Arsenal vs Hull City: Premier League Match Prediction
Arsenal
Hull CityArsenal host Hull City at Emirates in the tenth round of the Premier League. The leaders have 24 points from nine matches; Hull are eleventh with 11, a gap of 13 points. Arsenal are defending first place, while Hull are trying to hold their mid-table position after a winless run.
Arsenal: control, efficiency and a short defensive list
Arsenal have 8 wins from 9 league matches, with 14 goals scored and 5 conceded. At home, they have won all 4 games, scoring 9 and conceding 2. Their last 5 matches in all competitions produced 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, with goals in every game. They have won their last two matches: 1:0 at Liverpool and 2:1 at Slavia Prague. Their only defeat in that stretch was 1:2 at Fleetwood Town in the League Cup.
What gives Arsenal the edge
- Six clean sheets in 9 league matches.
- BTTS (both teams to score) landed in only 2 of 9 league games.
- Only 4 of 9 league fixtures exceeded two total goals.
William Saliba is back in the squad after injury and was on the bench in the Champions League. Ezri Konsa is fit after being substituted in the Champions League. Bukayo Saka is out with a quadriceps injury, while Max Dowman serves the second game of a three-match Premier League ban. Arsenal’s starting eleven and formation are unconfirmed. Bruno Guimaraes, Gabriel Magalhaes and Konsa have each scored once in 4 league appearances.
- Slavia Pragueaway2:1
- Liverpoolaway1:0
- Fleetwood Townaway1:2
- Evertonhome2:0
- Bayern Munichaway2:2
Hull City: resilient draws, but too many defensive concessions
Hull have 2 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats in the league, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Their away record is one win, one draw and two defeats, with 4 goals scored and 5 conceded in 4 matches. They are winless in their last 5 games, with 3 draws and 2 defeats. Hull scored in 4 of those matches but conceded in all 5. Their latest result, 2:2 against Ipswich, was their second successive draw.
Hull’s route into the game
- BTTS landed in 5 of 9 league matches.
- Hull have kept 3 league clean sheets.
- Four of their 9 league games finished Over 2.5 goals.
Oliver McBurnie, Mouhamed Belkheir and Joe Gelhardt have each scored once; McBurnie also has one assist. Eliot Matazo, Matt Targett, Charlie Hughes, Darko Gyabi and Lucas Gourna-Douath are out, while Matt Crooks is suspended. Ilyas Ansah remains doubtful. Jack Butland has returned from injury and completed an under-21 match, but his starting place is unconfirmed. Hull’s final lineup and formation are also unconfirmed.
- Ipswich Townhome2:2
- Brentfordhome1:1
- Fulhamaway0:1
- Evertonhome2:2
- Newcastle Unitedaway1:2
Head-to-head
- 11.02.2017Arsenal2:0Hull CityEngland. Premier League
- 17.09.2016Hull City1:4ArsenalEngland. Premier League
- 08.03.2016Hull City0:4ArsenalFA Cup
- 20.02.2016Arsenal0:0Hull CityEngland. FA Cup
- 04.05.2015Hull City1:3ArsenalEngland. Premier League
Team news, motivation and the coaches’ assessment
Arsenal have won 18 of their last 19 Premier League matches against newcomers to the division. Declan Rice has spoken about Mikel Arteta’s influence and the need to justify Arsenal’s status as champions.
Hull coach Sergej Jakirovic describes Arsenal as one of the two best teams in the world and expects a very difficult match. He wants Hull to play aggressively, deny Arsenal space and provide more support for McBurnie. Sorba Thomas was involved in an accident near the training base.
Our prediction: Arsenal to score twice
Our pick is Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) 1.27. Arsenal have scored nine goals in four home matches, while Hull have conceded in all five of their latest matches. This makes the hosts’ scoring target more persuasive than a bet requiring a high combined total.
Hull’s absences weaken both defensive cover and protection from midfield: according to media reports, Charlie Hughes, Matt Targett, Eliot Matazo, Darko Gyabi and Lucas Gourna-Douath are injured, while Matt Crooks is suspended. That reduces their options for sustaining the aggressive, space-denying approach Sergej Jakirovic has outlined. Arsenal must compensate for Bukayo Saka’s absence. Predicted score: 2-0.
Final verdict
Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) 1.27 targets Arsenal’s attack without depending on Hull to contribute. The visitors’ depleted defensive and midfield options make two home goals the clearest angle, although Arsenal’s recent European trip adds a recovery concern.
FAQ
When does Arsenal — Hull City kick off?
The match starts on 07.11.2026 at 10:00 (New York), Emirates (London).
What is the prediction for Arsenal — Hull City?
Our pick is Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) at 1.27.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Arsenal win — 82%, draw — 12%, Hull City win — 5%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Slavia Pragueaway2:1
- Liverpoolaway1:0
- Fleetwood Townaway1:2
- Evertonhome2:0
- Bayern Munichaway2:2
- Ipswich Townhome2:2
- Brentfordhome1:1
- Fulhamaway0:1
- Evertonhome2:2
- Newcastle Unitedaway1:2
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 | Leeds United | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:8 | 11 |
Head-to-head
- 11.02.2017Arsenal2:0Hull CityEngland. Premier League
- 17.09.2016Hull City1:4ArsenalEngland. Premier League
- 08.03.2016Hull City0:4ArsenalFA Cup
- 20.02.2016Arsenal0:0Hull CityEngland. FA Cup
- 04.05.2015Hull City1:3ArsenalEngland. Premier League
About the match
- 7 November · 10:00 New York
- Venue: Emirates (London), London
- Weather: 11° · precip. 2% · wind 1.3 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 06.11 10:10
Market view and statistical balance
The 1X2 market assigns an 82.3% probability to a home win, 12.4% to a draw and 5.3% to an away win. There has been no notable movement over the last 24 hours. The market carries a 1.6% margin.
Under 3.5 goals is assessed at 58.6%, against 41.4% for Over 3.5. BTTS No is priced at a 59.4% probability, compared with 40.6% for Yes.
Under 3.5 is the preferred bet: Arsenal’s defensive record and Hull’s limited away scoring favour a lower total, though the visitors’ recent concessions are the main risk.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 1 Over (1.5)
- Current odds
- 1.27
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 74%
- Market estimate
- 74%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match
