Juventus vs Stade Rennais: UEFA Europa League Match Prediction
Juventus
Stade RennaisJuventus host Stade Rennais at Allianz Stadium in Turin on 22 October in the third round of the Europa League league phase. Juventus lead with six points; Rennes are 13th, two points behind. Kick-off is at 12:45 America/New_York time.
Juventus: European scoring meets domestic setbacks
Recent form and contrasting venues
Juventus have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five matches. That includes a friendly defeat by Cremonese. Their two away games brought a draw at Cagliari and a win at Celta; their latest home match ended in a 3:0 defeat by Lazio. In the Europa League, they have scored seven goals, conceded one and taken maximum points from two fixtures.
Where the balance lies
- Both Europa League matches exceeded two goals, though the sample is only two games.
- They conceded in four of their last five matches across competitions, exposing defensive weaknesses outside Europe.
Absences could reshape the midfield
Khephren Thuram, Kenan Yildiz, Manuel Locatelli, Jeff Ekhator, Kamil Grabara, Jeremie Boga and Arkadiusz Milik are unavailable through injury. Locatelli has been absent since early September. A return to three central defenders is under consideration, but the formation is unconfirmed.
Thuram and Locatelli's absence reduces midfield options. Nick Woltemade and Randal Kolo Muani each have a European goal; Andrea Cambiaso has an assist.
- Laziohome0:3
- Celtaaway2:1
- Cagliari Calcioaway1:1
- Cremonesehome0:1
- Atalantahome2:0
Stade Rennais: attacking recovery, defensive exposure
Goals return without defensive relief
Rennes have won twice and lost three times in their last five matches, including a friendly defeat at Stade Lavallois. Their last three games included wins over Auxerre and OFI Crete followed by a 4:3 defeat at Paris.
Both wins came at home.
Strengths and pressure points
- Rennes are unbeaten in the Europa League, with four points from two matches.
- They have scored two European goals and conceded one, with one clean sheet.
- They conceded in all five recent matches.
Lepol's availability remains unresolved
Esteban Lepol is doubtful, leaving his place in Rennes' attack unsettled. Mahamadou Nagida and Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal have each scored once in the tournament.
- Parisaway3:4
- OFI Cretehome2:1
- Auxerrehome4:1
- Stade Lavalloisaway0:1
- Lyonaway0:4
Response to league defeats shapes the build-up
Juventus are targeting the Europa League title, a Champions League place and an extension of their unbeaten home run in the competition. Rennes also lost in the league at the weekend, leaving both teams seeking a response on Thursday.
Starting line-ups remain unconfirmed. Further suspension details, comparative team-strength figures and expert opinions are unavailable.
Our pick for Turin
Our bet is W1 1.6. Juventus have won both Europa League fixtures, scoring seven goals and conceding one. That attacking return matters against Rennes, who conceded four at Lyon and four at Paris in their two listed away league games. The visitors have struggled to contain opponents on the road, offering Juventus a route to victory without needing a clean sheet.
The hosts' absences limit confidence: according to media reports, Khephren Thuram, Manuel Locatelli and Kenan Yildiz are unavailable through injury, weakening midfield control and attacking options. A return to a back three is being considered, rather than confirmed. Juventus also enter after a 0:3 defeat by Lazio, so their European start should not be treated as proof of reliable form across competitions. Rennes have conceded in all five of their latest matches, though, making their defence the clearest weakness to target. Predicted score: 2:1.
Final decision
W1 1.6 remains the selection: Rennes' away defensive problems favour Juventus despite the hosts' depleted squad. The injuries argue for restraint in confidence, not a change of pick.
FAQ
When does Juventus — Stade Rennais kick off?
The match starts on 22.10.2026 at 12:45 (New York), Allianz (Torino).
What is the prediction for Juventus — Stade Rennais?
Our pick is W1 at 1.6.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Juventus win — 61%, draw — 22%, Stade Rennais win — 17%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Laziohome0:3
- Celtaaway2:1
- Cagliari Calcioaway1:1
- Cremonesehome0:1
- Atalantahome2:0
- Parisaway3:4
- OFI Cretehome2:1
- Auxerrehome4:1
- Stade Lavalloisaway0:1
- Lyonaway0:4
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 |
| 12 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 4 |
| 13 | Stade Rennais | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 14 | Dinamo Zagreb | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 14 | FC Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
About the match
- 22 October · 12:45 New York
- Venue: Allianz (Torino)
- Weather: 17° · precip. 0% · wind 0.8 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 21.10 13:30
Juventus favoured as the draw loses support
The market assigns Juventus a 60.5% chance of victory, the draw 22% and Rennes 17.5%. Over the last 24 hours, both win outcomes have attracted support, while the draw has weakened.
Over 2.5 goals is assessed at 56.5% and has attracted support, while Under has drifted; BTTS stands at 54.4%, with no meaningful movement. The market preference is for Over 2.5 goals, though the European sample remains small.
Our prediction
- Market
- W1
- Current odds
- 1.6
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 61%
- Market estimate
- 61%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.6
- Potential win
- 60 $
- Status
- pending
