Russian Cup Prediction: Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chertanovo Match Preview
Volga Ulyanovsk
ChertanovoVolga Ulyanovsk host Chertanovo at Trud Stadium in the sixth round of the Regions Path of the Russian Cup. Both teams have won all four cup matches. The winner moves closer to a spring playoff against a Premier League club.
Volga Ulyanovsk: controlled recent run with home advantage
Volga are unbeaten in their last five matches, with three wins, two draws, eight goals scored and four conceded. They scored in all five. Their latest outing was a home draw with Tekstilshchik Ivanovo, following home clean-sheet wins over Veles Moscow and Murom.
Away from home, they drew with Rotor Volgograd and beat SKA-Khabarovsk, scoring four and conceding three across those matches.
Attack, defensive profile and available personnel
- Volga have scored eleven goals and conceded seven in the 2026 cup.
- They won both home cup matches, scoring five and conceding three.
- BTTS (both teams to score) landed in two of their four cup games; Volga kept two clean sheets.
- The recent five-match sequence includes three clean sheets, although the claim of one game without a goal conflicts with scoring in all five.
Volga’s cup attack has outpaced their recent scoring rate, but their defence has conceded more in the tournament than across their last five matches. Alexander Grishchenko is the head coach. Injuries, suspensions, the probable starting lineup and formation remain unconfirmed.
- Tekstilshchik Ivanovohome1:1
- Veles Moscowhome1:0
- SKA-Khabarovskaway2:1
- Muromhome1:0
- Rotor Volgogradaway2:2
Chertanovo: high-scoring cup record, tighter recent defence
Chertanovo’s last five matches brought three wins, one draw and one defeat, with five goals scored and three conceded. They scored in four fixtures. Their latest match was a goalless away draw at Torpedo Vladimir, following an away win at Dynamo Vologda. Their only defeat came at Yenisey Krasnoyarsk II.
Those three away matches produced a win, a draw and a defeat, with two goals scored and two conceded.
Scoring volume and squad information
- Chertanovo have scored twelve cup goals and conceded seven.
- All four cup games finished with BTTS and went Over the standard goal line.
- Their only away cup match was a win, with four goals scored and two conceded.
Matvey Melnikov and Yegor Kavtrev each have one cup goal from one appearance. Semen Semenov has one assist from one appearance.
Denis Pervushin is the head coach. Injuries, suspensions and the starting lineup remain unconfirmed.
- Torpedo Vladimiraway0:0
- Dynamo Vologdaaway1:0
- Tekstilshchik Ivanovohome2:1
- Baltika Kaliningrad IIhome1:0
- Yenisey Krasnoyarsk IIaway1:2
Head-to-head
- 27.06.2019Chertanovo3:2Volga UlyanovskClub Friendlies
Motivation and the match context
Chertanovo describe the tie as the “final of the 2026 season”: a match for the right to face a Premier League club in the spring FONBET Russian Cup playoff.
Our pick: Volga to progress through a home win
Our selection is W1 1.5. Volga's higher division offers a stronger competitive foundation for this cup tie, while two wins from two home matches in the competition show they have used that advantage effectively. Their cup return of 11 goals in four games suggests enough attacking output to punish a Chertanovo side that has conceded in every round.
The visitors have scored 12 cup goals themselves, so Volga cannot rely on containing them for the entire match. The stronger argument is that the hosts can keep creating chances: they have scored in all five recent fixtures and arrive without a defeat across that stretch. Chertanovo's three consecutive clean sheets deserve respect, but facing League 1 opposition raises the demands on that defence. Predicted score: 2-1 to Volga.
Backing the hosts to finish the job
W1 1.5 is the selection: Volga's division advantage and perfect home cup record make them the stronger side to back over 90 minutes.
FAQ
When does Volga Ulyanovsk — Chertanovo kick off?
The match starts on 05.11.2026 at 11:30 (New York), Trud (Ulyanovsk).
What is the prediction for Volga Ulyanovsk — Chertanovo?
Our pick is W1 at 1.5.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Volga Ulyanovsk win — 63%, draw — 20%, Chertanovo win — 16%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Tekstilshchik Ivanovohome1:1
- Veles Moscowhome1:0
- SKA-Khabarovskaway2:1
- Muromhome1:0
- Rotor Volgogradaway2:2
- Torpedo Vladimiraway0:0
- Dynamo Vologdaaway1:0
- Tekstilshchik Ivanovohome2:1
- Baltika Kaliningrad IIhome1:0
- Yenisey Krasnoyarsk IIaway1:2
Head-to-head
- 27.06.2019Chertanovo3:2Volga UlyanovskClub Friendlies
About the match
- 5 November · 11:30 New York
- Venue: Trud (Ulyanovsk), Ulʹyanovsk
- Weather: -2° · precip. 8% · wind 3.5 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 05.11 03:10
Market view and goal-line balance
The 1X2 market makes Volga clear favourites: home win 64.4%, draw 20.5% and away win 15.2%. There has been no notable movement over the last twenty-four hours. The bookmaker margin is 5.4%.
Over 2.5 and Under 2.5 each have an estimated probability of 50%. BTTS leans toward “No” at 53.5%, against 46.5% for “Yes”. The evenly balanced goal line contrasts with Chertanovo’s high-scoring cup matches, while Volga’s clean sheets support the slight preference for BTTS “No”.
Our prediction
- Market
- W1
- Current odds
- 1.5
- Odds at prediction
- 1.48
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 64%
- Market estimate
- 63%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match