Mito HollyHock vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction: J.League preview
Mito HollyHock
Sanfrecce HiroshimaMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (1) 1.27 won
- Yellow cards: Total Under (3.5) 1.28 won
Match result
Mito HollyHock 0:3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (0:1, 0:2)
In Japan J-League, Sanfrecce Hiroshima defeated Mito HollyHock with a 3:0 scoreline, leading 1:0 in the first half and adding two goals in the second (0:1, 0:2). With three goals scored by the away side, our prediction of Individual Total 2 Over (1.5) comfortably hit the target, and the bet won.
Our prediction: Individual Total 2 Over (1.5) at 1.45 — the bet won.
Our prediction: Half 2: Total Over (1) at 1.27 — the bet won.
Our prediction: Yellow Cards: Total Under (3.5) at 1.28 — the bet won.
Mito HollyHock host Sanfrecce Hiroshima at Mito Shinkin Bank Stadium in Tour 13 of the J-League. Mito are seventeenth with 9 points and need to close the gap to safety. Sanfrecce are third with 26 points, just 1 point behind the leaders.
Mito HollyHock: defensive decline and limited attacking output
Recent form and home-away split
Mito have lost four successive matches, with one win in their last five. They scored 2 goals and conceded 12 during that run, scoring in 2 of 5 games and conceding in 4. Their only clean sheet came in a 1:0 home win over Tokyo, followed by home defeats of 0:1 against Urawa Red Diamonds and 1:3 against Cerezo Osaka. Across those 3 home matches, they scored 2 goals and conceded 4.
Away defeats against Fagiano Okayama and Tokyo produced an aggregate score of 0:8, including a 6:0 loss to Tokyo. Mito failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches; the victory over Tokyo was followed by three defeats.
Across 12 league matches, Mito have scored 12 goals and conceded 22, a goal difference of minus 10. Chihiro Kato has 1 goal in 4 appearances, while Kaito Taniguchi has 1 assist in 4.
- Cerezo Osakahome1:3
- Tokyoaway0:6
- Fagiano Okayamaaway0:2
- Urawa Red Diamondshome0:1
- Tokyohome1:0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima: higher table strength with an uneven away profile
Results, production and personnel picture
Sanfrecce have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding 8. They scored in 4 of 5 games and kept 3 clean sheets in victories over Matsumoto Yamaga, Kyoto Sanga and Shimizu S-Pulse. Their last 2 home league games ended in 3:0 and 4:0 wins: 7 goals scored without conceding.
Their last 2 away fixtures brought defeats of 0:4 against V-Varen Nagasaki and 3:4 against Yokohama F. Marinos, conceding 4 in each. The latter was their latest away cup match, where their defence struggled in an open game.
After 12 league matches, Sanfrecce have scored 29 goals and conceded 10, a goal difference of plus 19. Among the leading teams listed, they have the strongest defensive record and the second-highest scoring total. Akito Suzuki has 3 goals and 2 assists in 4 matches; Taishi Matsumoto has 2 goals and 1 assist, while Daiki Suga has 1 goal and 2 assists.
- Yokohama F. Marinosaway3:4
- Shimizu S-Pulsehome4:0
- V-Varen Nagasakiaway0:4
- Kyoto Sangahome3:0
- Matsumoto Yamagaaway1:0
Head-to-head
- 27.08.2014Sanfrecce Hiroshima1:0Mito HollyHockJapan. Emperors Cup
- 30.08.2008Mito HollyHock1:4Sanfrecce HiroshimaJapan. J-League Division 2
- 21.06.2008Mito HollyHock1:2Sanfrecce HiroshimaJapan. J-League Division 2
- 23.03.2008Sanfrecce Hiroshima2:2Mito HollyHockJapan. J-League Division 2
- 03.11.2005Sanfrecce Hiroshima3:1Mito HollyHockJapan. Emperors Cup
Head-to-head record and current news
Head-to-head win totals and scoring records are unavailable.
There is no fresh team news, expert opinion, probable or confirmed lineup, formation, injury list or suspension information for either side. Personnel assessment is limited to tournament contributions and recent results.
Line-ups
Mito HollyHock
Starting XI: 3. Koshi Osaki, 15. Yasuki Kimoto, 16. Yuri Tamura, 17. Kenta Itakura, 19. Taishi Semba, 22. Kaito Taniguchi, 25. Takumi Mase, 27. Jakub Slowik, 30. Jin Okumura, 33. Patryck Ferreira, 44. Nishihara Motoki
Substitutes: 8. Chihiro Kato, 9. Ryo Nemoto, 20. Yu Funabashi, 29. Keisuke Tada, 34. Konosuke Nishikawa, 38. Hugo Leonardo Nunes Fernandes, 39. Hayata Yamamoto, 50. Rei Ieizumi, 53. Shota Yamashita
Coach: Naoki Mori
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Starting XI: 1. Keisuke Osako, 4. Hayato Araki, 5. Naoto Arai, 6. Hayao Kawabe, 7. Shunki Higashi, 10. Akito Suzuki, 15. Shuto Nakano, 23. Shun Ayukawa, 35. Yotaro Nakajima, 37. Kim Joo-sung, 45. Shimon Kobayashi
Substitutes: 9. Kusini Yengi, 14. Taishi Matsumoto, 18. Daiki Suga, 21. Yudai Tanaka, 29. Takuma Asano, 32. Sota Koshimichi, 46. Rento Noguchi, 50. Narumi Takahashi, 99. Issei Ouchi
Coach: Gaul Bartosch
Our pick: Hiroshima to score twice
Our bet is Individual Total 2 Over (1.5) 1.45. Sanfrecce Hiroshima have scored 29 goals in 12 league games. With third place and a one-point gap to the leaders, their attacking output is the strongest reason to back two away goals rather than rely on the match result.
Hiroshima scored at least three goals in three of their last four matches across all competitions. Mito conceded 12 in their last five matches, allowing at least two in each of the latest three. That combination puts the required threshold below Hiroshima's recent scoring peaks. The main caution is their away inconsistency: a 0:4 loss at Nagasaki shows that their attack can be shut out. A projected score is 0:2. No fresh injury, suspension or lineup information is available to refine that assessment.
Final betting verdict
Individual Total 2 Over (1.5) 1.45 targets Hiroshima's scoring without requiring them to win or Mito to contribute. The visitors' league scoring rate and the hosts' recent defensive losses support the two-goal threshold, though the away blank remains a clear risk.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Cerezo Osakahome1:3
- Tokyoaway0:6
- Fagiano Okayamaaway0:2
- Urawa Red Diamondshome0:1
- Tokyohome1:0
- Yokohama F. Marinosaway3:4
- Shimizu S-Pulsehome4:0
- V-Varen Nagasakiaway0:4
- Kyoto Sangahome3:0
- Matsumoto Yamagaaway1:0
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tokyo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 31:8 | 30 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 32:10 | 29 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 30:10 | 28 |
| 18 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15:24 | 10 |
| 19 | Mito HollyHock | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12:25 | 9 |
| 20 | Avispa Fukuoka | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13:24 | 7 |
Head-to-head
- 27.08.2014Sanfrecce Hiroshima1:0Mito HollyHockJapan. Emperors Cup
- 30.08.2008Mito HollyHock1:4Sanfrecce HiroshimaJapan. J-League Division 2
- 21.06.2008Mito HollyHock1:2Sanfrecce HiroshimaJapan. J-League Division 2
- 23.03.2008Sanfrecce Hiroshima2:2Mito HollyHockJapan. J-League Division 2
- 03.11.2005Sanfrecce Hiroshima3:1Mito HollyHockJapan. Emperors Cup
About the match
- 31 October · 01:00 New York
- Venue: Mito Shinkin Bank Stadium (Naka), Naka
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market view and goal expectation
The 1X2 market assigns Sanfrecce Hiroshima a 68.3% probability of an away win. Their odds are shortening, while those for a home win and draw are drifting. The table gap, scoring output and league defensive records favour the visitors.
Over 2.5 has a 58.5% probability, with the line moving in that direction. Mito’s recent concessions and Sanfrecce’s scoring output support that expectation, while the visitors’ clean sheets weigh against it. BTTS is almost balanced at 50.6% for Yes and 49.4% for No, with no meaningful movement: Mito’s low scoring rate contrasts with Sanfrecce’s defensive problems away from home.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 2 Over (1.5)
- Odds
- 1.45
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 64%
- Market estimate
- 64%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.45
- Potential win
- 45 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.45
- Status
- won
- Profit
- +45 $