Bodo-Glimt – Viking Forecast: Norway Eliteserien
Bodo-Glimt
VikingBodo-Glimt host Viking at Aspmyra on 30 October in a meeting of Eliteserien’s top two. Viking lead by three points after 24 matches; a home victory would level the teams on points.
Bodo-Glimt: home strength meets a recent setback
Results and scoring rhythm
Bodo-Glimt have three wins and two defeats in their last five matches. Wins against Kristiansund, Borussia Dortmund and HamKam preceded consecutive losses to Napoli and Valerenga. The latest result was a 0:1 home defeat. Bodo-Glimt scored in four of their last five matches.
Where the hosts have an edge
- At home in the league: 10 wins and two defeats, with a 34:8 goal difference.
- Season defence: 21 goals conceded, averaging 0.88 per match, with 11 clean sheets.
- Over 2.5 goals occurred in 17 of 24 league games, but BTTS in only 10.
Availability and selection
Hakon Evjen is out with a knee injury, August Mikkelsen with a groin injury, while goalkeeper Isak Sjong and midfielder Magnus Riisnaes are also injured. An optimal lineup is therefore not assured. Ole Blomberg has a goal and an assist across his three listed league appearances; Joel Mvuka and Andreas Helmersen have one goal apiece over the same appearance count.
- Valerengahome0:1
- Napoliaway3:4
- HamKamaway2:0
- Borussia Dortmundhome1:0
- Kristiansund BKhome3:1
Viking: the leaders carry a consistent scoring threat
Recent form and away output
Viking have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five matches. They scored in all five, most recently beating Tromso 3:1. Their away league record is seven wins, two draws and three defeats, with 18 goals scored and 10 conceded.
Attacking strengths, defensive exposure
- The league leaders have 59 points and a 62:23 goal difference.
- BTTS has landed in 16 of 24 league fixtures; 18 finished Over 2.5 goals.
- Seven league clean sheets contrast with goals conceded in four of their last five games.
Returns and absences
Kristoffer Haugen has returned after missing two games, and Askildsen has completed his suspension. Anders Bertelsen and Sondre Bjorshol are injured; Jakob Middelton and Mathias Tonnessen remain doubtful. Peter Christiansen has four goals and an assist in three listed appearances, while Henrik Heggheim has two goals and an assist.
- Tromsohome3:1
- Aston Villaaway1:3
- Fredrikstadhome3:2
- Bayern Munichhome3:3
- Brannaway2:0
Previous meetings: goals and changing control
Bodo-Glimt lead the official five-year series with six wins against Viking’s four, plus one draw. The latest meeting was one-sided: Viking won 5:0 in April. Home advantage is mixed, with Bodo-Glimt winning three of the four listed Aspmyra meetings but losing the most recent 2:4.
- 11.04.2026Viking5:0Bodo-GlimtNorway. Eliteserien
- 19.07.2025Viking2:4Bodo-GlimtNorway. Eliteserien
- 28.05.2025Bodo-Glimt2:4VikingNorway. Eliteserien
- 10.08.2024Viking1:1Bodo-GlimtNorway. Eliteserien
- 06.04.2024Bodo-Glimt1:0VikingNorway. Eliteserien
Pre-match context and competing priorities
Bodo-Glimt’s Champions League focus has affected their domestic results. Both clubs have European commitments, but the hosts have six days between their latest fixture and this match, compared with five for Viking. Claims of five consecutive Viking victories do not match their listed results, which include a draw with Bayern and defeat at Aston Villa.
Our pick: home scoring rather than the result
Our bet is Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) 1.38. Bodo-Glimt have scored 34 goals in 12 home league matches. That makes two home goals a more focused target than backing them to beat the leaders: the bet does not require Bodo-Glimt to contain Viking's attack.
Viking have conceded in four of their last five matches across all competitions. Their away league record is tighter, with just 10 conceded in 12 games, so this is not a bet on a uniformly weak defence. According to media reports, defenders Anders Bertelsen and Sondre Bjorshol are unavailable, reducing the visitors' defensive options. Bodo-Glimt's blank against Valerenga is the clearest recent warning against treating their home average as a guarantee. A plausible score is 2:2.
Final betting verdict
Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) 1.38 is our selection: the hosts' scoring output supports the two-goal threshold, while leaving the match result out of the bet.
FAQ
When does Bodo-Glimt — Viking kick off?
The match starts on 30.10.2026 at 14:00 (New York), Aspmyra (Bodo).
What is the prediction for Bodo-Glimt — Viking?
Our pick is Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) at 1.38.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Bodo-Glimt win — 61%, draw — 20%, Viking win — 19%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Valerengahome0:1
- Napoliaway3:4
- HamKamaway2:0
- Borussia Dortmundhome1:0
- Kristiansund BKhome3:1
- Tromsohome3:1
- Aston Villaaway1:3
- Fredrikstadhome3:2
- Bayern Munichhome3:3
- Brannaway2:0
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 24 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 62:23 | 59 |
| 2 | Bodo-Glimt | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 58:21 | 56 |
| 3 | Molde | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 57:36 | 43 |
Head-to-head
- 11.04.2026Viking5:0Bodo-GlimtNorway. Eliteserien
- 19.07.2025Viking2:4Bodo-GlimtNorway. Eliteserien
- 28.05.2025Bodo-Glimt2:4VikingNorway. Eliteserien
- 10.08.2024Viking1:1Bodo-GlimtNorway. Eliteserien
- 06.04.2024Bodo-Glimt1:0VikingNorway. Eliteserien
About the match
- 30 October · 14:00 New York
- Venue: Aspmyra (Bodo), Budë
- Weather: 7° · precip. 0% · wind 2.8 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 30.10 05:00
Market assessment: home advantage outweighs league position
The 1X2 market makes Bodo-Glimt favourites at 57.7%, with the home price shortening over the past 24 hours while draw and away prices drift. The assessment places substantial weight on their Aspmyra record despite Viking’s higher position. Over 3.5 goals has a narrower market majority of 52.8% and is also shortening. BTTS stands at 68.5%, without notable movement: support for goals at both ends is stronger than Bodo-Glimt’s season frequency alone suggests.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 1 Over (1.5)
- Current odds
- 1.38
- Odds at prediction
- 1.4
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 66%
- Market estimate
- 67%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match