Racing de Santander vs Espanyol prediction: La Liga
Racing de Santander
EspanyolMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (1) 1.32 pending
- Yellow cards: Total Under (6.5) 1.33 pending
Racing de Santander host Espanyol at El Sardinero on 24 October in La Liga’s tenth round. Both have eight points, one above 18th-placed Elche. Dry conditions and 17°C are forecast for kick-off.
Racing: home results cushion defensive damage
Recent form and the venue split
Racing sit 17th after two wins, two draws and five defeats. Their last five games brought one win, one draw and three losses, with six goals scored and 17 conceded, ending in a 2–0 defeat at Osasuna.
They remain unbeaten through four home league fixtures, scoring nine and conceding seven, in contrast to heavy away defeats at Barcelona and Celta.
Strengths and weaknesses in numbers
- Two wins and two draws at El Sardinero account for their entire points total.
- Racing have scored 13 league goals and conceded 25, an average of 2.78 against per match.
- Seven of nine league games went Over 2.5 goals, while six featured BTTS.
- They have kept no clean sheets in nine attempts, relying on scoring to secure home results.
Selection and attacking personnel
No confirmed probable lineup, formation, injury or suspension details are available for Racing. Yassir Zabiri and Ivan Martin each have one goal in two appearances, while Inigo Vicente has one assist in two. That sample is too small to establish an attacking hierarchy.
- Osasunaaway0:2
- Valenciahome2:2
- Celtaaway0:5
- Barcelonaaway2:7
- Deportivo Alaveshome2:1
Espanyol: fewer concessions, limited attacking output
Results away from Barcelona
Espanyol occupy 16th place with the same win-draw-loss record as Racing. Their latest five fixtures produced five goals for and seven against, ending in a 1–0 home loss to Atletico Madrid.
Away from home, they have one win, one draw and two defeats, with five goals scored and five conceded.
The main statistical contrasts
- Espanyol have conceded 12 league goals, fewer than half Racing’s total.
- Their attack averages 1.22 goals per league match, with 11 scored in nine outings.
- BTTS occurred in six of nine matches, despite two clean sheets.
- Five league games went Over 2.5 goals, a lower proportion than Racing’s.
Availability and named contributors
No confirmed probable lineup, formation, injury or suspension details are available for Espanyol. Bryan Zaragoza has one goal in two appearances and Javier Hernandez one assist in two, too small a sample to assess their attacking influence.
- Atletico Madridhome0:1
- Malagaaway1:1
- Elchehome1:3
- Rayo Vallecanoaway1:2
- Osasunaaway2:0
Previous meetings rewarded the home side
The two official meetings in the last five years were split evenly. Espanyol won 2–0 at home in August 2023, and Racing won 2–0 at home in February 2024, both in the Segunda Division. Each finished Under 2.5 goals without BTTS, though two older fixtures carry limited weight against this season’s scoring patterns.
- 10.02.2024Racing de Santander2:0EspanyolSpain. Segunda Division
- 19.08.2023Espanyol2:0Racing de SantanderSpain. Segunda Division
- 19.03.2012Espanyol3:1Racing de SantanderSpain. La Liga
- 22.10.2011Racing de Santander0:1EspanyolSpain. La Liga
- 03.04.2011Espanyol1:2Racing de SantanderSpain. La Liga
Survival pressure shapes the discussion
Espanyol’s case rests on avoiding defeats on the scale suffered by Racing, rather than stronger recent results: neither side has won in its last four matches.
Our Forecast
Racing de Santander face Espanyol at Campos de Sport de El Sardinero with both clubs on 8 points after 9 rounds, so the match carries direct relegation-battle value. The recommended bet is Individual Total 1 Over (1) 1.34. Racing have scored 9 goals in 4 home league matches and have found the net in every match at this ground. That home attacking output is notably stronger than their overall season average of 1.44 goals per fixture.
Espanyol have conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches across all competitions, including three goals at home to Elche and two away to Rayo Vallecano. Racing’s recent away defeats do not erase the home split: at El Sardinero they remain unbeaten in the league, with 2 wins and 2 draws. The hosts also scored twice in the latest home meeting with Valencia and twice against Deportivo Alaves. Their defensive record is vulnerable, but that increases the likelihood of an open game rather than reducing the chance of one Racing goal.
Conclusion
Individual Total 1 Over (1) 1.34 is supported by Racing’s 9 goals in 4 home matches and Espanyol’s concessions in 4 of their last 5 fixtures. A minimum of one home goal is the clearest angle in this matchup.
FAQ
When does Racing de Santander — Espanyol kick off?
The match starts on 24.10.2026 at 10:15 (New York), Campos de Sport de El Sardinero (Santander).
What is the prediction for Racing de Santander — Espanyol?
Our pick is Individual Total 1 Over (1) at 1.34.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Racing de Santander win — 41%, draw — 26%, Espanyol win — 32%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Osasunaaway0:2
- Valenciahome2:2
- Celtaaway0:5
- Barcelonaaway2:7
- Deportivo Alaveshome2:1
- Atletico Madridhome0:1
- Malagaaway1:1
- Elchehome1:3
- Rayo Vallecanoaway1:2
- Osasunaaway2:0
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Getafe | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:11 | 9 |
| 16 | Espanyol | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | 8 |
| 17 | Racing de Santander | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:25 | 8 |
| 18 | Elche | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:17 | 7 |
Head-to-head
- 10.02.2024Racing de Santander2:0EspanyolSpain. Segunda Division
- 19.08.2023Espanyol2:0Racing de SantanderSpain. Segunda Division
- 19.03.2012Espanyol3:1Racing de SantanderSpain. La Liga
- 22.10.2011Racing de Santander0:1EspanyolSpain. La Liga
- 03.04.2011Espanyol1:2Racing de SantanderSpain. La Liga
About the match
- 24 October · 10:15 New York
- Venue: Campos de Sport de El Sardinero (Santander), Santander
- Weather: 16° · precip. 0% · wind 4.3 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 24.10 05:20
A slight home lean, with goals favoured
The 1X2 market assigns Racing 40.1%, Espanyol 33.7% and the draw 26.2%. It narrowly favours the hosts despite the visitors’ defensive advantage. No notable line movement has occurred over the past 24 hours.
The goals markets assign 56.9% to Over 2.5 and 60.7% to BTTS. The preference is for goals, tempered by Espanyol’s lower concession rate and a sample of nine league matches per team.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 1 Over (1)
- Current odds
- 1.34
- Odds at prediction
- 1.38
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 68%
- Market estimate
- 70%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.38
- Potential win
- 38 $
- Status
- pending
