Angers SCO vs Olympique de Marseille: Ligue 1 Match Prediction
Angers SCO
Olympique de MarseilleMatch result
Angers SCO 2:5 Olympique de Marseille (1:2, 1:3)
In France. Ligue 1, Angers SCO hosted Olympique de Marseille in a match that ended 2:5, with periods finishing 1:2 and 1:3. Following this away win by Olympique de Marseille, our prediction for Handicap 2 (0) was successful and the bet won.
Our prediction: Handicap 2 (0) at 1.52 — the bet won.
Angers host Marseille at Stade Raymond Kopa on 18 October in Ligue 1's seventh round. The hosts are 13th with seven points, one point above the visitors in 14th. Marseille can move above Angers with a win; both sides are trying to recover from defeats in their latest outings.
Angers: scoring regularly, defending unevenly
Recent results and home strengths
Angers have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five matches. The latest result, a 5-1 loss at Brest, followed successive clean sheets against Le Havre and Troyes. That contrast makes defensive consistency the central issue rather than a complete inability to keep opponents out.
- Angers scored in four of their last five matches.
- Their home league record is one win and two defeats, with three goals scored and four conceded.
- BTTS and Over 2.5 goals have each occurred in three of six league games.
Absences and selection questions
Ousmane Camara is out with a muscle injury, while Jordan Lefort is suspended following a dismissal. Joseph Kalulu is doubtful with a pubic-area problem after training separately; Haris Belkebla is also doubtful after missing training through pain. Marius Louer and Ousmane Simbakoli have resumed team training, but that does not confirm their availability.
- Stade Brestois 29away1:5
- Troyes AChome2:0
- Le Havreaway0:0
- Stade Rennaishome1:2
- Auxerreaway3:1
Marseille: away efficiency meets poor recent form
League output and European setbacks
Marseille have lost four of their last five matches across all competitions. Their only victory in that sequence was 2-0 at Troyes. Marseille lost 1-0 at home to Olympiacos, whereas Angers last played on 10 October.
- Marseille have scored nine and conceded eight in six league matches.
- Away in Ligue 1, they have one win and two defeats, with two goals scored and three conceded.
- They have two league clean sheets; BTTS has occurred in two of six games.
Unavailable players and attacking personnel
Derek Cornelius is injured, and Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg will also miss the match: Bruno Genesio said a return within the coming week would be premature. Amine Harit has one league goal in his listed appearance, while Emerson Palmieri has one assist in his. Those limited appearance records cannot establish a settled attacking hierarchy.
- Olympiacos Piraeushome0:1
- Troyes ACaway2:0
- Paris Saint-Germainhome1:2
- Besiktasaway1:4
- Stade Rennaisaway0:1
Previous meetings favour the visitors
Marseille are unbeaten in the seven official meetings listed over the past five years, winning five and drawing two. The most recent encounter at Angers was a 5-2 Marseille win in January 2026. This history is stronger for the visitors than their current league position.
- 17.01.2026Angers SCO2:5Olympique de MarseilleFrance. Ligue 1
- 29.10.2025Olympique de Marseille2:2Angers SCOFrance. Ligue 1
- 09.02.2025Angers SCO0:2Olympique de MarseilleFrance. Ligue 1
- 04.10.2024Olympique de Marseille1:1Angers SCOFrance. Ligue 1
- 14.05.2023Olympique de Marseille3:1Angers SCOFrance. Ligue 1
Coaches focus on confidence and penalty-area work
Genesio said Marseille lack commitment in both penalty areas and confidence. Stephane Gilli said Angers had worked during the week and wanted to restart confidently after their defeat. These are the available pre-match assessments.
Line-ups
Angers SCO
Starting XI: 1. Anthony Lopes, 2. Carlens Arcus, 6. Lois Mouton, 8. Branco van den Boomen, 10. Mohamed Amine Sbai, 14. Yassin Belkhdim, 18. Jim Allevinah, 19. Amine El Ouazzani, 24. Emmanuel Biumla, 27. Lilian Rao-Lisoa, 34. Mael Gernigon
Substitutes: 7. Mamadou Usman Simbakoli, 9. Prosper Peter, 11. Djibirin Harouna, 17. Joseph Kalulu, 20. Marius Louer, 26. Anthony Bermont, 36. Bane Diatta, 37. Bouffandeau Жюль, 40. Oumar Pona
Coach: Stephane Gilli
Olympique de Marseille
Starting XI: 1. Jeffrey de Lange, 4. CJ Egan-Riley, 6. Tochukwu Nadi, 8. Himad Abdelli, 9. Amine Gouiri, 14. Igor Paixao, 19. Geoffrey Kondogbia, 22. Timothy Weah, 33. Emerson Palmieri, 42. Nouhoum Kamissoko, 77. Amine Harit
Substitutes: 7. Angel Gomes, 11. Neal Maupay, 18. Abdoul Bamo Meite, 21. Nayef Aguerd, 25. Ulisses Garcia Lopes, 43. Tadjidine Mmadi, 48. Keyliane AbdallahInjury, 74. Kelyann Bezahaf, 92. Theo Vermot
Coach: Bruno Genesio
Our pick: protection against the draw
For Angers against Marseille at Stade Raymond Kopa, our pick is Handicap 2 (0) 1.52. The visitors have won five of the seven meetings over the past five years without losing once. That record favours Marseille, but their recent results make draw protection preferable to backing an outright win.
Angers must adjust defensively: according to media reports, Jordan Lefort is suspended and Ousmane Camara is out with a muscle injury. Those absences weaken the hosts’ options against an attack with nine league goals to Angers’ seven. Marseille have their own absentees in Derek Cornelius and Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, while two defeats in three league away games argue against treating them as clear-cut winners. Predicted score: 1-2.
Final betting verdict
Handicap 2 (0) 1.52 balances Marseille’s advantage in this matchup with their uneven away results. Back the visitors with the draw covered rather than demand a win from a side still short of consistency.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Stade Brestois 29away1:5
- Troyes AChome2:0
- Le Havreaway0:0
- Stade Rennaishome1:2
- Auxerreaway3:1
- Olympiacos Piraeushome0:1
- Troyes ACaway2:0
- Paris Saint-Germainhome1:2
- Besiktasaway1:4
- Stade Rennaisaway0:1
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | RC Lens | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14:11 | 10 |
| 9 | Olympique de Marseille | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14:10 | 9 |
| 10 | Stade Brestois 29 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | 9 |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:15 | 7 |
| 15 | Angers SCO | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Mans | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:15 | 6 |
Head-to-head
- 17.01.2026Angers SCO2:5Olympique de MarseilleFrance. Ligue 1
- 29.10.2025Olympique de Marseille2:2Angers SCOFrance. Ligue 1
- 09.02.2025Angers SCO0:2Olympique de MarseilleFrance. Ligue 1
- 04.10.2024Olympique de Marseille1:1Angers SCOFrance. Ligue 1
- 14.05.2023Olympique de Marseille3:1Angers SCOFrance. Ligue 1
About the match
- 18 October · 09:00 New York
- Venue: Stade Raymond Kopa (Angers)
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market preference is clear but qualified
Marseille are favourites in the 1X2 market, with a margin-free win probability of 46.5%, compared with 27.7% for Angers and 25.8% for the draw. That is a preference rather than an expectation above 50%. No meaningful line movement has been recorded over the past 24 hours.
Over 2.5 goals is assessed at 59% and BTTS at 61.6%. Both expectations exceed the corresponding six-match league frequencies for either team, particularly Marseille's BTTS record. The short season sample limits that comparison, while the higher-scoring head-to-head history offers a contrasting reference.
Our prediction
- Market
- Handicap 2 (0)
- Odds
- 1.52
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 62%
- Market estimate
- 67%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.52
- Potential win
- 52 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.42
- Status
- won
- Profit
- +52 $