Celta vs Juventus: UEFA Europa League Match Prediction
Celta
JuventusCelta host Juventus at Balaidos in Vigo on 15 October in the second round of the UEFA Europa League league phase. Celta seek their first points after an opening defeat; Juventus arrive as tournament leaders. The forecast is 17°C, no rain and wind of 0.7 m/s.
Celta: home scoring masks a leaner run
Recent results and league position
Celta’s last five matches produced one win, three draws and one defeat. Draws against Getafe and Malaga preceded the European defeat at Omonia, a home win over Racing and a goalless draw at Elche. They sit 25th in the Europa League, three points behind Juventus.
Strengths and weaknesses in numbers
Availability and attacking options
Borja Iglesias and Pablo Duran are out with calf problems; Duran’s followed a blow. Carl Starfelt, Miguel Roman and Jones El-Abdellaoui are also injured. Andres Antanon returns to the squad, while Iago Aspas has medical clearance. Claudio Giraldez will decide whether Aspas plays, with Iglesias and Duran absent.
- Elʹcheaway0:0
- Rasinghome5:0
- Omoniyaaway0:1
- Malagahome1:1
- Khetafeaway1:1
Juventus: productive at home, less secure away
Results behind the top position
Juventus recorded two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five outings. They lost 3:2 at Sassuolo, beat NEC 5:0 and Atalanta 2:0, then lost a friendly 1:0 to Cremonese before drawing 1:1 at Cagliari. The Cremonese result carries less competitive weight than the league and European fixtures. Juventus won their Europa League opener and sit first after one round.
Where the balance changes
- Both away games ended without a win, with three goals scored and four conceded.
- The two competitive home fixtures produced seven unanswered goals.
- Three of five matches finished Under 2.5 goals; the two highest-scoring games each contained five.
- Juventus scored in four of five outings. Both BTTS results came away from home.
Absences across the squad
Kenan Yildiz, Khephren Thuram, Manuel Locatelli, Jeff Ekhatori and Kamil Grabara will miss the match through injury; Jeremie Boga is also unavailable. Thuram and Locatelli’s absences reduce the midfield choices, while Yildiz and Boga are missing from the attack. No probable starting lineup, formation or suspension information has been confirmed, so specific replacements cannot be named.
- Kalʹyariaway1:1
- Kremonezehome0:1
- Atalantahome2:0
- NEKhome5:0
- Sassuoloaway2:3
Head-to-head
- 09.03.2000Selʹta4:0YuventusLiga Yevropy UYEFA
- 02.03.2000Yuventus1:0SelʹtaLiga Yevropy UYEFA
Giraldez and Aspas set an assertive tone
Giraldez called the Juventus fixture special and said Celta believe they can win. Aspas said the hosts are not afraid of Juventus and want to impose their own game. Both statements suggest attacking intent, though the missing forwards limit its execution. No separate expert opinions or Juventus pre-match comments have been confirmed.
Our pick: protection against the draw
Our bet is Handicap 2 (0) 1.53. Juventus offer the stronger scoring threat at Balaidos: they scored in four of their last five matches. The contrasting European starts favour the visitors, but their recent away results make draw protection preferable to backing an outright win.
Celta are missing Borja Iglesias and Pablo Duran, reducing their attacking options even with Iago Aspas medically cleared to play. Juventus must cope without Kenan Yildiz, Khephren Thuram and Manuel Locatelli, so expecting them to control every phase would be excessive. Celta's three draws in five matches are another reason to retain the refund on a level score. A narrow 0:1 is the predicted score, with the visitors' attacking edge weighed against absences on both sides.
Final betting verdict
Handicap 2 (0) 1.53 keeps the bet focused on Juventus winning while returning the stake if the match ends level. That protection matters against a home side whose recent results have often ended in draws; a Celta victory would lose the bet.
FAQ
When does Celta — Juventus kick off?
The match starts on 15.10.2026 at 15:00 (New York), Balaidos (Vigo).
What is the prediction for Celta — Juventus?
Our pick is Handicap 2 (0) at 1.53.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Celta win — 27%, draw — 29%, Juventus win — 44%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Elʹcheaway0:0
- Rasinghome5:0
- Omoniyaaway0:1
- Malagahome1:1
- Khetafeaway1:1
- Kalʹyariaway1:1
- Kremonezehome0:1
- Atalantahome2:0
- NEKhome5:0
- Sassuoloaway2:3
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 24 | Lillestrom | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 25 | Celta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 26 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
Head-to-head
- 09.03.2000Selʹta4:0YuventusLiga Yevropy UYEFA
- 02.03.2000Yuventus1:0SelʹtaLiga Yevropy UYEFA
About the match
- 15 October · 15:00 New York
- Venue: Balaidos (Vigo), Vigo
- Weather: 17° · precip. 0% · wind 0.7 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 14.10 15:10
Away favouritism softens as the line shifts
Juventus remain the 1X2 favourite, but support has shifted towards Celta and the draw over the past 24 hours. Their European start contrasts with their recent away results and absences; no numerical strength assessment is available for the comparison.
The goals market leans towards Under 2.5, which has strengthened over the same period. Low-scoring games account for the majority of both teams’ recent results, though their large home wins show the variation in scoring. BTTS remains almost evenly balanced, with no meaningful movement.
Our prediction
- Market
- Handicap 2 (0)
- Current odds
- 1.53
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 62%
- Market estimate
- 62%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.53
- Potential win
- 53 $
- Status
- pending
