Ligue 1 Prediction: Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice Match Preview
Stade Brestois 29
NiceMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (1) 1.32 won
- Yellow cards: Total Under (4) 1.34 lost
Match result
Stade Brestois 29 1:2 Nice (1:0, 0:2)
In France Ligue 1, Stade Brestois 29 was defeated by Nice with a 1:2 final score. The home team took the lead in the first half 1:0, but Nice turned the game around by winning the second period 0:2. Since Brest scored one goal, the prediction for Individual Total 1 Over (1) resulted in a void bet.
Our prediction: Individual Total 1 Over (1) at 1.33 — the bet was void.
Our prediction: Half 2: Total Over (1) at 1.32 — the bet won.
Brest host Nice at Stade Francis-Le Ble in Ligue 1's eighth round on 23 October. Brest are tenth with nine points, Nice thirteenth with eight. An away win would reverse their order; a home win would extend the gap.
Brest: scoring power without clean sheets
Recent results and home form
Brest's last five matches brought one win, two draws and two defeats, including the friendly against Monza. Their latest league results were a 5:1 win over Angers and a 1:1 draw at Lille. At home in the league, they have one win, one draw and one defeat, scoring seven and conceding four.
Attacking strengths and defensive weaknesses
Brest have scored 13 goals in seven league matches without keeping a clean sheet. BTTS occurred six times and Over 2.5 goals five times. Their scoring total is more than twice Nice's, though the Angers win accounts for a substantial share. Seven rounds are a small sample.
Players and availability
Brendan Chardonnet is out with a tibia injury, while Raphael Le Guen has returned after a lower-leg fracture. Mama Balde has two goals; Ludovic Ajorque and Pathe Mboup each have one goal and one assist. Former assistant Julien Lachuer leads the team following Eric Roy's death.
- Lille OSCaway1:1
- Angers SCOhome5:1
- Monza 1912home2:2
- Auxerreaway1:2
- Paris Saint-Germainhome0:1
Nice: away results undermine home progress
Form across the last five games
Nice have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five matches. Home victories over Lille and Strasbourg, both 2:1, preceded a 2:1 defeat at Lyon. Away in the league, they have lost all three matches, scoring once and conceding six.
Where the balance breaks down
Nice average 0.86 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per league match. They have kept one clean sheet, while BTTS and Over 2.5 goals have each occurred in four of seven fixtures. They scored in four of their last five matches but conceded in all five.
Absences and attacking contributors
Laurent Abergel and centre-back Antoine Mendy are unavailable with cruciate ligament injuries. Jonathan Clauss has one goal and one assist, Sepe Elye Wahi one goal, and Sofiane Diop one assist. Terem Moffi and Jeremie Boga were reportedly physically harmed in an attack by supporters.
- Lyonaway1:2
- Strasbourghome2:1
- Lille OSChome2:1
- Auxerreaway0:1
- Le Manshome1:1
Recent meetings have changed character
Nice lead the nine official meetings over five years with four wins to Brest's two and three draws. In the latest three meetings, Nice won 6:0, Brest won 4:1, and February's meeting finished 2:2.
- 01.02.2026Nice2:2Stade Brestois 29France. Ligue 1
- 20.09.2025Stade Brestois 294:1NiceFrance. Ligue 1
- 17.05.2025Nice6:0Stade Brestois 29France. Ligue 1
- 02.11.2024Stade Brestois 290:1NiceFrance. Ligue 1
- 04.02.2024Stade Brestois 290:0NiceFrance. Ligue 1
Pressure around Nice, but conflicting accounts
Claims of six consecutive Nice defeats across all competitions conflict with their recent record of two victories and a draw. No expert match opinions are available.
Line-ups
Stade Brestois 29
Starting XI: 1. Egil Selvik, 2. Bradley Locko, 4. Gautier Lloris, 8. Hugo Magnetti, 9. Pathe Mboup, 13. Joris Chotard, 17. Mama Balde, 19. Ludovic Ajorque, 23. Kamory Doumbia, 29. Lucas Tousart, 70. Kenny Lala
Substitutes: 6. Mamady Diambou, 7. Joseph Nonge Boende, 11. Noah Edjouma, 18. Justin Bourgault, 20. Luck Zogbe, 21. Ibrahim Yayiya Kante, 30. Mathieu Patouillet, 32. Mathis Louis Claude Laine, 39. Djylian N'Guessan
Coach: Julien Lacher
Nice
Starting XI: 5. Mohamed Abdelmonem, 6. Hicham Boudaoui, 7. Gauthier Hein, 9. Mohamed El Amine Amoura, 11. Sepe Elye Wahi, 23. Yehvann Diouf, 27. Niels Nkounkou, 28. Axel Witsel, 36. Alidu Seidu, 55. Youssouf Ndayishimiye, 92. Jonathan Clauss
Substitutes: 8. Morgan Sanson, 10. Sofiane Diop, 21. Isak Jansson, 29. Nathan Ngoumou, 35. Xavier Mandza Tsiendi, 39. Djibril Coulibaly, 41. Djelan Morana, 77. Teddy Boulhendi, 84. Hamza Koutoune
Coach: Olivier Pantaloni
Our Prediction
Stade Brestois 29 host Nice in Ligue 1, with Brest tenth on 9 points and Nice thirteenth on 8. The hosts have scored 13 goals in seven league matches, averaging 1.86 per game. They have scored seven goals across their three home fixtures.
Nice have scored 6 league goals, averaging 0.86 per match. Away from home, they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, with a 1:6 goal balance. Centre-back Antoine Mendy is absent, while defensive midfielder Laurent Abergel is unavailable with a cruciate ligament injury. Brest will miss Brendan Chardonnet, but Raphael Le Gueun has returned after a leg fracture.
Brest scored five against Angers and one at Lille in their two latest league games. Nice conceded one goal at Auxerre and two at Lyon in their last two away matches.
Our bet is Brest team total Over (1) at 1.33. Two home goals secure a full win. Brest have gone seven league rounds without a clean sheet, leaving room for Nice to contribute to the scoring. Predicted score: 2:1 to Stade Brestois 29.
Conclusion
Brest team total Over (1) at 1.33 is the selection: Brest’s home scoring and Nice’s away defensive record favour the hosts scoring at least twice.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Lille OSCaway1:1
- Angers SCOhome5:1
- Monza 1912home2:2
- Auxerreaway1:2
- Paris Saint-Germainhome0:1
- Lyonaway1:2
- Strasbourghome2:1
- Lille OSChome2:1
- Auxerreaway0:1
- Le Manshome1:1
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lorient | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 11 |
| 8 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | 11 |
| 9 | RC Lens | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14:11 | 10 |
| 10 | Olympique de Marseille | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14:10 | 9 |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 9 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 9 |
Head-to-head
- 01.02.2026Nice2:2Stade Brestois 29France. Ligue 1
- 20.09.2025Stade Brestois 294:1NiceFrance. Ligue 1
- 17.05.2025Nice6:0Stade Brestois 29France. Ligue 1
- 02.11.2024Stade Brestois 290:1NiceFrance. Ligue 1
- 04.02.2024Stade Brestois 290:0NiceFrance. Ligue 1
About the match
- 23 October · 14:45 New York
- Venue: Stade Francis-Le Ble (Brest), Brest
Odds
odds before kick-off
Brest favoured without a majority assessment
The 1X2 market gives Brest a 42.7% chance, ahead of Nice at 29.2% and the draw at 28.2%, but below an outright majority. No meaningful odds movement has occurred over the last 24 hours in any market shown.
BTTS at 60% is the preferred betting option over Over 2.5 goals at 55.8%: both sides' recent defensive records favour goals at each end.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 1 Over (1)
- Odds
- 1.33
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 71%
- Market estimate
- 70%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.33
- Potential win
- 33 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.36
- Status
- void
- Profit
- +0 $