Poland Ekstraklasa forecast: Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warsaw
Gornik Zabrze
Legia WarsawMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (0.5) 1.25 lost
Match result
Gornik Zabrze 0:0 Legia Warsaw (0:0, 0:0)
The Poland Ekstraklasa match between Gornik Zabrze and Legia Warsaw ended in a 0:0 draw, with both halves finishing 0:0. As Gornik Zabrze could not score a goal, our betting prediction for Individual Total 1 Over (1) lost.
Our prediction: Individual Total 1 Over (1) at 1.37 — the bet lost.
Our prediction: Half 2: Total Over (0.5) at 1.25 — the bet lost.
Gornik Zabrze host Legia Warsaw at Ernest Pohl Stadium on 30 October in round 13 of the Ekstraklasa. Second face fourth: the hosts are one point behind Lech Poznan, while the visitors trail the leaders by five.
Gornik: strong results, fewer clean sheets
Recent form and home balance
Gornik have two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five matches. The defeat came in a friendly against Odra Opole; their latest outing ended with a 1:0 cup win at Piast Gliwice on 27 October. Their latest league outings brought a 3:1 win at Jagiellonia and successive 1:1 draws against Piast and Widzew.
Strengths and pressure points
- Eight wins and just one defeat in 12 league games have produced 27 points.
- At home, three wins, one draw and one defeat come with nine goals scored and seven conceded.
- BTTS has occurred in nine of 12 league fixtures, with only three clean sheets.
- Seven of 12 league matches have gone Over 2.5 goals, despite an average of just 0.92 conceded.
Personnel and preparation
- Piast Gliwiceaway1:0
- Widzew Lodzaway1:1
- Piast Gliwicehome1:1
- Jagiellonia Bialystokaway3:1
- Odra Opolehome0:2
Legia: unbeaten away, seeking a response
Recent results in context
Legia's last five matches contain three wins, a draw and a defeat. Their competitive results were a 2:0 win over Wisla Krakow, a 1:1 draw at Cracovia and a 1:2 home loss to Lech Poznan. They scored in all five matches.
Strengths and weaknesses on the road
- Three wins and three draws from six away league games leave Legia unbeaten on their travels.
- Ten away goals against six conceded show a positive balance without a high scoring average.
- Their season attack averages 1.92 goals per game, with 23 scored in 12 fixtures.
- Nine league matches have featured BTTS, but only five have exceeded 2.5 goals: both teams scoring has not consistently meant a high total.
Selection outlook
Legia last played on 25 October, giving them a longer interval between fixtures than their hosts. There is no verified squad update to support a starting lineup or identify absentees.
- Lech Poznanhome1:2
- KS Cracoviaaway1:1
- Wisla Krakowhome2:0
- Korona Kielcehome5:1
- Zaglebie Sosnowiecaway4:2
Legia hold the historical advantage
Across 10 official meetings over five years, Legia have five wins to Gornik's two, alongside three draws. The latest eight meetings produced 24 goals, an average of three per match, with both teams scoring in seven. The most recent encounter finished 1:1 in April 2026; Gornik won the preceding meeting in Zabrze 3:1. Legia's longer-term edge therefore contrasts with the results of the latest two encounters.
- 11.04.2026Legia Warsaw1:1Gornik ZabrzePoland. Ekstraklasa
- 05.10.2025Gornik Zabrze3:1Legia WarsawPoland. Ekstraklasa
- 06.04.2025Gornik Zabrze1:2Legia WarsawPoland. Ekstraklasa
- 28.09.2024Legia Warsaw1:1Gornik ZabrzePoland. Ekstraklasa
- 01.04.2024Gornik Zabrze1:3Legia WarsawPoland. Ekstraklasa
Pre-match reporting remains limited
No fresh match-specific news or expert comments are available.
Line-ups
Gornik Zabrze
Starting XI: 1. Philipp Schulze, 8. Paulo Bernardo, 9. Janis Antiste, 14. Jaroslaw Kubicki, 19. Peter Federico Gonzalez Carmona, 20. Jose Sanchez, 21. Ondrej Zmrzly, 23. Sondre Liseth, 26. Rafal Janicki, 64. Erik Janza, 82. Kacper Urbanski
Substitutes: 2. Patryk Warczak, 4. Pawel Bochniewicz, 6. Malthe Hojholt, 7. Yvan Ikia Dimi, 11. Erik Prekop, 27. Zeidane Inoussa, 28. Bastien Donio, 29. Wiktor Kania, 33. Maksym Khlan, 34. Bruno Durdov, 66. Maximilian Dietz, 99. Tomasz Loska
Coach: Michal Gasparik
Legia Warsaw
Starting XI: 5. Robert Deziel Jr., 8. Rafal Augustyniak, 11. Kacper Chodyna, 17. Mateusz Szczepaniak, 22. Pawel Wszolek, 23. Michal Sevcik, 53. Wojciech Urbanski, 67. Bartosz Kapustka, 79. Lukasz Zjawinski, 89. Otto Hindrich, 91. Kamil Piatkowski
Substitutes: 1. Ivan Brkic, 2. Shinnosuke Fukuda, 4. Damian Szymanski, 6. Henrique Miguel Sousa Arreiol, 13. Arkadiusz Reca, 14. Antonio-Mirko Colak, 19. Ruben Vinagre, 21. Vahan Bichakhchyan, 24. Zoran Arsenic, 27. Bogdan Vyunnik
Coach: Marek Papszun
Our forecast
Gornik Zabrze’s attacking profile makes Individual Total 1 Over (1) 1.37 the preferred selection. The hosts have scored 21 goals in 12 Ekstraklasa matches, averaging 1.75 per game, and have found the net in four of their last five matches. At Ernest Pohl Stadium, Gornik have scored 9 times in five league fixtures, while their position near the top of the table keeps the motivation level high.
Legia Warsaw have conceded 11 goals in 12 league matches, an average of 0.92, and have allowed goals in four of their last five games. Their unbeaten away record is a counterweight, but it has not removed the scoring opportunity for Gornik: the hosts have scored in seven of the last eight meetings with Legia. The market rates Gornik as the stronger side, while the recent head-to-head pattern supports at least one home goal. No fresh match-specific injuries, suspensions or lineup updates are available. Probable score: 2:1.
Conclusion
Individual Total 1 Over (1) 1.37 is supported by Gornik’s 21 league goals, four scoring matches in the last five and goals in seven of eight recent meetings with Legia. The expected outcome is one or more goals from the hosts.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Piast Gliwiceaway1:0
- Widzew Lodzaway1:1
- Piast Gliwicehome1:1
- Jagiellonia Bialystokaway3:1
- Odra Opolehome0:2
- Lech Poznanhome1:2
- KS Cracoviaaway1:1
- Wisla Krakowhome2:0
- Korona Kielcehome5:1
- Zaglebie Sosnowiecaway4:2
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 32:11 | 31 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 21:11 | 28 |
| 3 | Legia Warsaw | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 23:11 | 24 |
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19:9 | 24 |
Head-to-head
- 11.04.2026Legia Warsaw1:1Gornik ZabrzePoland. Ekstraklasa
- 05.10.2025Gornik Zabrze3:1Legia WarsawPoland. Ekstraklasa
- 06.04.2025Gornik Zabrze1:2Legia WarsawPoland. Ekstraklasa
- 28.09.2024Legia Warsaw1:1Gornik ZabrzePoland. Ekstraklasa
- 01.04.2024Gornik Zabrze1:3Legia WarsawPoland. Ekstraklasa
About the match
- 30 October · 15:30 New York
- Venue: Ernest Pohl Stadium (Zabrze)
Odds
odds before kick-off
Home advantage leads a stable market
Gornik are the 1X2 favourites, but their margin-adjusted win probability of 46.2% remains below an even chance. Legia's unbeaten away record is a counterweight to the hosts' higher league position. There has been no notable movement over the last 24 hours.
The goals markets are more finely balanced: Under 2.5 has a narrow edge, while BTTS is slightly favoured. That distinction fits Legia's frequent scoring exchanges without consistently high totals. The 1X2 bookmaker margin is 7.8%, so the underlying probabilities offer a clearer measure of market confidence than the headline prices.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 1 Over (1)
- Odds
- 1.46
- Odds at prediction
- 1.37
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 67%
- Market estimate
- 67%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.46
- Potential win
- 46 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.38
- Status
- lost
- Profit
- −100 $