Cambridge United — Plymouth Argyle prediction: League One analysis
Cambridge United
Plymouth ArgyleMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (1) 1.3 pending
Cambridge United host Plymouth Argyle at the Abbey Stadium on 24 October in League One’s 13th round. Fourth meet fifth, separated by one point, with Cambridge having played one game fewer. The hosts are two points behind leaders Stockport County; Plymouth are three back.
Cambridge: consistent scoring, few clean sheets
Recent results and home balance
Cambridge are unbeaten in five matches across all competitions: three wins and two draws. Their latest result was a 2–2 draw with Wycombe, following victories over Blackpool and Barnsley. At home in the league, they have three wins, two draws and one defeat, scoring 10 and conceding eight. That home record combines a regular attacking return with limited defensive separation.
Strengths and weaknesses in numbers
- Only one defeat in 11 league matches makes Cambridge difficult to beat.
- They average 1.64 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per league game.
- BTTS has occurred in 10 of 11 league fixtures, with just one clean sheet.
- Seven of those 11 matches finished with more than 2.5 goals.
Availability and attacking contributors
Shayne Lavery has two goals and one assist in three appearances; Benjamin Knight has one goal and two assists over the same number. Shane McLaughlin, Callum Stead and Callum Perry are unavailable through injury. Forward Dan Efobi has joined Enfield Town on loan until January 2027.
- Wycombe Wanderershome2:2
- Barnsleyaway2:1
- Blackpoolhome1:0
- Northampton Townhome2:1
- Wimbledonhome1:1
Plymouth: a sharp reversal after three wins
Form and travelling performance
Plymouth’s three consecutive victories were followed by a 0–2 loss to Huddersfield and a 0–3 defeat at Stevenage. Their five-match return is therefore three wins and two losses. Away league results are more balanced: three victories, one draw and two defeats, with 10 goals at each end. The latest away loss contrasts sharply with their earlier 2–0 win at Leyton Orient.
Where the numbers diverge
- Six league wins exceed Cambridge’s total, but five defeats show greater volatility.
- Plymouth average 1.50 goals scored and 1.42 conceded per league match.
- BTTS has landed in five of 12 fixtures, substantially less often than for the hosts.
- Three clean sheets accompany six matches with more than 2.5 goals.
Missing players and scoring options
Michael Baidoo, Malachi Boateng and Owen Oseni will miss the match through injury. Among the listed attacking contributors, Will Evans and Callum Watts each have one goal in four appearances, while Aribim Pepple has one in three.
- Stevenageaway0:3
- Huddersfield Townhome0:2
- Wimbledonhome2:1
- Newport Countyaway3:2
- Leyton Orientaway2:0
Previous meetings offer no clear advantage
The three official meetings within the supplied five-year record produced one win apiece and one draw. Cambridge won 2–0 and drew 0–0 at the Abbey before losing 3–1 away in April 2023. The home meetings were low-scoring, but their age limits their relevance to the current teams.
- 22.04.2023Plymouth Argyle3:1Cambridge UnitedEngland. League One
- 10.12.2022Cambridge United0:0Plymouth ArgyleEngland. League One
- 22.02.2022Cambridge United2:0Plymouth ArgyleEngland. League One
- 17.08.2021Plymouth Argyle1:1Cambridge UnitedEngland. League One
- 22.02.2020Plymouth Argyle0:0Cambridge UnitedEngland. League Two
Managers have spoken, without quoted assessments
Neil Harris and Tom Cleverley both gave pre-match interviews on 22 October.
Our prediction: Cambridge to score twice
Cambridge United host Plymouth Argyle at the Abbey with a chance to protect fourth place. Our bet is Individual Total 1 Over (1) 1.38: Cambridge have scored in all five of their latest matches across competitions and produced 10 goals in six home league games. That supports targeting their attack rather than requiring a home win.
Plymouth have conceded five goals in their last two league fixtures and 10 across six away games. Cambridge need two goals for this bet to win; exactly one returns the stake. The hosts’ single clean sheet in 11 league matches makes a result-based selection less appealing, since their own defence can undermine their scoring work. The projected score is 2–1 to Cambridge.
Final betting view
Individual Total 1 Over (1) 1.38 keeps the focus on Cambridge’s scoring against a vulnerable away defence. The one-goal refund offers protection if the hosts score but fall short of the required second goal.
FAQ
When does Cambridge United — Plymouth Argyle kick off?
The match starts on 24.10.2026 at 10:00 (New York), Abbey (Cambridge).
What is the prediction for Cambridge United — Plymouth Argyle?
Our pick is Individual Total 1 Over (1) at 1.38.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Cambridge United win — 40%, draw — 26%, Plymouth Argyle win — 34%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Wycombe Wanderershome2:2
- Barnsleyaway2:1
- Blackpoolhome1:0
- Northampton Townhome2:1
- Wimbledonhome1:1
- Stevenageaway0:3
- Huddersfield Townhome0:2
- Wimbledonhome2:1
- Newport Countyaway3:2
- Leyton Orientaway2:0
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bradford City | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 10:5 | 21 |
| 4 | Cambridge United | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 5 | Plymouth Argyle | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 19 |
| 6 | Reading | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 23:12 | 18 |
Head-to-head
- 22.04.2023Plymouth Argyle3:1Cambridge UnitedEngland. League One
- 10.12.2022Cambridge United0:0Plymouth ArgyleEngland. League One
- 22.02.2022Cambridge United2:0Plymouth ArgyleEngland. League One
- 17.08.2021Plymouth Argyle1:1Cambridge UnitedEngland. League One
- 22.02.2020Plymouth Argyle0:0Cambridge UnitedEngland. League Two
About the match
- 24 October · 10:00 New York
- Venue: Abbey (Cambridge), Kembridzh
Odds
Odds updated 24.10 00:10
A narrow home edge in a steady market
Cambridge are slight favourites rather than a commanding market leader: the home-win probability is 39.6%, compared with 34.3% for Plymouth and 26.1% for the draw. The gap reflects a closely priced contest, not a strong expectation of home superiority.
The goals markets lean towards Over 2.5 at 55.3%, while BTTS is assessed at 59.7%. Cambridge’s season-long scoring pattern aligns more closely with that BTTS assessment than Plymouth’s recent back-to-back blanks. None of the listed markets has shown a notable move over the past 24 hours.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 1 Over (1)
- Current odds
- 1.38
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 67%
- Market estimate
- 67%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.38
- Potential win
- 38 $
- Status
- pending