Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Israel Premier League Prediction
Maccabi Haifa
Hapoel Be'er ShevaMaccabi Haifa host Hapoel Be'er Sheva at Sammy Ofer in round 8 of the Israeli Premier League on 26 October. Haifa are third with 18 points, two behind leaders Maccabi Tel Aviv; the visitors are fourth with 16. Both have a game in hand on the top two, putting the lead within reach.
Maccabi Haifa: scoring pace drives the challenge
Five wins, with goals conceded
Haifa have won their last five matches, scoring 15 goals and conceding five. They last beat Maccabi Petah Tikva 2–1 away after a 4–1 victory at Hapoel Jerusalem. Their seven-game league record is six wins and one defeat, with 18 goals scored and nine conceded.
Home strengths and defensive weaknesses
- All three home league games ended in wins, with seven goals scored and four conceded.
- All seven league fixtures produced Over 2.5 goals.
- BTTS occurred in six of seven league matches, with one clean sheet.
- The three away games in their latest five brought ten goals scored and two conceded, a better balance than their recent home wins.
Selection and club affairs
Haifa have no confirmed injuries, suspensions, probable lineup or formation. Owner Yaakov Shahar intends to sell his entire stake for $100 million after 35 years of ownership; no link to match selection has been established.
- Maccabi Petah Tikvaaway2:1
- Hapoel Jerusalemaway4:1
- Ironi Tiberiashome3:2
- Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmonaaway4:0
- Hapoel Petah Tikvahome2:1
Hapoel Be'er Sheva: strong league travel, European setbacks
Domestic results differ from Europe
Be'er Sheva's last five matches brought three wins and two defeats, with six goals scored and seven conceded. League victories over Kiryat Shmona, Tiberias and Jerusalem contrast with European losses at AZ Alkmaar and Union Saint-Gilloise. The latter was a 4–0 defeat on 22 October, four days before this fixture.
The away record offers resistance
- Three away league matches have produced three wins, six goals scored and one conceded.
- Their seven-match league total is 12 goals for and eight against, a lower scoring rate than Haifa's.
- They have kept three league clean sheets.
- BTTS and Over 2.5 goals each occurred in four of seven league games.
Absences and rotation
Lucas Ventura and Idan Nachmias will miss the match through injury. Ran Kozhuk has indicated changes to the starting lineup after previously rotating his squad. The formation, replacements and suspension status remain unconfirmed.
- Royale Union Saint-Gilloiseaway0:4
- Hapoel Jerusalemhome2:1
- AZ Alkmaaraway1:2
- Ironi Tiberiasaway2:0
- Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmonahome1:0
Recent meetings favour Be'er Sheva overall
Across 15 official meetings in five years, Be'er Sheva have eight wins to Haifa's five, with two draws. Haifa lost the three latest home meetings without scoring, conceding five goals. The most recent encounter, in May, ended in a 5–2 Haifa away win.
The latest eight meetings produced 25 goals, but only three featured BTTS: scoring has more often been one-sided.
- 23.05.2026Hapoel Be'er Sheva2:5Maccabi HaifaIsrael. Premier League (Championship - Play-offs)
- 06.05.2026Maccabi Haifa0:1Hapoel Be'er ShevaIsrael. Premier League (Championship - Play-offs)
- 10.01.2026Hapoel Be'er Sheva0:0Maccabi HaifaIsrael. Premier League
- 29.09.2025Maccabi Haifa0:1Hapoel Be'er ShevaIsrael. Premier League
- 12.05.2025Hapoel Be'er Sheva4:1Maccabi HaifaIsrael. Premier League (Championship - Play-offs)
Kozhuk's concerns extend beyond selection
Kozhuk has discussed getting his team to perform without supporter backing, though his comment does not establish attendance arrangements for this match. Be'er Sheva also faced criticism in Belgium over their physical play in Europe.
Our pick: goals at both ends
Our selection is Both Teams To Score - Yes 1.42. Haifa have scored 18 goals in seven league games, but kept just one clean sheet. Their attacking output makes a home goal credible; their defensive record leaves room for Be'er Sheva to respond rather than requiring the visitors to control the match.
Be'er Sheva have scored six goals across three away league wins, so their route to a goal rests on domestic performances, not an assumed recovery from Europe. They have conceded only once on those trips, the main risk to this pick, although seven matches remain a small sample. According to media reports, Lucas Ventura and Idan Nahmias are unavailable through injury. A possible score is 2-1 to Haifa.
Final betting view
Both Teams To Score - Yes 1.42 is preferable to backing a winner: Haifa's limited clean-sheet record and Be'er Sheva's away scoring offer separate routes to the bet landing, despite the visitors' strong domestic defence.
FAQ
When does Maccabi Haifa — Hapoel Be'er Sheva kick off?
The match starts on 26.10.2026 at 13:00 (New York), Sammy Ofer (Haifa).
What is the prediction for Maccabi Haifa — Hapoel Be'er Sheva?
Our pick is Both Teams To Score - Yes at 1.42.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Maccabi Haifa win — 41%, draw — 27%, Hapoel Be'er Sheva win — 33%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Maccabi Petah Tikvaaway2:1
- Hapoel Jerusalemaway4:1
- Ironi Tiberiashome3:2
- Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmonaaway4:0
- Hapoel Petah Tikvahome2:1
- Royale Union Saint-Gilloiseaway0:4
- Hapoel Jerusalemhome2:1
- AZ Alkmaaraway1:2
- Ironi Tiberiasaway2:0
- Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmonahome1:0
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | 19 |
| 3 | Maccabi Haifa | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18:9 | 18 |
| 4 | Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:8 | 16 |
| 5 | Beitar Jerusalem | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 16 |
Head-to-head
- 23.05.2026Hapoel Be'er Sheva2:5Maccabi HaifaIsrael. Premier League (Championship - Play-offs)
- 06.05.2026Maccabi Haifa0:1Hapoel Be'er ShevaIsrael. Premier League (Championship - Play-offs)
- 10.01.2026Hapoel Be'er Sheva0:0Maccabi HaifaIsrael. Premier League
- 29.09.2025Maccabi Haifa0:1Hapoel Be'er ShevaIsrael. Premier League
- 12.05.2025Hapoel Be'er Sheva4:1Maccabi HaifaIsrael. Premier League (Championship - Play-offs)
About the match
- 26 October · 13:00 New York
- Venue: Sammy Ofer (Haifa), Khayfa
- Weather: 23° · precip. 0% · wind 3.4 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 26.10 00:10
A narrow home preference, not a clear mismatch
The margin-free 1X2 probabilities put Haifa at 40.8%, Be'er Sheva at 32.6% and the draw at 26.6%—a narrow home preference.
BTTS is priced at a probability of 65.2%, while Under 3.5 goals carries 57.7%, distinguishing goals at both ends from a high total. None of the listed lines has moved noticeably over the past 24 hours.
Our prediction
- Market
- Both Teams To Score - Yes
- Current odds
- 1.42
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 65%
- Market estimate
- 65%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.42
- Potential win
- 42 $
- Status
- pending