing Keith Andrews to change his midfield. Josh Dasilva, Kai Furo, Antoni Milambo and Kevin Schade are unavailable.
Yannick Schuster is fit to travel, Mikkel Damsgaard has returned after an ankle problem, and Nathan Collins and Mathias Jensen have progressed in recovery. Collins may receive minutes. Andrews described Hull as compact, cohesive and difficult to break down, stressing adaptability and improved chance creation. He also singled out Igor Thiago as a prominent player seeking greater goal output.
- Liverpoolhome1:2
- Aston Villaaway2:2
- Chelseahome3:0
- Readingaway2:1
- Bournemouthaway2:2
Head-to-head
- 01.02.2020Hull City1:5BrentfordEngland. Championship
- 17.08.2019Brentford1:1Hull CityEngland. Championship
- 23.02.2019Brentford5:1Hull CityEngland. Championship
- 15.12.2018Hull City2:0BrentfordEngland. Championship
- 06.05.2018Brentford1:1Hull CityEngland. Championship
Team news, motivation and tactical context
Hull’s winless run dates from the end of August. Jakirovic reported a sharper response in training after the Fulham performance. Returning players could widen his options, but absences disrupt a system built on organisation and transitions.
Brentford remained unbeaten through their first six league matches before losing to Liverpool. Hull’s compact shape and set-piece threat offer ways to restrict the visitors’ possession and attack them without committing numbers forward.
Our Prediction
Brentford have lost only once in the current Premier League campaign and have scored in all five of their latest matches. Hull City are winless in five, with three defeats and two draws, while conceding in each of those games. The hosts also face a much longer list of absences: Hughes, Mendy, Gyabi, Butland, Targett, Ansa and Matazo are out, while Zambrano and Dowell are suspended. According to media reports, Mohamed-Ali Cho and Lucas Gourna-Douat are ready to return, while Robinho Vaz has already returned and trained with the team, but the squad remains disrupted.
Our bet is Handicap 2 (0) за 1.28. This line protects the selection against a draw, which matters because Brentford have drawn all three away league matches. Their attacking output is stronger, with 13 goals in seven rounds compared with Hull’s eight, and their recent sequence contains goals in every game. Brentford will also need to adjust in midfield after the suspensions of Yarmoliuk and Janelt, so a clear away handicap is less attractive. The expected score is 1:2.
Conclusion
Handicap 2 (0) за 1.28 is the preferred selection. Brentford’s scoring consistency and Hull’s five-match winless run outweigh the visitors’ away-draw tendency and midfield absences.
FAQ
When does Hull City — Brentford kick off?
The match starts on 25.10.2026 at 10:00 (New York), MKM Stadium (Kingston upon Hull).
What is the prediction for Hull City — Brentford?
Our pick is Handicap 2 (0) at 1.28.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Hull City win — 20%, draw — 23%, Brentford win — 57%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Fulhamaway0:1
- Evertonhome2:2
- Newcastle Unitedaway1:2
- Chelseaaway2:2
- Sunderlandaway0:1
- Liverpoolhome1:2
- Aston Villaaway2:2
- Chelseahome3:0
- Readingaway2:1
- Bournemouthaway2:2
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 7 | Brentford | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13:8 | 10 |
| 8 | Leeds United | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 9 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 10 | Ipswich Town | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 11 | Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 12 | Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | 8 |
Head-to-head
- 01.02.2020Hull City1:5BrentfordEngland. Championship
- 17.08.2019Brentford1:1Hull CityEngland. Championship
- 23.02.2019Brentford5:1Hull CityEngland. Championship
- 15.12.2018Hull City2:0BrentfordEngland. Championship
- 06.05.2018Brentford1:1Hull CityEngland. Championship
About the match
- 25 October · 10:00 New York
- Venue: MKM Stadium (Kingston upon Hull), Kingston-apon-Khall
- Weather: 12° · precip. 0% · wind 10.3 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 25.10 02:10
Market view and available prices
The market makes Brentford favourites, assigning the away win a 55.6% probability, against 20.4% for Hull and 24% for the draw. The visitors’ greater scoring output supports that preference, but their away results and midfield suspensions limit the case for a stronger advantage. The 1X2 margin is 1.5%, with no notable line movement over the last twenty-four hours.
Over 2.5 goals carries a 56.9% market probability, while BTTS Yes is assessed at 56.7%. Brentford’s scoring pattern supports that goals-market lean; Hull’s lower-scoring home record is the counterweight, though it covers only three fixtures.
Our prediction
- Market
- Handicap 2 (0)
- Current odds
- 1.28
- Odds at prediction
- 1.27
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 74%
- Market estimate
- 73%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.27
- Potential win
- 27 $
- Status
- pending
