Fulham — Newcastle United Prediction: Premier League Match
Fulham
Newcastle UnitedFulham host Newcastle United at Craven Cottage on 7 November in Premier League round 10. The hosts sit 15th with 9 points, while their opponents are 13th. For the visitors, the immediate priority is to stop a run of two defeats across league and cup.
Fulham: tighter games, limited scoring
Recent form and home record
Fulham have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five matches. Their latest outing ended 1:1 at Aston Villa, but their four home fixtures have produced just one win, one draw and two losses.
Strengths and weaknesses in numbers
- Three clean sheets in nine league matches show some capacity to protect a narrow lead.
- Only nine league goals leave little room for defensive mistakes.
- Home scoring rises to six goals in four games, but seven conceded outweigh that return.
- Only three league fixtures have exceeded 2.5 goals; BTTS has occurred in five.
Availability and attacking options
Fulham have no injured players before this fixture. Oscar Bobb, Ryan Sessegnon and Alex Iwobi each have one league goal, with Sessegnon reaching that tally in two appearances.
- Aston Villaaway1:1
- Crystal Palacehome0:1
- Coventry Cityaway1:0
- Hull Cityhome1:0
- Ipswich Townaway1:2
Newcastle: away threat amid defensive losses
Results and travelling form
Newcastle have lost four of their last five matches. Their sole win in that sequence was 2:0 at Crystal Palace; they most recently lost 0:1 at home to Everton. Away league form is split between two wins and two defeats, with six goals for and eight against.
Where the balance breaks down
- Twelve league goals exceed Fulham's output, but 15 conceded leave a negative goal difference.
- Two clean sheets in nine league matches underline the difficulty of shutting opponents out.
- Five league games have gone Over 2.5, and five have featured BTTS.
Absences across the squad
Tino Livramento, William Osula, Joelinton, Dan Burn, Ewen Jaouen and Matias Fernandez-Pardo are unavailable through injury; Lewis Miley is doubtful. Jacob Ramsey is suspended. Osula's absence removes a player with one league goal, matching Sven Botman and Harvey Barnes.
- Evertonhome0:1
- Evertonaway1:3
- Crystal Palaceaway2:0
- Aston Villahome0:1
- Coventry Cityaway1:4
Past meetings favour Newcastle
Newcastle have won seven of the ten official meetings over the past five years, with Fulham taking three and none drawn. The latest meeting went Fulham's way, 2:0 at Craven Cottage in May 2026, so the longer head-to-head advantage contrasts with the most recent result.
- 24.05.2026Fulham2:0Newcastle UnitedEngland. Premier League
- 17.12.2025Newcastle United2:1FulhamEngland. League Cup
- 25.10.2025Newcastle United2:1FulhamEngland. Premier League
- 01.02.2025Newcastle United1:2FulhamEngland. Premier League
- 21.09.2024Fulham3:1Newcastle UnitedEngland. Premier League
Composure under scrutiny
Newcastle coach Matthias Jaissle has said his side lack composure when a result turns on one moment. According to media reports, players and supporters have also blamed poor results on insufficient recruitment and the coach's inexperience. No independent expert assessment of this fixture has been supplied.
Our Prediction
At Craven Cottage, Fulham have the clearer route to the required goal. The hosts scored in four of their last five matches and found the net in two of their last three home meetings with Newcastle. Their recent sequence includes wins over Hull City and Coventry City, while the 1:1 draw at Aston Villa showed they can still create chances away from home.
Our pick is Individual Total 1 Over (1) at 1.26. Fulham enter the match without injured players, whereas Newcastle are missing Dan Burn, Joelinton, William Osula and Jacob Ramsey, with Tino Livramento, Even Jauén and Mathias Fernandez-Pardo also unavailable; Lewis Miley remains doubtful. Newcastle have lost four of their last five games, conceded in four of those matches and scored only 4 goals across the sequence. Their league record also shows 15 goals conceded in 9 rounds, compared with Fulham’s 11. The bet wins with two or more Fulham goals and is refunded if they score exactly once.
Conclusion
Individual Total 1 Over (1) at 1.26 is the selection. Fulham’s recent scoring pattern at home combines with Newcastle’s defensive absences and four defeats in five matches to support at least one goal from the hosts, with a two-goal performance within reach.
FAQ
When does Fulham — Newcastle United kick off?
The match starts on 07.11.2026 at 10:00 (New York), Craven Cottage (London).
What is the prediction for Fulham — Newcastle United?
Our pick is Individual Total 1 Over (1) at 1.26.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Fulham win — 47%, draw — 25%, Newcastle United win — 28%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Aston Villaaway1:1
- Crystal Palacehome0:1
- Coventry Cityaway1:0
- Hull Cityhome1:0
- Ipswich Townaway1:2
- Evertonhome0:1
- Evertonaway1:3
- Crystal Palaceaway2:0
- Aston Villahome0:1
- Coventry Cityaway1:4
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Leeds United | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Newcastle United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich Town | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 | Coventry City | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | 9 |
Head-to-head
- 24.05.2026Fulham2:0Newcastle UnitedEngland. Premier League
- 17.12.2025Newcastle United2:1FulhamEngland. League Cup
- 25.10.2025Newcastle United2:1FulhamEngland. Premier League
- 01.02.2025Newcastle United1:2FulhamEngland. Premier League
- 21.09.2024Fulham3:1Newcastle UnitedEngland. Premier League
About the match
- 7 November · 10:00 New York
- Venue: Craven Cottage (London)
Odds
Odds updated 06.11 10:10
Market preference meets a low-scoring counterpoint
Fulham are the 1X2 favourites, although their margin-free win probability remains below half at 47.2%. Newcastle's stronger league position therefore does not translate into market favouritism. None of the supplied lines has moved noticeably over the past 24 hours.
The goals markets lean towards Over 2.5 and BTTS, the latter carrying a 59.6% probability. Newcastle's defensive record fits that view more closely than Fulham's recent results: four of the hosts' last five matches finished Under 2.5. With only nine league games played per side, seasonal scoring rates remain a small sample.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 1 Over (1)
- Current odds
- 1.26
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 75%
- Market estimate
- 74%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match
