Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United: Premier League Match Prediction
Crystal Palace
Newcastle UnitedMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (1) 1.25 pending
- Yellow cards: Total Under (5) 1.25 pending
Crystal Palace host Newcastle United at Selhurst Park on 25 October in Premier League round 8. Palace are 14th with seven points, one behind Newcastle in 11th. Both have two wins from seven league games.
Crystal Palace: goals at home, defensive problems
Recent results and home form
Palace have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last five matches across all competitions, including a friendly. A 2–2 draw at Besiktas on 22 October.
Their league home record is one win and two defeats, with six goals scored and eight conceded.
Attacking output versus defensive exposure
Palace have scored nine and conceded 17 in seven league matches. Over 2.5 goals has occurred five times and BTTS four times, with just one clean sheet. Their last league home game was a 3–1 win over Nottingham Forest, followed by a 5–0 defeat at Brighton. The league sample covers only seven games.
Players and selection
Jefferson Lerma, Yeremy Pino and Daichi Kamada each have one league goal in two appearances. Pierre Sage apologised to supporters after the Brighton defeat and said the team were below the expected level.
- Besiktasaway2:2
- Brighton & Hove Albionaway0:5
- Lyonaway2:3
- Nottingham Foresthome3:1
- Bristol Cityhome0:2
Newcastle United: away concessions undermine their attack
Form and preparation time
Newcastle have two wins and three defeats in their last five matches. They lost their last two games to Coventry and Aston Villa, the latter a 1–0 home defeat on 17 October.
Strengths and weaknesses in numbers
Newcastle scored in four of those five matches. Their league away record is one win and two defeats, with four goals scored and eight conceded; both recent league trips ended in 4–1 losses.
They have scored ten and conceded 14 in the league, with BTTS and Over 2.5 goals each occurring in five of seven matches. They have kept one clean sheet.
Personnel picture
Sven Botman has one league goal in two appearances, while Nicolas Gonzalez Iglesias has one assist in the same number of games. Bruno Guimaraes, now at Arsenal, has spoken about the emotion of leaving Newcastle last summer.
- Aston Villahome0:1
- Coventry Cityaway1:4
- Hull Cityhome2:1
- Leeds Unitedaway1:4
- Millwallaway1:0
Head-to-head: Newcastle lead, but not at Selhurst Park
Newcastle have won five of the ten official meetings over the last five years, Palace two, with three draws. Most recently, Palace won 2–1 in April 2026.
- 12.04.2026Crystal Palace2:1Newcastle UnitedEngland. Premier League
- 04.01.2026Newcastle United2:0Crystal PalaceEngland. Premier League
- 16.04.2025Newcastle United5:0Crystal PalaceEngland. Premier League
- 30.11.2024Crystal Palace1:1Newcastle UnitedEngland. Premier League
- 24.04.2024Crystal Palace2:0Newcastle UnitedEngland. Premier League
Managerial pressure frames the build-up
Sage has expressed doubt over whether he will be given time to save his job. No tactical response has been confirmed, and no match-specific expert opinions are available.
Our pick: Newcastle's scoring threshold
Our bet is Individual Total 2 Over (1) 1.3. Palace have conceded 17 goals in seven league fixtures and failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches across all competitions. The case rests on their repeated defensive failures rather than Newcastle needing to win at Selhurst Park.
The visitors have scored 10 league goals and found the net in four of their last five outings. Their four goals in three away league games warrant caution about expecting a large tally, but Palace have conceded eight in three home fixtures. Targeting Newcastle's goals avoids relying on an away victory when the visitors have conceded 14 themselves. No confirmed injury, suspension or lineup information is available to refine that assessment. A possible score is 2–2.
Betting conclusion
Individual Total 2 Over (1) 1.3 requires Newcastle to score twice for a winning bet, with exactly one goal returning the stake. That protection matters because the visitors' scoring record is more persuasive than their capacity to turn this trip into a win.
FAQ
When does Crystal Palace — Newcastle United kick off?
The match starts on 25.10.2026 at 10:00 (New York), Selhurst Park (London).
What is the prediction for Crystal Palace — Newcastle United?
Our pick is Individual Total 2 Over (1) at 1.3.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Crystal Palace win — 32%, draw — 26%, Newcastle United win — 41%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Besiktasaway2:2
- Brighton & Hove Albionaway0:5
- Lyonaway2:3
- Nottingham Foresthome3:1
- Bristol Cityhome0:2
- Aston Villahome0:1
- Coventry Cityaway1:4
- Hull Cityhome2:1
- Leeds Unitedaway1:4
- Millwallaway1:0
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 13 | Newcastle United | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | 8 |
| 14 | Manchester United | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:17 | 7 |
| 16 | Bournemouth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:13 | 6 |
Head-to-head
- 12.04.2026Crystal Palace2:1Newcastle UnitedEngland. Premier League
- 04.01.2026Newcastle United2:0Crystal PalaceEngland. Premier League
- 16.04.2025Newcastle United5:0Crystal PalaceEngland. Premier League
- 30.11.2024Crystal Palace1:1Newcastle UnitedEngland. Premier League
- 24.04.2024Crystal Palace2:0Newcastle UnitedEngland. Premier League
About the match
- 25 October · 10:00 New York
- Venue: Selhurst Park (London), London
- Weather: 13° · precip. 0% · wind 8.1 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 24.10 10:20
Market assessment: a narrow away preference
Newcastle are the 1X2 favourites, with a margin-free market probability of 41.3%, against 32.4% for Palace and 26.3% for the draw. The away-win probability remains below 50%. Neither the 1X2 market nor the goals markets have moved noticeably over the last 24 hours.
The goals markets assign 60.5% to Over 2.5 goals and 63.7% to BTTS. Recent league scoring records support that assessment, while the head-to-head scoring record is less supportive.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 2 Over (1)
- Current odds
- 1.3
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 73%
- Market estimate
- 73%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.3
- Potential win
- 30 $
- Status
- pending
