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Celtic vs Celta: UEFA Europa League Match Prediction

UEFA Europa League· League phase. Tour 3
CelticCeltic
15:00
22 October · New York
CeltaCelta
12.7435%
X3.627%
22.5738%
Our prediction
Total Over (2) 1.37
Stake 100 $, potential win 37 $

Celtic host Celta at Celtic Park in the third round of the UEFA Europa League league phase. Both sides have lost their opening matches and sit without points, so the match carries direct weight in the fight to avoid falling further behind the qualifying positions. Celtic have conceded seven goals in two European games, while Celta have scored once and conceded three.

Celtic
CelticLast 5: 2 W, 0 D, 3 L

Celtic: attacking response after two European defeats

Celtic’s last five matches produced two wins and three defeats. The sequence shows a sharp split between domestic and European performances: they beat Motherwell away without conceding, then lost at Benfica, before dismantling Hearts 7:1 at home. Their other home results were defeats to Ferencvarosi and Rangers.

Form, structure and available players

The strongest recent attacking signal is the seven-goal display against Hearts, while Camilo Duran has already scored in the tournament and Haissem Hassan has supplied an assist. Celtic scored in four of their last five matches, but also conceded in four, and their European defensive record has been vulnerable against stronger opposition. Cameron Carter-Vickers is ruled out with a muscle or tendon injury; Yang Hyun-jun will not play despite returning to on-field training, and Kasper Høgh, Joel van den Berg and Shumaira Mheuka are also unavailable because of injuries, according to media reports.

At home, Celtic need to turn possession and the confidence from the Hearts victory into more reliable protection after losing their previous two home matches. The main advantages are the venue, recent attacking productivity and the ability to create a high-scoring domestic performance. The main risks are the defensive absence, reduced forward options and the contrast between seven goals against Hearts and the results in the two preceding home defeats.

Recent matches
  • Heart of Midlothianhome7:1
  • Benficaaway1:4
  • Motherwellaway2:0
  • Rangershome0:1
  • Ferencvarosihome1:3
Celta
CeltaLast 5: 2 W, 1 D, 2 L

Celta: steadier league results, limited European output

Celta’s last five matches brought two wins, one draw and two defeats. Their recent league sequence is stronger than Celtic’s: a 5:0 home win over Racing de Santander, a goalless draw at Elche and a 2:1 home victory over Deportivo Alaves. In Europe, they lost 0:1 away to AC Omonia and 1:2 at home to Juventus, scoring once in those two fixtures.

Form, threats and squad losses

Celta’s recent defensive record includes clean-sheet performances, while they have also conceded and scored in recent matches. Hugo Alvarez Antunez leads their tournament scoring with one goal, and Williot Swedberg has one assist. The team’s recent seven-point league run provides a better immediate platform than its European results, but the away attack has not yet produced a goal in this competition.

Borja Iglesias, Carl Starfelt, Iones El-Abdellaoui and Miguel Roman are all ruled out with injuries, according to media reports. The absences affect both ends of the pitch: Starfelt weakens defensive depth, while Iglesias and El-Abdellaoui reduce the available striking options.

Celta are placed above Celtic in the league-phase table because their goal difference is less negative, although both teams have zero points. Elo figures are not provided, so that comparison cannot be quantified. Celta’s recent defensive record is superior, but their European scoring output is the lowest-risk attacking profile in this fixture only on the basis of the recorded matches.

Head-to-head record

The supplied match information contains no previous meetings between Celtic and Celta, so there is no head-to-head pattern or shared scoring trend to use.

Recent matches
  • Deportivo Alaveshome2:1
  • Juventushome1:2
  • Elcheaway0:0
  • Racing de Santanderhome5:0
  • AC Omoniaaway0:1

Head-to-head

Celtic wins 1draws 0Celta wins 1
  • 12.12.2002Celta2:1CelticUEFA Europa League
  • 28.11.2002Celtic1:0CeltaUEFA Europa League

Team news and motivation before kickoff

Both clubs enter the fixture with two defeats in the Europa League, which makes the motivational situation clear: neither can afford another empty result if it wants to recover ground in the league phase. Celtic’s 7:1 win over Hearts is the immediate confidence boost, while Celta arrive after taking seven points from their last three La Liga matches.

According to media reports, Celtic have five unavailable players, including Carter-Vickers and Høgh, while Celta have four absentees, including Starfelt and Iglesias. The available information contains no expert prediction or confirmed starting elevens beyond these injury updates. The match therefore turns on whether Celtic’s home attacking surge can overcome defensive losses and whether Celta can transfer their league efficiency into a European away performance.

Our goals pick at Celtic Park

Celtic and Celta need their first points in the Europa League, making a cautious draw less useful to either side. Our pick is Total Over (2) 1.33: Celtic have conceded seven goals in two European fixtures, and defender Cameron Carter-Vickers is injured. Celta are also without injured centre-back Carl Starfelt, leaving both teams with defensive absences to manage.

The hosts have scored in four of their last five matches, including seven against Hearts, so their attacking threat is stronger than their European results suggest. Celta’s lower output is the main concern: they have scored just once in this competition, while Borja Iglesias is unavailable through injury. Still, Celtic’s defensive record offers the visitors a route to goal, and the need to recover lost ground should encourage attacking changes if either side falls behind. A 2:1 scoreline is our forecast.

Final betting verdict

Total Over (2) 1.33 is our pick. That protection matters given Celta’s limited European scoring return.

FAQ

When does Celtic — Celta kick off?

The match starts on 22.10.2026 at 15:00 (New York), Celtic Park (Glasgow).

What is the prediction for Celtic — Celta?

Our pick is Total Over (2) at 1.33.

What are the teams’ chances?

By market estimate: Celtic win — 35%, draw — 27%, Celta win — 38%.

Chances by market estimate

Celtic35%
Draw27%
Celta38%

Team form

Celtic
CelticLast 5: 2 W, 0 D, 3 L
  • Heart of Midlothianhome7:1
  • Benficaaway1:4
  • Motherwellaway2:0
  • Rangershome0:1
  • Ferencvarosihome1:3
Celta
CeltaLast 5: 2 W, 1 D, 2 L
  • Deportivo Alaveshome2:1
  • Juventushome1:2
  • Elcheaway0:0
  • Racing de Santanderhome5:0
  • AC Omoniaaway0:1

Standings

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
27N.E.C.20111:61
28Celta20021:30
29Anderlecht20021:30
30TSG 1899 Hoffenheim20022:50
31Viktoria Plzen20021:50
32Olympique de Marseille20021:50
33Celtic20022:70
34Ararat - Armenia20022:70

Head-to-head

Celtic wins 1draws 0Celta wins 1
  • 12.12.2002Celta2:1CelticUEFA Europa League
  • 28.11.2002Celtic1:0CeltaUEFA Europa League

About the match

  • 22 October · 15:00 New York
  • Venue: Celtic Park (Glasgow)

Odds

Match result
W12.74
X3.6
W22.57
Double chance
1X1.54
121.32
2X1.49
Handicaps
Handicap 1 (-1)4.5
Handicap 1 (0)1.95
Handicap 1 (1)1.21
Handicap 2 (-1)4.05
Handicap 2 (0)1.85
Handicap 2 (1)1.17
Totals
Total Over (2)1.33
Total Over (2.5)1.74
Total Over (3)2.22
Total Under (2)3.2
Total Under (2.5)2.09
Total Under (3)1.63
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score - Yes1.57
Both Teams To Score - No2.28

Odds updated 21.10 23:10

Market view and line movement

The 1X2 market is close to balanced, with Celta holding only a narrow edge over Celtic and the draw also carrying substantial probability. The unchanged line indicates no meaningful market revaluation during the last twenty-four hours. This is not a match with a strong consensus favourite: Celtic have home advantage and the latest seven-goal result, while Celta have the better recent defensive record and a stronger league sequence.

The totals market leans slightly toward Over, while BTTS Yes is the clearer side of the goals market. That view reflects Celtic’s recent pattern of scoring and conceding in the same matches, plus Celta’s two European games ending with goals for both teams only once. The market is therefore pricing a competitive game with a moderate chance of goals rather than a one-sided result.

Our prediction

Market
Total Over (2)
Current odds
1.33
Odds at prediction
1.37
Confidence
Our estimate
69%
Market estimate
71%
Stake amount
100 $ · 1.37
Potential win
37 $
Status
pending

More predictions for this tournament