Ligue 1 Match Prediction: Lyon vs Angers SCO
Lyon
Angers SCOLyon host Angers SCO at Groupama OL Academy in Decines-Charpieu on 1 November in Ligue 1’s ninth round. Lyon are fifth on 14 points; Angers are 14th on eight. The visitors have a narrow cushion below them.
Lyon: home results offset a difficult fortnight
Recent form and scoring patterns
Lyon’s last five matches produced two wins and three defeats. Home victories over Crystal Palace and Nice were followed by losses without scoring at Hoffenheim and Paris Saint-Germain.
In the league at home, Lyon have three wins and a draw, scoring ten and conceding three. Those three wins came consecutively.
Strengths and weaknesses
- Across eight league games, Lyon have conceded 0.88 goals per match and scored 1.63.
- They have three league clean sheets but have conceded in each of their last five matches across competitions.
- BTTS and Over 2.5 goals each occurred in four of eight league fixtures, leaving neither outcome above half.
Availability and attacking options
Openda is out with a fibula fracture, Schultz needs meniscus surgery, Morton is unavailable and Ouedraogo has a cruciate ligament injury. Paulo Fonseca must replace Openda up front. Tolisso, Bidstrup and Tagliafico have resumed training; Nakamura has served his suspension.
Pavel Sulc, Tanner Tessmann and Khalis Merah each have one league goal.
- Paris Saint-Germainaway0:2
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheimaway0:3
- Nicehome2:1
- Crystal Palacehome3:2
- RC Lensaway1:2
Angers SCO: a defensive reset after heavy losses
Results and away performance
Angers have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five. Brest and Marseille each scored five against them before a goalless draw with Lorient ended that losing sequence.
Away in the league, Angers have one win, one draw and one defeat, with four goals scored and six conceded.
What the numbers reveal
- Angers have scored nine and conceded 15 in eight league matches.
- They have kept three clean sheets despite those heavy defeats.
- BTTS and Over 2.5 goals each occurred in half their league games, with recent results ranging from goalless draws to heavy losses.
Selection and shape
Louis Mouton is sidelined by a meniscus injury and Haris Belkebla by a thigh contusion. Diatta has returned to training after an ankle problem. Stephane Gilli switched to five defenders against Lorient and may retain that shape.
Prosper Peter and Lilian Rao-Lisoa each have one league goal; Joseph Kalulu has one assist.
- Lorienthome0:0
- Olympique de Marseillehome2:5
- Stade Brestois 29away1:5
- Troyes AChome2:0
- Le Havreaway0:0
Previous meetings favour Lyon
Lyon have six wins and one draw from seven official meetings over the past five years, scoring 17 goals and conceding three. They won all four home meetings in that sequence, keeping clean sheets in the latest three. The most recent encounter, away in April, finished goalless.
- 05.04.2026Angers SCO0:0LyonFrance. Ligue 1
- 19.09.2025Lyon1:0Angers SCOFrance. Ligue 1
- 17.05.2025Lyon2:0Angers SCOFrance. Ligue 1
- 07.12.2024Angers SCO0:3LyonFrance. Ligue 1
- 25.02.2023Angers SCO1:3LyonFrance. Ligue 1
Rescheduling changes the preparation window
The fixture was moved from 31 October to 1 November because of continuing protests in France. The forecast is dry at 12°C, with wind of 6 m/s and gusts reaching 12.9 m/s.
Our prediction
Lyon’s home scoring rate supports Lyon team total Over (1.5) at 1.48. The hosts have scored 10 goals in four Ligue 1 matches at Groupama OL Academy, averaging 2.5 per game, and won their last three home league matches. Angers have conceded 15 goals in eight rounds, including recent 1:5 and 2:5 defeats against Brest and Marseille respectively, when their deep defensive setup struggled against sustained pressure.
Angers switched to five defenders and held Lorient to a goalless draw. Lyon may therefore need time to break through, though they have won six and drawn one of the last seven meetings, scoring 17 goals.
Lyon will be without Openda, Schulz, Morton and Ouedraogo. Tolisso, Bidstrup and Tagliafico have returned to training, while Nakamura is available again. The absences reduce attacking depth, but Lyon’s home output against Angers’ defence supports a probable score of 2:0.
Conclusion
Lyon team total Over (1.5) at 1.48 is the selection: the hosts’ scoring rate outweighs the protection offered by Angers’ five-defender formation.
FAQ
When does Lyon — Angers SCO kick off?
The match starts on 01.11.2026 at 11:15 (New York), Groupama OL Academy (Decines-Charpieu).
What is the prediction for Lyon — Angers SCO?
Our pick is Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) at 1.48.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Lyon win — 68%, draw — 19%, Angers SCO win — 13%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Paris Saint-Germainaway0:2
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheimaway0:3
- Nicehome2:1
- Crystal Palacehome3:2
- RC Lensaway1:2
- Lorienthome0:0
- Olympique de Marseillehome2:5
- Stade Brestois 29away1:5
- Troyes AChome2:0
- Le Havreaway0:0
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AS Monaco | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 14 |
| 6 | Paris | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 13 | Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 9 |
| 14 | Angers SCO | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 15 | Troyes AC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:16 | 8 |
Head-to-head
- 05.04.2026Angers SCO0:0LyonFrance. Ligue 1
- 19.09.2025Lyon1:0Angers SCOFrance. Ligue 1
- 17.05.2025Lyon2:0Angers SCOFrance. Ligue 1
- 07.12.2024Angers SCO0:3LyonFrance. Ligue 1
- 25.02.2023Angers SCO1:3LyonFrance. Ligue 1
About the match
- 1 November · 11:15 New York
- Venue: Groupama OL Academy (Decines-Charpieu)
- Weather: 12° · precip. 0% · wind 6.4 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 01.11 04:10
Market confidence centres on the hosts
Lyon are clear 1X2 favourites, with a margin-free home-win probability of 68.2%; the draw is assessed at 19% and an Angers win at 12.8%. None of the listed markets has moved noticeably over the past 24 hours.
Over 2.5 goals carries a 60.1% probability, compared with 52.6% for BTTS: the market backs the overall goal total more strongly than both teams scoring.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 1 Over (1.5)
- Current odds
- 1.48
- Odds at prediction
- 1.44
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 66%
- Market estimate
- 64%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match
