Sonnenhof — Augsburg Forecast: DFB Pokal Match Analysis
Sonnenhof
AugsburgSonnenhof host Augsburg at WIRmachenDRUCK Arena in Aspach on 27 October, with a place in the DFB Pokal third round at stake. The hosts play in the third tier; Augsburg play in the Bundesliga. Kick-off is scheduled for 13:00 America/New_York time. Dry weather and a temperature of 11°C are expected.
Sonnenhof: scoring regularly, conceding heavily
Recent results and home performance
Sonnenhof’s last five matches produced one win, two draws and two defeats, with eight goals scored and 17 conceded. The sequence ended with a 7:1 loss at Wehen Wiesbaden three days before this tie. Their two latest home games brought a 1:5 defeat against Waldhof Mannheim and a 3:2 victory over Preussen Munster, showing that Aspach has not prevented defensive problems.
Attacking output and defensive risks
- Sonnenhof scored in all five recent matches, including both heavy defeats.
- They conceded in all five, with BTTS landing in each game.
- Four of those five matches finished with Over 2.5 goals.
- Their recorded cup campaign contains six goals scored, two conceded and two clean sheets across three home appearances, but this is a small sample.
Selection information
No confirmed Sonnenhof injury list, suspensions, likely lineup or formation is available. The recent scoring record supports assessing the attack as a unit, but there is no basis for naming a particular player as the central threat.
- Wehen Wiesbadenaway1:7
- Preussen Munsterhome3:2
- Viktoria Kolnaway2:2
- Waldhof Mannheimhome1:5
- 1. Kaiserslauternaway1:1
Augsburg: top-flight opposition, vulnerable defence
A winless sequence with goals at both ends
Augsburg have drawn three and lost two of their last five fixtures, scoring ten goals and conceding 12. The run includes a friendly against Hertha BSC. Their latest competitive result was a 1:1 draw with Union Berlin; the two listed away games ended in defeats at Werder Bremen and Elversberg. Those trips produced five Augsburg goals and seven conceded.
Strengths and weaknesses in numbers
- Augsburg scored in each of their five recent matches, reaching at least two goals in four.
- They kept no clean sheets during that sequence, and BTTS occurred every time.
- Four of the five fixtures went Over 2.5 goals.
- Their sole recorded cup appearance brought two goals without reply away from home; one match cannot establish a reliable defensive trend.
Absences across several positions
Defenders Noahkai Banks and Calvin Brackelmann are out with knee-ligament and head injuries respectively. Midfielders Sima Suso, Alexis Claude-Maurice and Tim Breithaupt are also unavailable, while striker Steve Mounie is doubtful. The absences affect defence, midfield cover and attacking options, with no confirmed starting lineup or formation available.
- Union Berlinhome1:1
- Elversbergaway3:4
- Bayern Munichhome2:2
- Hertha BSChome2:2
- Werder Bremenaway2:3
Pressure on the visitors to end their drought
Augsburg are seeking a win after a reported six-match winless run. The cup offers a separate route forward, but there is no confirmed indication of rotation or a change of approach. No attributed expert assessment or current league positions are available for a more precise comparison of the teams’ standing.
Our pick: Augsburg to score twice
Our bet is Individual Total 2 Over (1.5) 1.3. Sonnenhof have conceded 16 goals in their last four matches, allowing at least two in each. That repeated failure to contain opponents is more relevant to this selection than their small sample of stronger cup results: Augsburg need two goals, not a convincing winning margin.
The visitors have reached that threshold in four of their last five games, including both away fixtures in that sequence. Their defensive problems therefore need not derail this bet, which does not require a clean sheet. According to media reports, Alexis Claude-Maurice is unavailable with muscular problems and Steve Mounie is doubtful through injury, reducing attacking options. Predicted score: 1:2.
Final betting verdict
Individual Total 2 Over (1.5) 1.3 targets Augsburg’s scoring rather than their ability to protect a lead. The hosts’ repeated concessions make two away goals the preferred angle, with the visitors’ attacking absences the main caution.
FAQ
When does Sonnenhof — Augsburg kick off?
The match starts on 27.10.2026 at 13:00 (New York), WIRmachenDRUCK Arena (Aspach).
What is the prediction for Sonnenhof — Augsburg?
Our pick is Individual Total 2 Over (1.5) at 1.3.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Sonnenhof win — 11%, draw — 15%, Augsburg win — 74%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Wehen Wiesbadenaway1:7
- Preussen Munsterhome3:2
- Viktoria Kolnaway2:2
- Waldhof Mannheimhome1:5
- 1. Kaiserslauternaway1:1
- Union Berlinhome1:1
- Elversbergaway3:4
- Bayern Munichhome2:2
- Hertha BSChome2:2
- Werder Bremenaway2:3
About the match
- 27 October · 13:00 New York
- Venue: WIRmachenDRUCK Arena (Aspach)
- Weather: 11° · precip. 0% · wind 3.8 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 27.10 03:10
A clear favourite, but less certainty on goals
Augsburg are firm favourites in the 1X2 market, with an implied away-win probability of 74.2% after removing the margin. The result line has shown no notable movement over the last 24 hours. The market is weighting the difference in competitive level more heavily than Augsburg’s immediate winless sequence.
The goals markets are more balanced. Under 3.5 holds a narrow probability advantage at 52.2%, but support has shifted towards Over during the last day. BTTS is assessed at 55.7%, with its price also shortening. That movement matches the recent pattern of both sides scoring and conceding, while the much smaller cup samples show cleaner defensive returns.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 2 Over (1.5)
- Current odds
- 1.3
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 71%
- Market estimate
- 71%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.3
- Potential win
- 30 $
- Status
- pending
