UEFA Europa League Prediction: Rennes vs OFI Crete Match Preview
Stade Rennais
OFI CreteMatch result
Stade Rennais 2:1 OFI Crete (0:1, 2:0)
Stade Rennais secured a 2:1 victory against OFI Crete in the UEFA Europa League. The match saw the visitors lead 0:1 in the first period, but Stade Rennais responded with a 2:0 score in the second half. As a result, the home win (W1) bet won.
Our prediction: W1 at 1.25 — the bet won.
Rennes host OFI Crete at Roazhon Park in the second round of the UEFA Europa League league phase. Rennes began with a goalless draw at Sturm and sit 18th with one point, while OFI opened with a 2:0 home win over Hoffenheim and occupy ninth place with three points. The home side therefore needs a result to close the early gap, while OFI can strengthen its position among the teams currently on three points.
Rennes: home strength against uneven recent form
Rennes have taken two wins, one draw and two defeats across their last five matches. Their home record in that sequence is stronger, with victories over Marseille and Auxerre. Away from home, Rennes drew 0:0 with Sturm but then lost 4:0 to Lyon and 1:0 to Laval. The latest 4:1 win over Auxerre restored attacking momentum, although the broader record shows that scoring has occurred in only 2 of the last 5 games.
What can decide Rennes’ performance
- Home output: a 4:1 win over Auxerre in their latest match.
- Defensive risk: Rennes have conceded in 3 of their last 5 matches, including 4 against Lyon.
- Clean sheets: a 0:0 draw at Sturm.
- Table pressure: Rennes have one point from the opening round.
Frank Haise said Rennes must win to validate the result against Sturm, according to media reports. The available table places Rennes 18th.
- Auxerrehome4:1
- Stade Lavalloisaway0:1
- Lyonaway0:4
- Sturm Grazaway0:0
- Olympique de Marseillehome1:0
OFI Crete: stronger five-match record, tested away
OFI have won 3 of their last 5 matches, drawn once and lost once, with 8 goals scored and 5 conceded. They kept clean sheets in wins over Nestos, Olympiacos and Hoffenheim, including a 1:0 away victory at Olympiacos. Their most recent match exposed a different profile: AEK won 3:0, leaving OFI without a goal in an away fixture after scoring in 4 of the previous 5 games.
Strengths and vulnerable points
- Recent results: 3 wins from 5, compared with Rennes’ 2.
- Scoring consistency: goals in 4 of the last 5 matches.
- Defensive record: 3 clean sheets in that sequence, but 5 goals conceded across the other two fixtures.
- Away contrast: a 1:0 win at Olympiacos was followed by a 0:3 defeat at AEK.
OFI will be without Christos Sielis because of a quadriceps injury and Aaron Iseka because of an adductor injury, according to media reports. The supplied facts do not name a likely formation, replacement players or further absences. OFI are ninth in the league-phase table with 3 points, 2 goals scored and none conceded.
- AEK Athensaway0:3
- Asteras Tripolishome2:2
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheimhome2:0
- Olympiacos Piraeusaway1:0
- Nestos Chrysoupolihome3:0
Team news and tournament context
The clearest motivational signal comes from Rennes’ coach: Haise described victory as necessary after the opening draw with Sturm. That message fits the table, where Rennes have one point and a negative early attacking record of 0 goals for and 0 against, while OFI already have a win and a 2:0 goal difference.
OFI’s two confirmed absences affect defensive and attacking depth, but the available information does not identify their replacements. No personal meetings between Rennes and OFI Crete are provided, so there is no head-to-head trend to apply.
Line-ups
Stade Rennais
Starting XI: 4. Charlie Cresswell, 9. Esteban Lepaul, 10. Ludovic Blas, 11. Musa Al Tamari, 17. Sebastian Szymanski, 18. Mahamadou Nagida, 21. Valentin Rongier, 30. Brice Samba, 45. Mahdi Kamara, 48. Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal, 95. Przemyslaw Frankowski
Substitutes: 5. Goncalo Calisto Oliveira, 6. Djaoui Cisse, 12. Eliezer Mayenda, 14. Bryan Reynolds, 16. Nicolas Lemaitre, 22. Boulaye Dia, 24. Anthony Rouault, 26. Quentin Merlin, 28. Adrien Thomasson, 60. Kilian Belazzoug, 70. Arnaud Nordin, 90. Issa Soumare
Coach: Franck Haise
OFI Crete
Starting XI: 2. Kresimir Krizmanic, 3. Nicolaos Athanasiou, 11. Taxiarchis Fountas, 14. Thanasis Androutsos, 15. Achilleas Poungouras, 18. Thiago Nuss, 19. Kenan Kodro, 24. Lorenzo Dickmann, 31. Nikolaos Christogeorgos, 41. Andreas Bouchalakis, 43. Dimitrios Nikolaou
Substitutes: 1. Klidman Lilo, 5. Konstantinos Kostoulas, 6. Zisis Karachalios, 8. Georgios Kanellopoulos, 10. Aitor Cantalapiedra, 13. Panagiotis Katsikas, 17. Borja Gonzalez, 21. Giannis Apostolakis, 30. Thiago Romano, 46. Giannis Theodosoulakis, 71. Athanasios Sitmalidis, 90. Pavlos Kenourgiakis
Coach: Christos Kontis
Recommended bet: W1 1.25
Rennes should be backed for a home win at Roazhon Park. Their recent results are uneven overall, but the home sample is clear: victories over Marseille and Auxerre. The latest 4:1 win over Auxerre also restored attacking momentum before a Europa League match that carries greater significance after the goalless draw at Sturm.
OFI Crete arrive with three wins in five matches, yet their latest away performance ended in a 0:3 defeat to AEK. The Greek side will also be without Christos Siелis and Aaron Iseka because of injuries, reducing the coach’s options in a fixture against a stronger opponent. Rennes’ need to collect three points is reinforced by coach Frank Haise’s statement that a victory is required to build on the opening draw. The market assigns the hosts a 77.7% win probability, while the away victory is rated at only 7.8%, with no line movement. Likely score: 2:0 to Rennes.
Conclusion
W1 1.25 is the selection. Rennes’ home strength, stronger squad, urgent tournament position and OFI’s injuries outweigh the visitors’ better five-match record.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Auxerrehome4:1
- Stade Lavalloisaway0:1
- Lyonaway0:4
- Sturm Grazaway0:0
- Olympique de Marseillehome1:0
- AEK Athensaway0:3
- Asteras Tripolishome2:2
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheimhome2:0
- Olympiacos Piraeusaway1:0
- Nestos Chrysoupolihome3:0
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 4 |
| 13 | Stade Rennais | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 14 | Dinamo Zagreb | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 14 | FC Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 17 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 18 | OFI Crete | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 19 | S.C.U. Torreense | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
About the match
- 15 October · 15:00 New York
- Venue: Roazhon Park (Rennes), Renn
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market view and goal lines
The market makes Rennes the clear favourite, assigning the home win a 77.7% probability. The draw is rated at 14.5% and an away win at 7.8%, with no notable movement over the last 24 hours. That distribution reflects Rennes’ home advantage, their latest 4:1 victory and the difference in squad reputation, while OFI’s three wins in five prevent the away side from being treated as a negligible attacking threat.
The goal market is more restrained: Under 3.5 goals carries a 56% probability against 44% for Over 3.5. Both teams to score is assessed at 48.4%, while the opposing outcome stands at 51.6%. The stable lines indicate that the market has not materially revised its view after the latest results. Rennes’ home scoring surge supports a higher total, but their three scoreless away games and OFI’s three recent clean sheets keep the lower-scoring scenario slightly ahead.
Our prediction
- Market
- W1
- Odds
- 1.25
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 78%
- Market estimate
- 81%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.25
- Potential win
- 25 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.19
- Status
- won
- Profit
- +25 $
