Besiktas vs Crystal Palace prediction: Europa League analysis
Besiktas
Crystal PalaceMore picks
- Yellow cards: Total Under (4.5) 1.33 won
- 2nd half: Total Over (1) 1.25 won
Match result
Besiktas 2:2 Crystal Palace (1:0, 1:2)
The UEFA Europa League match between Besiktas and Crystal Palace ended in a 2:2 draw, with period scores of 1:0 and 1:2. Both sides managed to score in this fixture, meaning our prediction for Both Teams To Score - Yes was successful and the bet won.
Our prediction: Both Teams To Score - Yes at 1.47 — the bet won.
Our prediction: Yellow Cards: Total Under (4.5) at 1.33 — the bet won.
Our prediction: Half 2: Total Over (1) at 1.25 — the bet won.
Besiktas host Crystal Palace at Tupras Stadium in Istanbul on 22 October in the third round of the UEFA Europa League league phase. The hosts are fourth with six points, level with leaders Juventus; Palace are 15th with three points and can draw level with their opponents with a win.
Besiktas: home strength, defensive concessions
Recent results and scoring patterns
Besiktas have three wins and two defeats in their last five matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding nine. They lost 2:0 at Trabzonspor on 19 October, their second defeat in three away fixtures.
At home, they have won all eight matches this season across all competitions, including recent victories over Marseille and Kocaelispor.
Where the hosts gain and lose ground
- Besiktas have scored seven goals in two Europa League games.
- They have conceded in all five recent matches.
- BTTS (both teams to score) occurred in four of those five games, as did Over 2.5 goals.
- Across their two recent home fixtures, they scored six goals and conceded two.
Attacking contributors and absentees
Hyeon-gyu Oh has two goals and one assist in his tournament appearance; Michael Murillo has one goal, and Junior Olaitan one assist. Milot Rashica is unavailable with a thigh strain, while central midfielder Orkun Kokcu is out with a partial fascial tear. Their absences reduce Vincenzo Italiano's midfield options for supplying the attack and making substitutions.
- Trabzonsporaway0:2
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheimaway3:2
- Kocaelisporhome2:1
- Amedsporaway2:3
- Olympique de Marseillehome4:1
Crystal Palace: away defence under pressure
A difficult run beyond the league table
Palace have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last five outings, including a friendly loss to Bristol City. They scored five goals and conceded 11. Successive competitive defeats at Lyon and Brighton brought eight goals against, with the latest ending 5:0 on 18 October.
In Europe, they have scored six goals and conceded three, collecting three points from two games.
Threat and inconsistency
- Their last three away matches yielded one draw and two defeats, with two goals scored and eight conceded.
- They failed to score in three of their last five games.
- The goalless draw at Leeds was their only clean sheet in that sequence.
- Three of the five matches finished Over 2.5 goals, but only two featured BTTS.
Missing options in defence and attack
Centre-back Chadi Riad is out with a knee injury, and right winger Ismaila Sarr is unavailable with a groin injury. Yeremy Pino and Daichi Kamada each have one tournament goal in their appearances, while Adam Wharton has an assist.
- Brighton & Hove Albionaway0:5
- Lyonaway2:3
- Nottingham Foresthome3:1
- Bristol Cityhome0:2
- Leeds Unitedaway0:0
Coaching confidence and squad depth
Besiktas are very satisfied with Italiano's work. At Palace, inconsistent results and insufficient squad depth remain concerns. Probable starting line-ups, formations, suspension updates and specific expert match opinions are unavailable.
Line-ups
Besiktas
Starting XI: 1. Alexander Nubel, 4. Wilfred Ndidi, 8. Kartal Kayra Yilmaz, 9. Hyeon-gyu Oh, 11. Kassoum Ouattara, 19. Leandro Trossard, 21. Fabio Miretti, 22. Taylan Bulut, 29. Ilhan Fakili, 35. Tiago Djalo, 50. Umit Akdag
Substitutes: 6. Salih Ozcan, 12. Emmanuel Agbadou, 15. Junior Olaitan, 17. Ernest Poku, 18. Vaclav Cerny, 28. Dusan Vlahovic, 33. Ridvan Yilmaz, 53. Emir Han Topcu, 58. Yasin Ozcan, 62. Michael Murillo, 80. Adem Dogan, 90. Semih Kilicsoy
Coach: Vincenzo Italiano
Crystal Palace
Starting XI: 3. Tyrick Mitchell, 5. Axel Disasi, 6. Jaydee Canvot, 10. Yeremy Jesus Pino Santos, 11. Dwight McNeil, 14. Jean-Philippe Mateta, 18. Daichi Kamada, 20. Adam Wharton, 25. Anan Khalaili, 26. Chris Richards, 44. Walter Benitez
Substitutes: 7. Ismaila Sarr, 9. Edward Nketiah, 19. Will Hughes, 21. Honest Ahanor, 22. Jorgen Strand Larsen, 24. Dario Osorio, 30. Oscar Mingueza, 31. Remi Matthews, 33. Ben Chilwell, 37. George King, 54. Dean Benamar, 81. Lucca Magalhaes Benetton
Coach: Pierre Sage
Our prediction: goals at both ends
Besiktas face Crystal Palace at Tupras Stadium with a chance to extend their six-point start in the Europa League. Our pick is Both Teams To Score - Yes 1.47: the hosts have scored seven goals in two European fixtures but conceded in all five of their latest matches across competitions.
Palace have conceded eight goals in their last two outings, making a clean sheet in Istanbul difficult to envisage. Yet their two goals away to Lyon show an attacking route into this contest. Besiktas have won all eight home games this season, so Palace face pressure from a side that has won every home game this season. The visitors' failure to score in three of their last five matches is the main risk, compounded by Ismaila Sarr's absence; Besiktas are also without Milot Rashica and Orkun Kekcu. A possible score is 2:1.
The betting verdict
Both Teams To Score - Yes 1.47 targets the contrast between Besiktas' European scoring output and their lack of clean sheets. Palace's recent away European goals make this preferable to relying on either side to win.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Trabzonsporaway0:2
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheimaway3:2
- Kocaelisporhome2:1
- Amedsporaway2:3
- Olympique de Marseillehome4:1
- Brighton & Hove Albionaway0:5
- Lyonaway2:3
- Nottingham Foresthome3:1
- Bristol Cityhome0:2
- Leeds Unitedaway0:0
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Besiktas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 14 | Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 14 | FC Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 | AC Sparta Prague | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 4 |
About the match
- 22 October · 15:00 New York
- Venue: Tupras (Istanbul), Stambul
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market favours the hosts without overwhelming conviction
The margin-free 1X2 probabilities are 45.1% for a home win, 25.4% for a draw and 29.5% for an away win. None of the listed markets has moved noticeably over the past 24 hours.
BTTS is assessed at 63.2%, while Under 3.5 goals carries a 59.9% probability. The market favours both teams scoring without requiring four goals; Palace's scoring failures make BTTS the less convincing betting option.
Our prediction
- Market
- Both Teams To Score - Yes
- Odds
- 1.47
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 63%
- Market estimate
- 64%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.47
- Potential win
- 47 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.46
- Status
- won
- Profit
- +47 $
