Strasbourg vs Auxerre: Ligue 1 Match Prediction
Strasbourg
AuxerreStrasbourg host Auxerre at Stade de la Meinau in Ligue 1’s ninth round on November 1. The hosts sit 16th with seven points; the visitors are 12th with ten. A home victory would bring the sides level on points, while Auxerre have an opportunity to widen their advantage over a direct rival in the lower half.
Strasbourg: results slipping despite regular goals
Recent form and home performance
Strasbourg have taken one point from their last five matches, scoring four goals and conceding 11. The latest result, a 3-0 defeat at Rennes, extended their losing run to four games. Their home league return is less severe: one win, one draw and one defeat, with four goals scored and five conceded.
Attacking output and defensive weaknesses
- They average 1.5 goals scored per league match, but concede 2.25.
- BTTS has occurred in six of eight league fixtures.
- Seven of those eight games produced Over 2.5 goals.
- They have yet to keep a league clean sheet.
Available players and absences
Joaquin Panichelli is out with a cruciate ligament rupture, Martial Godo with a muscle injury, and Ismael Doukoure and Sebastian Nanasi with unspecified injuries. Dario Essugo and Giovanni Reyna each have one league goal in three appearances; Conrad Harder has one assist over the same number of games. A probable starting XI, formation and suspension details are unavailable.
- Stade Rennaisaway0:3
- Paris Saint-Germainhome1:3
- Niceaway1:2
- Parisaway1:2
- AS Monacohome1:1
Auxerre: productive attack, costly away defending
A stronger recent sequence
Auxerre’s last five matches brought three wins, one draw and one defeat, although that sequence includes a 4-3 friendly victory over Clermont. Their four competitive fixtures in that run yielded two wins, a draw and a defeat. After losing 4-1 at Rennes, they won 3-1 at Le Havre before drawing 1-1 with Le Mans.
The contrast between goals and control
- Auxerre have scored in each of their last five matches, conceding in every one.
- Their four league away games produced one win and three defeats, with seven goals scored and 13 conceded.
- BTTS has landed in seven of eight league matches; six finished Over 2.5.
- Only one league clean sheet separates them from Strasbourg’s defensive record.
Attacking contributors and missing players
Danny Namaso has two goals and one assist in three league appearances, Cameron Archer two goals, and Romain Faivre one goal and one assist. Bryan Okoh and Assane Diousse are unavailable with cruciate ligament ruptures; Marvin Senaya has a hamstring injury. No confirmed formation, probable XI or suspension information is available.
- Le Manshome1:1
- Le Havreaway3:1
- Stade Rennaisaway1:4
- Clermont Foothome4:3
- Stade Brestois 29home2:1
Previous meetings favour the hosts
Strasbourg have won four of the six official meetings over the past five years, with one draw and one defeat. They won all three home fixtures by an aggregate 8-1. Across the six encounters, only two produced Over 2.5 goals and just one featured BTTS. The latest meeting ended goalless in March 2026: this fixture’s recent history is substantially lower-scoring than either side’s current season.
- 07.03.2026Auxerre0:0StrasbourgFrance. Ligue 1
- 29.10.2025Strasbourg3:0AuxerreFrance. Ligue 1
- 02.03.2025Auxerre0:1StrasbourgFrance. Ligue 1
- 05.01.2025Strasbourg3:1AuxerreFrance. Ligue 1
- 19.03.2023Strasbourg2:0AuxerreFrance. Ligue 1
VAR incident remains the main talking point
According to media reports, a VAR technology failure affected Auxerre’s match against Le Mans. No further verified match-specific news or expert opinions are available.
Our pick: protection against a draw
Our bet is Handicap 1 (0) 1.34. Strasbourg’s home record against Auxerre supports backing the hosts, but their current form makes draw protection preferable to an outright win. Auxerre have lost three of four away league matches, conceding 13 goals: their defensive record on the road is the clearest opening for Strasbourg.
The hosts are not reliable enough to back without that safeguard: they have yet to keep a clean sheet in eight league games. According to media reports, Strasbourg are without Joaquin Panichelli, Martial Godo, Ismael Doukoure and Sebastian Nanasi; Auxerre are missing Bryan Okoh, Marvin Senaya and Assane Diousse. The visitors have scored seven away goals, so a home clean sheet is not central to this selection. Predicted score: 2-1.
Final betting verdict
Handicap 1 (0) 1.34 targets Auxerre’s away vulnerability while returning the stake if the match finishes level. Strasbourg still need to win for the bet to pay; their defensive record makes this a cautious home lean, not a high-confidence selection.
FAQ
When does Strasbourg — Auxerre kick off?
The match starts on 01.11.2026 at 09:00 (New York), Stade de la Meinau (Strasbourg).
What is the prediction for Strasbourg — Auxerre?
Our pick is Handicap 1 (0) at 1.34.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Strasbourg win — 53%, draw — 24%, Auxerre win — 24%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Stade Rennaisaway0:3
- Paris Saint-Germainhome1:3
- Niceaway1:2
- Parisaway1:2
- AS Monacohome1:1
- Le Manshome1:1
- Le Havreaway3:1
- Stade Rennaisaway1:4
- Clermont Foothome4:3
- Stade Brestois 29home2:1
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Toulouse | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | 10 |
| 12 | Auxerre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:18 | 10 |
| 13 | Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 9 |
| 14 | Angers SCO | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 15 | Troyes AC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 16 | Strasbourg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:18 | 7 |
| 17 | Le Mans | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:18 | 7 |
Head-to-head
- 07.03.2026Auxerre0:0StrasbourgFrance. Ligue 1
- 29.10.2025Strasbourg3:0AuxerreFrance. Ligue 1
- 02.03.2025Auxerre0:1StrasbourgFrance. Ligue 1
- 05.01.2025Strasbourg3:1AuxerreFrance. Ligue 1
- 19.03.2023Strasbourg2:0AuxerreFrance. Ligue 1
About the match
- 1 November · 09:00 New York
- Venue: Stade de la Meinau (Strasbourg)
- Weather: 12° · precip. 0% · wind 4.2 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 31.10 10:10
Market preference is clearer than the form gap
Strasbourg are favourites, with a market-estimated home-win probability of 52.7%; the draw and an Auxerre win are each assessed at 23.7%. That preference contrasts with the visitors’ better recent results, although the hosts have the stronger head-to-head record. No separate strength assessment is available to quantify that contrast.
The goals markets assign 59.4% to Over 2.5 and 60% to BTTS. Both reflect the teams’ frequent scoring and defensive concessions, but eight league matches apiece remain a limited sample. None of the listed markets has shown a noticeable move over the past 24 hours.
Our prediction
- Market
- Handicap 1 (0)
- Current odds
- 1.34
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 71%
- Market estimate
- 71%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match
