La Liga Match Prediction: Racing de Santander vs Real Madrid
Racing de Santander
Real MadridRacing de Santander host Real Madrid at Campos de Sport de El Sardinero in the eleventh round of La Liga. Racing are fourteenth with 11 points, while Madrid are third on 24 points, three behind Barcelona.
Racing Santander: home resilience against a stronger attack
Recent form and venue trend
Racing’s last five matches brought 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. They won their last two, beating Espanyol 2:1 and Ribadesella 2:0, after losses to Celta and Osasuna by 0:5 and 0:2 respectively.
At home in the league, Racing have 3 wins, 2 draws and no defeats in 5 matches, with 11 goals scored and 8 conceded. Their unbeaten record contrasts with those recent away defeats.
Strengths, weaknesses and personnel
- Racing average 1.5 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per league match, with 26 conceded overall and no clean sheets.
- BTTS (both teams to score) landed in 7 of 10 league fixtures, and Over 2.5 goals in 8.
Yassir Zabiri, Ivan Martin and Jeanuel Belocian are among Racing’s leading scorers. Sergio Canales has taken a leadership role after his previous spell at Real Madrid. Jorge Salinas is suspended for accumulated yellow cards. The coach fully rotated the side in the Copa del Rey, resting the regular starters.
- Ribadesellaaway2:0
- Espanyolhome2:1
- Osasunaaway0:2
- Valenciahome2:2
- Celtaaway0:5
Real Madrid: title pressure and sustained winning momentum
Recent results and league position
Real Madrid have won all of their last five matches. The sequence includes a 4:3 away win at Roma, home victories over Sevilla and RasenBallsport Leipzig, and a 2:1 win at Barcelona. Madrid scored in every match but conceded in 4.
In La Liga, Madrid have 8 wins and 2 defeats from 10 matches, with 25 goals scored and 10 conceded. Away from home, they have 3 wins and 2 defeats in 5 fixtures, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Racing are 16 points behind the leaders.
Key players and squad information
Kylian Mbappe leads Madrid’s scoring figures with 3 goals, followed by Yan Diomande with 2 goals and 1 assist, while Arda Guler has 1 goal. Courtois discussed his condition after missing El Clasico, but his return remains unconfirmed.
- Barcelonaaway2:1
- RasenBallsport Leipzighome4:1
- Sevillahome4:1
- Romaaway4:3
- Villarrealhome1:0
Head-to-head
- 18.02.2012Real Madrid4:0Racing de SantanderSpain. La Liga
- 21.09.2011Racing de Santander0:0Real MadridSpain. La Liga
- 06.03.2011Racing de Santander1:3Real MadridSpain. La Liga
- 23.10.2010Real Madrid6:1Racing de SantanderSpain. La Liga
- 04.04.2010Racing de Santander0:2Real MadridPrimera
News context around the fixture
Zabiri scored Racing’s winner against Espanyol. His scoring totals conflict: one tally puts him on 2 goals in 3 appearances, while another credits him with 8 La Liga goals. The discrepancy remains unresolved.
Mbappe’s off-field diplomatic controversy has no confirmed effect on his availability.
Our pick: Madrid to clear the handicap
Our bet is Handicap 2 (-1) 1.28. Madrid’s five straight wins include victory at Barcelona. Against a Racing defence conceding 2.6 goals per league game, that scoring rate supports backing more than a narrow away win. Madrid also remain three points off the summit, with little room to ease their title pursuit.
Racing have conceded in all ten league fixtures, and Jorge Salinas is suspended. The main counterweight is their unbeaten home record: three wins and two draws. Jose Alberto also rested his first-choice players in the cup, so fatigue is not a strong argument against the hosts. Still, Madrid’s attacking output makes the defensive mismatch more significant than Racing’s freshness. Predicted score: 1:3.
Final betting verdict
Handicap 2 (-1) 1.28 is our selection: a two-goal Madrid win or better wins the bet, while a one-goal victory returns the stake. Racing’s home resistance is the principal risk to clearing that margin.
FAQ
When does Racing de Santander — Real Madrid kick off?
The match starts on 01.11.2026 at 10:15 (New York), Campos de Sport de El Sardinero (Santander).
What is the prediction for Racing de Santander — Real Madrid?
Our pick is Handicap 2 (-1) at 1.28.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Racing de Santander win — 9%, draw — 13%, Real Madrid win — 78%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Ribadesellaaway2:0
- Espanyolhome2:1
- Osasunaaway0:2
- Valenciahome2:2
- Celtaaway0:5
- Barcelonaaway2:1
- RasenBallsport Leipzighome4:1
- Sevillahome4:1
- Romaaway4:3
- Villarrealhome1:0
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25:10 | 24 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 14 | Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 15 | Racing de Santander | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:26 | 11 |
| 16 | Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | 10 |
Head-to-head
- 18.02.2012Real Madrid4:0Racing de SantanderSpain. La Liga
- 21.09.2011Racing de Santander0:0Real MadridSpain. La Liga
- 06.03.2011Racing de Santander1:3Real MadridSpain. La Liga
- 23.10.2010Real Madrid6:1Racing de SantanderSpain. La Liga
- 04.04.2010Racing de Santander0:2Real MadridPrimera
About the match
- 1 November · 10:15 New York
- Venue: Campos de Sport de El Sardinero (Santander), Santander
- Weather: 17° · precip. 0% · wind 2.4 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 31.10 11:30
Market view and goal expectation
The market makes Real Madrid clear away favourites, assigning the home win an 8.9% probability, the draw 13.1% and the away win 78%. There has been no notable movement over the last twenty-four hours. The bookmaker margin on the 1X2 market is 1.6%.
The goal market is closer: Under 4.5 goals is assessed at 57.6%, against 42.4% for Over 4.5. BTTS “Yes” is priced at 62.8%; Madrid’s league BTTS rate is also 7 of 10. Racing’s unbeaten home record and Madrid’s away defeats temper the gap between their overall league records.
Our prediction
- Market
- Handicap 2 (-1)
- Current odds
- 1.28
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 73%
- Market estimate
- 73%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match
