Celje vs Omonia: UEFA Europa League Match Prediction
Celje
AC OmoniaCelje host Omonia at Stadion Z’dežele on 15 October in the second round of the UEFA Europa League league phase. Celje seek their first points; Omonia arrive after three consecutive victories. The forecast is 17°C, no rain and wind of 1.5 m/s.
Celje: defensive recovery, limited scoring
Recent results and home-away contrast
Celje’s last five matches brought one win, one draw and three defeats, with two goals scored and five conceded. They lost to Koper, Bravo and Bayer Leverkusen before drawing away at Mura and beating Aluminij at home. Their two home fixtures each contained a single goal, producing one victory and one defeat. Across three away games, Celje scored once and failed to win. They sit 31st in the Europa League after an opening-round loss.
Strengths and weaknesses in the numbers
- Celje kept two consecutive clean sheets after conceding in each of the preceding three matches.
- They failed to score in three of five games; the latest victory ended a three-match scoring drought.
- Four of those five matches stayed Under 2.5 goals; only the defeat at Bravo crossed that threshold.
- BTTS occurred once.
Availability and selection
Jošt Pišek will miss the match through injury. A probable starting XI, formation and further absences have not been confirmed.
- NK Alyuminiyhome1:0
- Muraaway0:0
- Bayyeraway0:2
- NK Bravoaway1:2
- Koperhome0:1
Omonia: stronger form across both venues
Winning momentum and European position
Omonia are unbeaten in their last five matches, with four wins and a draw, scoring 12 goals and conceding two. They beat Aris, drew with Apollon, then defeated Celta, Krasava ENI and Karmiotissa. Their European victory places them 16th, level on points with leaders Juventus.
The two away fixtures in this sequence brought seven goals scored and one conceded, although neither was a European match.
Attacking strengths and defensive balance
- Omonia scored at least three goals in three of their five recent matches.
- They kept three clean sheets.
- Three games went Over 2.5 goals; the other two contained one goal combined.
- BTTS occurred twice.
Travelling squad and unavailable players
Andreas Christou did not travel to Slovenia because of injury. Luuk Brouwers travelled but remains doubtful after a blow to the ankle. Carel Eiting and Fotis Kitsos are outside Omonia’s European squad and cannot feature. No starting lineup or tactical formation has been confirmed.
- Karmotissaaway3:0
- Krasava ENIhome4:1
- Selʹtahome1:0
- Apollonhome0:0
- Arisaway4:1
Preparation and unanswered selection questions
Celje have one fewer day between their latest domestic fixture and this European match than Omonia. That difference alone does not establish a physical disadvantage.
Our pick: Omonia to avoid defeat
Our bet is 2X 1.51. Omonia’s attacking output makes the visitors better placed to take points at Stadion Z’dežele: their two recent away games produced seven goals and just one conceded. Celje have scored in only two of their last five fixtures, so home advantage alone is unlikely to force Omonia into a game of sustained defensive pressure.
The hosts’ consecutive clean sheets are the main caution: a tighter contest would reduce the value of backing an outright away victory. Keeping the draw covered suits that risk. According to media reports, Celje will be without injured Jošt Pišek, while Omonia are missing Andreas Christou and have a doubt over Luuk Brouwers; Carel Eiting and Fotis Kitsos are outside their European squad. Those absences temper confidence in the visitors winning, rather than overturning the selection. Confirmed starting line-ups are unavailable. A plausible score is 1-1.
Final verdict
2X 1.51 is our choice: Omonia have the stronger recent attacking record away from home, while covering the draw respects Celje’s improved defensive results.
FAQ
When does Celje — AC Omonia kick off?
The match starts on 15.10.2026 at 12:45 (New York), Zdezhele (Celje).
What is the prediction for Celje — AC Omonia?
Our pick is 2X at 1.51.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Celje win — 36%, draw — 28%, AC Omonia win — 35%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- NK Alyuminiyhome1:0
- Muraaway0:0
- Bayyeraway0:2
- NK Bravoaway1:2
- Koperhome0:1
- Karmotissaaway3:0
- Krasava ENIhome4:1
- Selʹtahome1:0
- Apollonhome0:0
- Arisaway4:1
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 16 | AC Omonia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 17 | Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 30 | Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 31 | Celje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 32 | Olympique de Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
About the match
- 15 October · 12:45 New York
- Venue: Zdezhele (Celje), Tsele
- Weather: 17° · precip. 0% · wind 1.5 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 14.10 15:30
A narrow home edge under pressure
Celje remain marginal favourites in the 1X2 market, but the home-win line has drifted over the last 24 hours while the away-win line has shortened. The draw has stayed steady. Support has shifted towards Omonia without making them away favourites.
Over/Under 2.5 is almost evenly balanced, with no notable movement. BTTS is favoured over either side failing to score, also on an unchanged line. Celje’s scoring difficulties and both teams’ clean sheets weaken the case for BTTS, while Omonia’s away scoring makes Under 2.5 less straightforward.
Our prediction
- Market
- 2X
- Current odds
- 1.51
- Odds at prediction
- 1.59
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 65%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.51
- Potential win
- 51 $
- Status
- pending
