Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-Pulse match forecast: Japan J-League
Kyoto Sanga
Shimizu S-PulseMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (1) 1.49 lost
- Yellow cards: Total Under (3.5) 1.36 lost
Match result
Kyoto Sanga 2:0 Shimizu S-Pulse (2:0, 0:0)
In Japan. J-League, Kyoto Sanga defeated Shimizu S-Pulse with a final score of 2:0, with all goals scored in the first half (2:0, 0:0). Following the two goals scored by the hosts, the prediction for Individual Total 1 Over (1) won.
Our prediction: Individual Total 1 Over (1) at 1.5 — the bet won.
Our prediction: Half 2: Total Over (1) at 1.49 — the bet lost.
Kyoto Sanga host Shimizu S-Pulse at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera in Kameoka in round 13 of the J-League. Kyoto sit 16th with 10 points, while their visitors are 13th.
Kyoto: home scoring offsets defensive leaks
Recent results and contrasting venues
Kyoto have two wins, two draws and one defeat in five matches. Their latest result was a 5–2 continental win over Newcastle Jets.
Strengths and weaknesses
- Kyoto scored in four of their last five fixtures, but conceded in four of those five.
- Their league return is 15 goals scored and 23 conceded in 12 games: the recent attacking improvement has not resolved the defensive imbalance.
Personnel and availability
Haruki Arai leads Kyoto's listed scorers with three goals in four appearances; Takumi Kato has one goal and one assist in three. Kyoto are without goalkeeper Minato Kamiyama, defenders Kazuma Okamoto and Akinari Kawazura, midfielders Mitsuki Saito and Yoshiki Torikai, and forwards Kotaro Uchino and Arata Watanabe.
- Newcastle Jetshome5:2
- Gamba Osakaaway2:2
- Kashima Antlershome2:2
- Sanfrecce Hiroshimaaway0:3
- Ratchaburihome1:0
Shimizu: a higher position, a sharper recent decline
Form at home and on the road
Shimizu's last five matches brought one win, one draw and three defeats. Their two latest outings ended 0–5 against Machida Zelvia and 0–4 at Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Attacking limits and defensive exposure
- Shimizu conceded in all five recent games, leaving no clean-sheet cushion when their scoring stopped.
- Their league attack has produced 10 goals in 12 matches.
- They have conceded 20 league goals, three fewer than the hosts despite the heavier recent defeats.
Key contributors and the goalkeeper absence
Tomoya Fujii has one goal and one assist in four tournament appearances. Hidehiro Sugai and Yuki Honda have one goal each. Goalkeeper Kei Ishikawa is unavailable through injury, having missed 30 matches since March. Probable lineups, formations, suspension details and comparative strength figures are not available.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshimaaway0:4
- Machida Zelviahome0:5
- Gamba Osakahome2:2
- Yokohama F. Marinosaway1:2
- Mito HollyHockaway2:1
Head-to-head results offer only a narrow edge
Kyoto lead the eight official meetings over five years by four wins to three, with one draw. Those games contained 16 goals, an average of 2.0; BTTS occurred in four. The latest meeting ended in a 2–1 Shimizu win at Kyoto, so the hosts' overall advantage has not translated into recent home control.
- 02.05.2026Kyoto Sanga1:2Shimizu S-PulseJapan. 100 Year Vision League. J1 Division
- 14.02.2026Shimizu S-Pulse1:2Kyoto SangaJapan. 100 Year Vision League. J1 Division
- 20.09.2025Kyoto Sanga0:1Shimizu S-PulseJapan. J-League
- 16.03.2025Shimizu S-Pulse1:2Kyoto SangaJapan. J-League
- 10.07.2024Kyoto Sanga3:1Shimizu S-PulseJapan. Emperors Cup
Preparation time separates the teams
According to media reports, Japanese journalists see a fitness and preparation advantage for Shimizu: they have not played since 24 October, while Kyoto were in continental action on 27 October. That gives the visitors seven days between fixtures against Kyoto's four, although extra recovery follows a defeat rather than an improvement in results.
Line-ups
Kyoto Sanga
Starting XI: 5. Hisashi Tawiah, 6. Joao Pedro, 9. Papagaio, 10. Shimpei Fukuoka, 11. Marco Tulio Oliveira Lemos, 15. Kodai Nagata, 17. Alex Negueba, 25. Yoon Sung-jun, 50. Yoshinori Suzuki, 77. Haruki Arai, 90. Hedhe Halls Rocha da Silva
Substitutes: 1. Gakuji Ota, 7. Masaya Okugawa, 23. Takumi Kato, 24. Hiroto Morooka, 40. Yusuke Ishida, 48. Ryuma Nakano, 60. Ryosuke Yamanaka, 62. Takaaki Shichi, 93. Shun Nagasawa
Coach: Ranko Popovic
Shimizu S-Pulse
Starting XI: 1. Yuya Oki, 3. Yuji Takahashi, 4. Sodai Hasukawa, 7. Joao Victor da Vitoria Fernandes, 9. Oh Se-hun, 13. Ryo Germain, 17. Masaki Yumiba, 21. Kai Matsuzaki, 24. Hidehiro Sugai, 25. Mateus Brunetti, 37. Kei Koizumi
Substitutes: 8. Kenta Inoue, 14. Park Seung-Wook, 16. Togo Umeda, 18. Taiki Hirato, 28. Yutaka Yoshida, 47. Yudai Shimamoto, 50. Tomoya Fujii, 81. Kazuki Kozuka, 97. Rinsei Ohata
Coach: Tatsuma Yoshida
Our pick: Kyoto to score twice
Our bet is Individual Total 1 Over (1) 1.5. Kyoto have scored in four of their last five matches. Shimizu have conceded nine across their last two outings and have failed to keep a clean sheet in five. The focus is on Kyoto's scoring rather than a home win: their own defensive record makes the match result a less attractive route.
Shimizu's longer preparation time is the main counterweight to the pick, while Kyoto's absent forwards Kotaro Uchino and Arata Watanabe reduce attacking options, according to media reports. Those absences temper expectations, but the visitors' recent defending still makes two home goals a credible target. A possible score is 2-1.
Final betting view
Individual Total 1 Over (1) 1.5 needs Kyoto to score twice for a winning return; exactly one goal returns the stake. That protection suits a selection built around the hosts' attack rather than their ability to hold a lead.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Newcastle Jetshome5:2
- Gamba Osakaaway2:2
- Kashima Antlershome2:2
- Sanfrecce Hiroshimaaway0:3
- Ratchaburihome1:0
- Sanfrecce Hiroshimaaway0:4
- Machida Zelviahome0:5
- Gamba Osakahome2:2
- Yokohama F. Marinosaway1:2
- Mito HollyHockaway2:1
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10:22 | 14 |
| 14 | Kyoto Sanga | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:23 | 13 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16:21 | 12 |
Head-to-head
- 02.05.2026Kyoto Sanga1:2Shimizu S-PulseJapan. 100 Year Vision League. J1 Division
- 14.02.2026Shimizu S-Pulse1:2Kyoto SangaJapan. 100 Year Vision League. J1 Division
- 20.09.2025Kyoto Sanga0:1Shimizu S-PulseJapan. J-League
- 16.03.2025Shimizu S-Pulse1:2Kyoto SangaJapan. J-League
- 10.07.2024Kyoto Sanga3:1Shimizu S-PulseJapan. Emperors Cup
About the match
- 31 October · 01:00 New York
- Venue: Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka), Kameoka
Odds
odds before kick-off
Kyoto favoured, but without majority backing
The 1X2 market assigns Kyoto a 42.6% chance, Shimizu 29.3% and the draw 28.1%. Support has strengthened for the hosts and the draw over 24 hours while weakening for the visitors. Kyoto are therefore favourites, but the market still places more combined probability on them not winning.
Under 2.5 goals carries a 54.2% assessment, with the totals line broadly unchanged. BTTS is closer to evenly balanced at 51.4% for yes, though movement favours no. The pricing separates recent defensive problems from an expectation of a high-scoring game.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 1 Over (1)
- Odds
- 1.5
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 62%
- Market estimate
- 62%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.5
- Potential win
- 50 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.5
- Status
- won
- Profit
- +50 $