Auxerre — Le Mans Match Forecast in France Ligue 1
Auxerre
Le MansAuxerre host Le Mans at Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps on October 25 in Ligue 1's eighth round. The hosts sit 13th with nine points, while the visitors are in 16th. This meeting offers Auxerre a chance to widen that gap.
Auxerre: scoring form offsets defensive exposure
Recent results and home balance
Auxerre have won four of their last five matches, including a friendly, scoring in every game. Their latest league outings produced a 4:1 defeat at Rennes and a 3:1 win at Le Havre: the response was immediate, but neither match brought much defensive control. At home in the league, they have two wins and one defeat, with four goals scored and four conceded.
Where the strengths and weaknesses lie
- The attack averages 1.57 goals per league match, enough to keep Auxerre competitive despite their defensive record.
- They concede 2.43 per game and have kept just one clean sheet in seven rounds.
- BTTS and Over 2.5 goals have each occurred in six of seven league matches; that is a pronounced early pattern, rather than a long-term baseline.
Available personnel and attacking contributors
According to media reports, centre-back Bryan Okoh and defensive midfielder Assane Diousse are out with cruciate ligament tears, while right-back Marvin Senaya is unavailable with a hamstring injury. Those absences affect both the back line and its midfield protection. Danny Namaso has two goals and one assist in two appearances; Romain Faivre has a goal and an assist, and Cameron Archer one goal, also across two appearances each.
- Le Havreaway3:1
- Stade Rennaisaway1:4
- Clermont Foothome4:3
- Stade Brestois 29home2:1
- Nicehome1:0
Le Mans: away results leave little defensive margin
A difficult run after the Lorient win
Le Mans followed a 2:2 draw with Lens and a 2:1 victory over Lorient with three consecutive defeats across all competitions. That sequence includes the Guingamp friendly, a 3:1 league loss at Paris Saint-Germain and the latest 3:0 home defeat by Toulouse.
Attack keeps pace better than the defence
- Le Mans remain winless away in the league: one draw and two defeats, with four goals scored and seven conceded.
- Their season averages are 1.43 goals scored and 2.14 conceded per match, with no clean sheets in seven attempts.
- Six of their seven league games have featured BTTS, and the same number have exceeded 2.5 goals.
Personnel information remains limited
Louis Mafouta has one goal in two league appearances, while Lucas Calodat has supplied one assist over the same number of games.
- Toulousehome0:3
- Paris Saint-Germainaway1:3
- En Avant de Guingampaway1:2
- Lorienthome2:1
- RC Lenshome2:2
Head-to-head
- 01.08.2020Auxerre3:2Le MansFriendly Club Tournament
- 10.01.2020Le Mans0:1AuxerreFrance. Ligue 2
- 02.08.2019Auxerre2:0Le MansFrance. Ligue 2
- 25.01.2013Auxerre1:1Le MansFrance. Ligue 2
- 20.08.2012Le Mans3:1AuxerreFrance. Ligue 2
Preparation and match conditions
Le Mans last played on October 16. Forecast conditions are dry at 15°C, with wind of 4.1 m/s and gusts up to 9.6 m/s; rain is not expected to affect the surface.
Our pick: Auxerre to produce the goals
Our bet is Individual Total 1 Over (1) 1.3. Auxerre have scored in five consecutive matches across all competitions, reaching at least two goals in three of them. Le Mans have conceded in all seven league fixtures, allowing 15 goals overall and seven in three away games. That pairing makes the hosts’ scoring output a more focused target than the match result.
Auxerre’s absences affect defensive roles: according to media reports, Bryan Okoh, Marvin Senaya and holding midfielder Assane Diousse are unavailable. These losses could weaken protection behind the attack, but do not remove an attacking player. No further team news is available. Le Mans arrive after three straight defeats, including a friendly, without a clean sheet to interrupt their defensive decline. A 2:1 home win is the projected score.
The betting verdict
Individual Total 1 Over (1) 1.3 needs two Auxerre goals to win, while exactly one returns the stake. That protection suits a home attack facing a defence conceding 2.14 goals per league match.
FAQ
When does Auxerre — Le Mans kick off?
The match starts on 25.10.2026 at 12:15 (New York), Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps (Auxerre).
What is the prediction for Auxerre — Le Mans?
Our pick is Individual Total 1 Over (1) at 1.3.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Auxerre win — 46%, draw — 27%, Le Mans win — 28%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Le Havreaway3:1
- Stade Rennaisaway1:4
- Clermont Foothome4:3
- Stade Brestois 29home2:1
- Nicehome1:0
- Toulousehome0:3
- Paris Saint-Germainaway1:3
- En Avant de Guingampaway1:2
- Lorienthome2:1
- RC Lenshome2:2
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Toulouse | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 9 |
| 13 | Auxerre | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11:17 | 9 |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:15 | 7 |
| 15 | Angers SCO | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:15 | 6 |
| 17 | Troyes AC | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:16 | 4 |
Head-to-head
- 01.08.2020Auxerre3:2Le MansFriendly Club Tournament
- 10.01.2020Le Mans0:1AuxerreFrance. Ligue 2
- 02.08.2019Auxerre2:0Le MansFrance. Ligue 2
- 25.01.2013Auxerre1:1Le MansFrance. Ligue 2
- 20.08.2012Le Mans3:1AuxerreFrance. Ligue 2
About the match
- 25 October · 12:15 New York
- Venue: Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps (Auxerre)
- Weather: 14° · precip. 0% · wind 4.2 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 25.10 05:10
A home lean without overwhelming confidence
The 1X2 market makes Auxerre favourites at 45.9%, against 26.1% for the draw and 28.1% for Le Mans. The home side therefore have the largest individual share, but remain below a majority probability. No notable movement has occurred over the past 24 hours.
The goals markets assign 56.5% to Over 2.5 and 59.6% to BTTS. That emphasis fits the frequent scoring exchanges on both sides, although seven league matches per team is still a small sample. The market expresses more confidence in both teams scoring than in the match clearing the total-goals threshold.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 1 Over (1)
- Current odds
- 1.3
- Odds at prediction
- 1.28
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 74%
- Market estimate
- 73%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.28
- Potential win
- 28 $
- Status
- pending
