Prediction for JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka in J-League
JEF United Ichihara Chiba
Avispa FukuokaMatch result
JEF United Ichihara Chiba 3:0 Avispa Fukuoka (1:0, 2:0)
In the Japan J-League match, JEF United Ichihara Chiba secured a 3:0 victory over Avispa Fukuoka. The host team took a 1:0 lead in the first half and scored 2:0 in the second half. Since the away side failed to find the net, our prediction of Individual Total 2 Over (0.5) lost.
Our prediction: Individual Total 2 Over (0.5) at 1.29 — the bet lost.
JEF United Ichihara Chiba host Avispa Fukuoka at Fukuda Denshi Arena in round 13 of the Japan J-League. Both have 7 points from 12 matches, with the hosts 20th and the visitors 19th.
JEF United: scoring recovery without a win
Recent results and venue contrast
JEF have three draws and two defeats in their last five matches across all competitions. Their two home games in that sequence finished 1:1 against V-Varen Nagasaki and 0:0 against Yokohama F. Marinos. The subsequent away fixtures produced a 3:2 defeat at Urawa and a 2:2 draw at Cerezo Osaka: attacking output improved, but defensive protection weakened.
Strengths and weaknesses in numbers
- The season return is 12 goals scored and 24 conceded.
Attacking contributors and selection
Erison Danilo de Souza has one goal and two assists in four tournament appearances, offering the clearest recorded combination of finishing and creation. Boniface Uduka and Takumi Tsukui each have one goal over the same number of appearances. No fresh team information was found.
- Cerezo Osakaaway2:2
- Urawa Red Diamondsaway2:3
- Yokohama F. Marinoshome0:0
- V-Varen Nagasakihome1:1
- Fagiano Okayamaaway0:1
Avispa: away defending drives the decline
Four consecutive defeats
Avispa followed a 2:1 home win over Fagiano Okayama with losses to Sagan Tosu, Machida Zelvia, Gamba Osaka and Tokyo Verdy. Their latest trip finished 3:1 against the team immediately above them in the standings.
Scoring presence, limited resistance
- Avispa have scored 13 league goals and conceded 21, a goal difference of minus 8 compared with JEF's minus 12.
- They scored in four of their last five matches but kept no clean sheets.
- Every game in that five-match sequence went Over 2.5 goals, and four featured BTTS.
Named scorers and squad information
Yu Hashimoto leads the listed scorers with two goals in four tournament appearances. Werik Popo and Yota Maejima have one apiece from four matches each. No confirmed selection, tactical formation, injuries or suspensions are available for the visitors.
- Tokyo Verdyaway1:3
- Gamba Osakahome1:2
- Machida Zelviaaway0:3
- Sagan Tosuaway1:2
- Fagiano Okayamahome2:1
Two meetings, the same score
The two official meetings recorded over the past five years both ended 2:2, in May and June 2026. Both were played at Avispa, so neither supplies a direct comparison for this venue. Each produced four goals and BTTS, but a sample of two is too small to establish a dependable scoring pattern.
- 06.06.2026Avispa Fukuoka2:2JEF United Ichihara ChibaJapan. J-League - Play-off
- 30.05.2026Avispa Fukuoka2:2JEF United Ichihara ChibaJapan. J-League - Play-off
- 25.10.2020Avispa Fukuoka1:0JEF United Ichihara ChibaJapan. J-League Division 2
- 02.09.2020JEF United Ichihara Chiba2:2Avispa FukuokaJapan. J-League Division 2
- 20.07.2019JEF United Ichihara Chiba3:0Avispa FukuokaJapan. J-League Division 2
No fresh team announcements
No fresh match news or expert opinions are available.
Line-ups
JEF United Ichihara Chiba
Starting XI: 2. Boniface Uduka, 6. Luiz Eduardo Fleuri Pacheco, 7. Kazuki Tanaka, 13. Daisuke Suzuki, 15. Takayuki Mae, 19. Jose Aurelio Suarez Garcia, 29. Ken Yamura, 37. Makoto Himeno, 41. Takuya Yasui, 67. Masaru Hidaka, 99. Erison Danilo de Souza
Substitutes: 5. Yusuke Kobayashi, 8. Takumi Tsukui, 9. Hiroto Goya, 18. Naohiro Sugiyama, 20. Daichi Ishikawa, 23. Ryuga Suzuki, 24. Koji Toriumi, 39. Rikuto Ishio, 45. Leonardo Miramar Rocha
Coach: Yoshiyuki Kobayashi
Avispa Fukuoka
Starting XI: 2. Masato Yuzawa, 5. Takumi Kamijma, 6. Masato Shigemi, 9. Werik Popo, 11. Tomoya Miki, 13. Shu Morooka, 16. Teppei Oka, 20. Kenedeiebusu Mikuni, 24. Yuma Obata, 29. Yota Maejima, 34. Keiya Shiihashi
Substitutes: 1. Takumi Nagaishi, 17. Hiroki Akino, 25. Yuji Kitajima, 32. Abdul Hanan Sani Brown, 33. Kaoru Yamawaki, 37. Masakazu Tashiro, 38. Daiki Miya, 47. Yu Hashimoto, 52. Shohei Takemoto
Coach: Shinya Tsukahara
Our Prediction
JEF United Ichihara Chiba and Avispa Fukuoka meet at Fukuda Denshi Arena with both teams on 7 points after 12 rounds, occupying the bottom two positions. The away side has a clear scoring pattern for this market: Avispa scored in four of their last five matches, including each of their three most recent away games. Their defensive problems have not stopped them from creating chances, with 1, 0 and 1 goals on those trips.
JEF have conceded in four of their last five matches. Their latest three league fixtures finished 0:0, 2:3 and 2:2, respectively, while both meetings between these teams in 2026 finished 2:2, with Avispa scoring twice on each occasion. Yu Hashimoto leads the visitors with 2 tournament goals, and Werik Popo and Yota Maejima have also contributed. With no fresh injury, suspension or lineup information available, the most reliable angle remains the visitors’ ability to score at least once. Our bet is Individual Total 2 Over (0.5) at 1.29. Probable score: 1:2.
Conclusion
Individual Total 2 Over (0.5) at 1.29 is supported by Avispa’s goals in four of five recent matches, JEF’s concessions in four of five, and two goals in each of the teams’ two previous meetings this year.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Cerezo Osakaaway2:2
- Urawa Red Diamondsaway2:3
- Yokohama F. Marinoshome0:0
- V-Varen Nagasakihome1:1
- Fagiano Okayamaaway0:1
- Tokyo Verdyaway1:3
- Gamba Osakahome1:2
- Machida Zelviaaway0:3
- Sagan Tosuaway1:2
- Fagiano Okayamahome2:1
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Tokyo Verdy | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 18 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15:24 | 10 |
| 19 | Mito HollyHock | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12:25 | 9 |
| 20 | Avispa Fukuoka | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13:24 | 7 |
Head-to-head
- 06.06.2026Avispa Fukuoka2:2JEF United Ichihara ChibaJapan. J-League - Play-off
- 30.05.2026Avispa Fukuoka2:2JEF United Ichihara ChibaJapan. J-League - Play-off
- 25.10.2020Avispa Fukuoka1:0JEF United Ichihara ChibaJapan. J-League Division 2
- 02.09.2020JEF United Ichihara Chiba2:2Avispa FukuokaJapan. J-League Division 2
- 20.07.2019JEF United Ichihara Chiba3:0Avispa FukuokaJapan. J-League Division 2
About the match
- 1 November · 01:00 New York
- Venue: Fukuda Denshi Arena (Chiba), Chiba
Odds
odds before kick-off
A narrow away lean rather than a firm favourite
Avispa are the marginal 1X2 favourites at 38.9%, ahead of JEF at 32.3%, with the draw at 28.8%. Their slightly better league scoring and defensive totals offer a season-level distinction, although the recent away defeats limit confidence in that advantage.
Under 2.5 goals carries 55.7% market probability, despite Avispa's recent high-scoring results. BTTS is almost evenly balanced, with Yes at 50.6%. No listed market has moved noticeably over the past 24 hours, so there is no directional shift to strengthen either interpretation.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 2 Over (0.5)
- Odds
- 1.29
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 72%
- Market estimate
- 72%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.29
- Potential win
- 29 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.29
- Status
- lost
- Profit
- −100 $