Israel Premier League Prediction: Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Maccabi HaifaMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (1) 1.27 void
Hapoel Tel Aviv host Maccabi Haifa at Bloomfield in the ninth round of the Israel Premier League. Hapoel are third with 19 points from 8 matches. They trail leaders Hapoel Be'er Sheva by three and four points respectively.
Hapoel Tel Aviv: defensive control and home advantage
Recent form and tactical profile
Hapoel have won their last five matches. Their latest result was a 3:2 away win over Maccabi Tel Aviv, following victories over Hapoel Petah Tikva, Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona, Ironi Tiberias and Hapoel Jerusalem. They scored in all five games.
Their league record is 6 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, with 18 goals scored and 5 conceded. Six clean sheets in eight league games show how consistently they have limited opponents; BTTS (both teams to score) landed in only 2 of those 8 matches. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of 8.
- Home league record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 0 defeats.
- Home goals: 11 scored, 0 conceded.
- Alʹtman O.: 2 goals in 3 league appearances.
- Ovusu: 1 goal and 1 assist in 3 matches.
Hapoel's home record covers only four fixtures, limiting its value as a long-term measure.
- Maccabi Tel Avivaway3:2
- Hapoel Jerusalemaway3:0
- Ironi Tiberiashome1:0
- Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmonaaway3:1
- Hapoel Petah Tikvahome3:0
Maccabi Haifa: productive attack, vulnerable defence
Recent results and squad situation
Maccabi have won 4 of their last 5 matches, but their latest outing ended in a 2:5 home defeat to Hapoel Be'er Sheva. They found the net in every match and conceded in 4 of 5.
Their league record is 6 wins and 2 defeats, with 20 goals for and 14 against. Their scoring average of 2.5 goals per match exceeds Hapoel's, but they have conceded 1.75 per game and kept only one clean sheet. BTTS landed in 7 of 8 league matches, while Over 2.5 goals landed in all 8.
- Away league record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 1 defeat.
- Away goals: 11 scored, 5 conceded.
- Adam Grimberg: 2 goals in 2 appearances.
- Andrija Novakovich and Pedro Brazao: 1 goal and 1 assist each.
- Hapoel Be'er Shevahome2:5
- Maccabi Petah Tikvaaway2:1
- Hapoel Jerusalemaway4:1
- Ironi Tiberiashome3:2
- Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmonaaway4:0
Head-to-head record and scoring pattern
Across 12 official meetings in the last five years, Hapoel have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 8. Maccabi lead the overall record, but Hapoel won their latest two home meetings 2:0 and 4:0. The most recent meeting, in May, ended 4:1 to Maccabi on their own ground.
Those results show a shift from low totals toward wider winning margins, with Hapoel's recent successes concentrated at Bloomfield. The latest four finished 2:1, 2:0, 4:0 and 4:1.
- 19.05.2026Maccabi Haifa4:1Hapoel Tel AvivIsrael. Premier League (Championship - Play-offs)
- 29.04.2026Hapoel Tel Aviv4:0Maccabi HaifaIsrael. Premier League (Championship - Play-offs)
- 06.04.2026Hapoel Tel Aviv2:0Maccabi HaifaIsrael. Premier League
- 02.12.2025Maccabi Haifa2:1Hapoel Tel AvivIsrael. Premier League
- 17.03.2024Maccabi Haifa0:0Hapoel Tel AvivIsrael. Premier League
Team news and competitive context
Hapoel are without right-wing option Stav Turiel because of a groin strain. No further injuries or suspensions are listed for the hosts.
Maccabi have eight listed unavailable players. Named absentees include left-backs Pierre Cornud and Inon Faingezicht, centre-back Elad Amir, goalkeeper Sharif Kayouf, midfielders Amit Arazi and Cedric Don, and centre-forward Guy Melamed. The absences affect goalkeeper, defence, central midfield and attack, reducing their options against Hapoel's productive home attack.
Neither starting eleven nor formation is confirmed. A win would keep either side close to the leaders.
Line-ups
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Starting XI: 4. Francisco Alves da Silva Neto, 5. Fernand Mayembo, 6. Andrian Kraev, 15. Roei Alkoukin, 22. Assaf Tzur, 32. Yannick Leliendal, 35. Douglas Owusu, 44. Daniel Dappa, 51. Omri Altman, 97. Marcus Coco, 98. Lucas Falcao
Substitutes: 1. Dor Benyamini, 7. Roy Korine, 8. Yonatan Ferber, 14. El Yam Kancepolsky, 16. Doron Leidner, 18. Tal Archel, 21. Shahar Piven, 23. Amit Lemkin, 27. Mor Buskila
Coach: Elyaniv Barda
Maccabi Haifa
Starting XI: 2. Eli Dasa, 4. Ali Mohamed Muhammad Al Faz, 9. Andrija Novakovich, 10. Bruno Roberto Pereira da Silva, 19. Ethane Azoulay, 21. Nigel Lonwijk, 25. Jelle Bataille, 29. Iyad Khalaili, 30. Pedro Brazao, 55. Omri Glazer, 66. Wenderson de Freitas Soares
Substitutes: 1. Omer Yaacov Nir On, 7. Yair Mordechai, 8. Yarin Levi, 11. Kenji Gorre, 16. Kenny Hasan Sayef, 26. Silva Kani, 36. Navot Ratner, 38. Adam Grimberg, 44. Correia Pedrao
Coach: Barak Bakhar
Our scoring pick at Bloomfield
Our bet is Individual Total 1 Over (1) 1.25. Hapoel scored at least twice in four of their last five matches, so the case rests on repeated attacking output rather than a home win. Their 11 goals across four home league games also put the target below their average return, although that is still a small sample.
Maccabi have conceded 14 goals in eight league fixtures, with just one clean sheet. According to media reports, goalkeeper Sharif Kayuf and defenders Pierre Cornud, Elad Amir and Yinon Feingezicht are unavailable through injury, reducing their options both in goal and across the back line. Hapoel's missing winger Stav Turiel weakens one attacking outlet, but the selection does not require the hosts to shut out a visiting attack averaging 2.5 league goals per game. Predicted score: 2:1.
Betting conclusion
Individual Total 1 Over (1) 1.25 targets two Hapoel goals without depending on the match result. Exactly one home goal returns the stake; the visitors' defensive absences make the higher return worth pursuing, not certain.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Maccabi Tel Avivaway3:2
- Hapoel Jerusalemaway3:0
- Ironi Tiberiashome1:0
- Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmonaaway3:1
- Hapoel Petah Tikvahome3:0
- Hapoel Be'er Shevahome2:5
- Maccabi Petah Tikvaaway2:1
- Hapoel Jerusalemaway4:1
- Ironi Tiberiashome3:2
- Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmonaaway4:0
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 24:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | 19 |
| 4 | Maccabi Haifa | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20:14 | 18 |
| 5 | Beitar Jerusalem | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 17 |
Head-to-head
- 19.05.2026Maccabi Haifa4:1Hapoel Tel AvivIsrael. Premier League (Championship - Play-offs)
- 29.04.2026Hapoel Tel Aviv4:0Maccabi HaifaIsrael. Premier League (Championship - Play-offs)
- 06.04.2026Hapoel Tel Aviv2:0Maccabi HaifaIsrael. Premier League
- 02.12.2025Maccabi Haifa2:1Hapoel Tel AvivIsrael. Premier League
- 17.03.2024Maccabi Haifa0:0Hapoel Tel AvivIsrael. Premier League
About the match
- 2 November · 13:30 New York
- Venue: Bloomfield (Tel Aviv), Telʹ-Aviv
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market expectations and line direction
The 1X2 market assigns Hapoel a 45.6% home-win probability, compared with 25% for the draw and 29.4% for an away win. The hosts are moderate favourites: their defensive advantage is balanced against Maccabi's away results and higher scoring rate.
Over 2.5 is rated at 60.1%, while BTTS — Yes is rated at 62.6%. Neither market has shown notable movement during the last 24 hours.
The goals markets favour Maccabi's high-scoring match pattern over Hapoel's home clean-sheet record. That contrast is the central risk for a BTTS — Yes bet.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 1 Over (1)
- Odds
- 1.27
- Odds at prediction
- 1.25
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 78%
- Market estimate
- 74%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.27
- Potential win
- 27 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.25
- Status
- won
- Profit
- +27 $