Getafe vs Sevilla: La Liga Match Prediction
Getafe
SevillaMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (0.5) 1.38 pending
- Yellow cards: Total Under (6.5) 1.28 pending
Getafe host Sevilla at the Coliseum on November 1 in La Liga’s 11th round. The hosts sit 18th with 9 points, while the visitors are sixth on 17. Getafe need points to move out of the relegation places; Sevilla are defending their position above Alaves.
Getafe: home resistance amid defensive setbacks
Recent results and the home-away divide
Getafe’s last five matches brought one win, two draws and two defeats. They followed a 2-5 loss to Lugano and a 0-4 defeat at Athletic Bilbao with a 3-2 cup win at UB Lebrijana. That restored some attacking output, but they conceded in all five games.
Strengths and weaknesses in numbers
- Unbeaten at home in the league: two wins and three draws, with five goals scored and three conceded.
- Only three of ten league games featured Over 2.5 goals; BTTS also occurred three times.
- Two league clean sheets leave little protection for an attack averaging 0.5 goals per game.
Availability and attacking options
Juanmi and Christantus Uche are out with knee injuries. Zaid Romero and Ivan Ason have resumed training, though that does not confirm starting readiness. Ramon Terrats has four yellow cards: he faces a suspension risk, not a confirmed ban. Martin Satriano has one league goal in three appearances, while Francho Serrano Gracia has one assist in three.
- UB Lebrijanaaway3:2
- Athletic Bilbaoaway0:4
- Luganohome2:5
- Rayo Vallecanohome1:1
- CS Universitatea Craiovaaway1:1
Sevilla: improving results, vulnerable away defence
Recent momentum and league position
Sevilla have won their last two matches, beating Osasuna 2-0 and AD Sporting Hortaleza 3-0. Across their last five, including a friendly, they recorded two wins, one draw and two defeats. The recent clean sheets contrast with the goals allowed across league trips to Levante and Real Madrid.
Where the visitors gain and lose ground
- Five league wins in ten matches underpin their upper-table position.
- On the road, two wins, two draws and one defeat have produced nine goals at each end.
- BTTS landed in seven of ten league games, with Over 2.5 goals in six.
- Three league clean sheets sit alongside an average of 1.6 goals conceded per match.
Injuries affecting selection
Miguel Sierra requires shoulder surgery; Marcao and Jon Guridi are also unavailable. Felix Correia remains doubtful following an injury against Levante, with no confirmed diagnosis. His two league goals match Isaac Romero’s tally; Robbie Ure has one goal and one assist.
- AD Sporting Hortalezaaway3:0
- Osasunahome2:0
- Real Madridaway1:4
- Levante UDaway3:3
- Aston Villahome1:3
Head-to-head: Sevilla ahead, recent scoring restrained
Sevilla won six of the ten official meetings over the last five years, against three Getafe victories and one draw. Getafe failed to score in the latest three home meetings, which ended in two defeats and a draw.
- 22.02.2026Getafe0:1SevillaSpain. La Liga
- 25.08.2025Sevilla1:2GetafeSpain. La Liga
- 01.02.2025Getafe0:0SevillaSpain. La Liga
- 14.09.2024Sevilla1:0GetafeSpain. La Liga
- 30.03.2024Getafe0:1SevillaSpain. La Liga
Match context and expert comment
No additional match-specific news or expert opinions are supplied.
Our pick: Sevilla to score
Our bet is Individual Total 2 Over (0.5) 1.42. Sevilla have scored in each of their last five matches, although that run includes a friendly, and average 1.6 goals per game in La Liga. Their nine goals across five league away fixtures make a single visiting goal a narrower requirement than backing an away win.
Getafe have conceded in all five of their latest outings across competitions. The main counterweight is their home league record: just three goals conceded in five games, with no defeats. That calls for restraint rather than a high scoring target. According to media reports, Miguel Sierra is unavailable and Felix Correia is doubtful, reducing Sevilla’s attacking options. A projected score of 1-1 fits the selection without requiring Sevilla to overcome Getafe’s home resistance.
Final verdict
Individual Total 2 Over (0.5) 1.42 targets Sevilla’s scoring output rather than the result. Getafe’s recent failure to keep a clean sheet makes one away goal the preferred angle, despite their stronger defensive record at the Coliseum.
FAQ
When does Getafe — Sevilla kick off?
The match starts on 01.11.2026 at 08:00 (New York), Coliseum (Getafe).
What is the prediction for Getafe — Sevilla?
Our pick is Individual Total 2 Over (0.5) at 1.42.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Getafe win — 29%, draw — 31%, Sevilla win — 40%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- UB Lebrijanaaway3:2
- Athletic Bilbaoaway0:4
- Luganohome2:5
- Rayo Vallecanohome1:1
- CS Universitatea Craiovaaway1:1
- AD Sporting Hortalezaaway3:0
- Osasunahome2:0
- Real Madridaway1:4
- Levante UDaway3:3
- Aston Villahome1:3
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:16 | 17 |
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 12 |
| 17 | Levante UD | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 18 | Getafe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5:15 | 9 |
| 19 | Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:17 | 6 |
Head-to-head
- 22.02.2026Getafe0:1SevillaSpain. La Liga
- 25.08.2025Sevilla1:2GetafeSpain. La Liga
- 01.02.2025Getafe0:0SevillaSpain. La Liga
- 14.09.2024Sevilla1:0GetafeSpain. La Liga
- 30.03.2024Getafe0:1SevillaSpain. La Liga
About the match
- 1 November · 08:00 New York
- Venue: Coliseum (Getafe)
- Weather: 19° · precip. 0% · wind 1 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 01.11 03:10
Market view: a narrow away advantage
Sevilla are modest favourites at a margin-free 38.5%, ahead of the draw at 31.5% and Getafe at 30%. That is a limited preference rather than strong confidence in the visitors. All listed lines have remained broadly unchanged over the last 24 hours.
Over 1.5 goals carries a 60.9% assessment, while BTTS No is favoured at 56.9%. The market therefore separates the prospect of multiple goals from both attacks contributing: Getafe’s low league output contrasts with Sevilla’s more open away record.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 2 Over (0.5)
- Current odds
- 1.42
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 66%
- Market estimate
- 66%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.42
- Potential win
- 42 $
- Status
- pending
