Fulham vs Crystal Palace Prediction: League Cup Preview
Fulham
Crystal PalaceMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (1) 1.31 lost
- Yellow cards: Total Under (4.5) 1.38 won
Match result
Fulham 0:1 Crystal Palace (0:1, 0:0)
In the England League Cup match, Fulham faced Crystal Palace and lost 0:1. The visiting side secured their lead in the first half (0:1), and the second half remained scoreless (0:0). Our prediction for Individual Total 1 Over (1) lost, as Fulham failed to score during the game.
Our prediction: Individual Total 1 Over (1) at 1.25 — the bet lost.
Our prediction: Half 2: Total Over (1) at 1.31 — the bet lost.
Our prediction: Yellow Cards: Total Under (4.5) at 1.38 — the bet won.
Fulham host Crystal Palace at Craven Cottage on 28 October, with a League Cup quarter-final place at stake. Kick-off is at 15:45 America/New_York time. The hosts arrive after consecutive league wins; Palace face another short turnaround after playing Newcastle on 25 October.
Fulham: tighter defending, narrow margins
Recent form and scoring patterns
Fulham have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five matches, scoring seven goals and conceding five. They scored in every game, although each of the last four produced just one Fulham goal. Their two home fixtures in that sequence brought a draw against Manchester United and victory over Hull; away, they beat West Ham and Coventry but lost to Ipswich.
Strengths and weaknesses
- Two successive clean sheets have reduced the pressure on an attack producing narrow winning margins.
- Both teams scored in three of the last five matches, but neither of the latest two.
- Two cup wins brought six goals scored and two conceded; both matches cleared the Over 2.5 threshold.
Availability and selection
Ryan Sessegnon serves the second game of a three-match domestic suspension. Antonee Robinson, Kenny Tete and Luc de Fougerolles are out injured; Emile Smith Rowe is doubtful. Hugo Larsson has returned to a league starting XI, while Tom Cairney is available. Alvaro Arbeloa is considering rotation but intends to field a strong side. He describes defensive improvement alongside continuing attacking problems. A complete probable XI and formation have not been supplied.
- Coventry Cityaway1:0
- Hull Cityhome1:0
- Ipswich Townaway1:2
- Manchester Unitedhome1:1
- West Ham Unitedaway3:2
Crystal Palace: defensive losses outweigh cup progress
Results at home and away
Palace have one win, one draw and three defeats in five matches, with seven goals scored and 13 conceded. Their three away games in that run yielded one point and ten goals conceded, including five at Brighton. At home, victory over Nottingham Forest was followed by defeat to Newcastle. Palace sit 17th in the league, having conceded 19 goals in eight fixtures.
The main performance contrasts
- Palace conceded in all five recent games and failed to score in two.
- Four of those five matches finished Over 2.5; BTTS occurred in three.
- Their sole League Cup appearance produced three goals and a clean sheet, too small a sample to establish a cup trend.
Returns, absences and rotation
Dean Henderson is expected back after missing nine matches with an ankle injury, and Ben Chilwell is likely to start on the left. Ismaila Sarr, Chadi Riad, Takehiro Tomiyasu and Quinten Timber are unavailable; Jorgen Strand Larsen is doubtful. Pierre Sage plans rotation because of the congested schedule and has acknowledged a lack of consistency. The full starting XI and formation remain unconfirmed.
- Newcastle Unitedhome0:2
- Besiktasaway2:2
- Brighton & Hove Albionaway0:5
- Lyonaway2:3
- Nottingham Foresthome3:1
Recent meetings favour the visitors
Across ten official meetings in five years, Palace have four wins to Fulham's two, with four draws. The latest eight produced 22 goals, with BTTS in four. More specifically, Palace won the last four official encounters at Craven Cottage, most recently 3:2 in September. That home-ground record contrasts with Fulham's stronger immediate form; it also includes a 3:0 FA Cup defeat for the hosts.
- 05.09.2026Fulham2:3Crystal PalaceEngland. Premier League
- 07.08.2026Fulham1:2Crystal PalaceClub Friendlies
- 01.01.2026Crystal Palace1:1FulhamEngland. Premier League
- 07.12.2025Fulham1:2Crystal PalaceEngland. Premier League
- 29.03.2025Fulham0:3Crystal PalaceEngland. FA Cup
Coaches' assessments, without an outside verdict
No independent expert assessment of this fixture has been supplied. Neither has Fulham's league position or a numerical comparison of overall team strength.
Line-ups
Fulham
Starting XI: 2. Kenny Tete, 3. Calvin Bassey, 5. Joachim Andersen, 8. Cesar Palacios, 9. Rodrigo Muniz, 14. Oscar Bobb, 15. Hugo Larsson, 16. Sander Berge, 17. Alex Iwobi, 23. Benjamin Lecomte, 33. Antonee Robinson
Substitutes: 1. Bernd Leno, 4. Jorge Cuenca Barreno, 6. Harrison Reed, 7. Gonzalo Garcia, 10. Tom Cairney, 11. Kevin Santos Lopes de Macedo, 20. Manuel Angel Moran Ibanez, 21. Timothy Castagne, 24. Josh King
Coach: Álvaro Arbeloa
Crystal Palace
Starting XI: 1. Dean Henderson, 8. Jefferson Lerma, 9. Edward Nketiah, 19. Will Hughes, 21. Honest Ahanor, 24. Dario Osorio, 26. Chris Richards, 28. Cheick Oumar Doucoure, 29. Evann Guessand, 30. Oscar Mingueza, 33. Ben Chilwell
Substitutes: 3. Tyrick Mitchell, 5. Axel Disasi, 10. Yeremy Jesus Pino Santos, 11. Dwight McNeil, 12. Zavier Gozo, 18. Daichi Kamada, 20. Adam Wharton, 25. Anan Khalaili, 44. Walter Benitez
Coach: Pierre Sage
Our pick: Fulham to clear the one-goal line
For Fulham’s League Cup last-16 tie against Crystal Palace at Craven Cottage, our bet is Individual Total 1 Over (1) 1.25. The hosts have scored in five successive matches and arrive on two straight wins, while Palace have conceded in every game of their latest five-match run. That supports targeting home goals rather than requiring Fulham to win.
The main caution is Fulham’s four consecutive one-goal returns: recent scoring consistency has not meant frequent multiple-goal performances. Palace’s absences offer a route beyond that ceiling: according to media reports, defenders Chadi Riad and Takehiro Tomiyasu are ruled out, while Alvaro Arbeloa intends to field a strong side despite considering rotation. Fulham have scored six goals in two cup matches, although that sample is small. Our projected score is 2-1.
Final betting view
Individual Total 1 Over (1) 1.25 wins with two or more Fulham goals, returns the stake with exactly one goal, and loses if Fulham fail to score.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Coventry Cityaway1:0
- Hull Cityhome1:0
- Ipswich Townaway1:2
- Manchester Unitedhome1:1
- West Ham Unitedaway3:2
- Newcastle Unitedhome0:2
- Besiktasaway2:2
- Brighton & Hove Albionaway0:5
- Lyonaway2:3
- Nottingham Foresthome3:1
Head-to-head
- 05.09.2026Fulham2:3Crystal PalaceEngland. Premier League
- 07.08.2026Fulham1:2Crystal PalaceClub Friendlies
- 01.01.2026Crystal Palace1:1FulhamEngland. Premier League
- 07.12.2025Fulham1:2Crystal PalaceEngland. Premier League
- 29.03.2025Fulham0:3Crystal PalaceEngland. FA Cup
About the match
- 28 October · 15:45 New York
- Venue: Craven Cottage (London)
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market preference stops short of a majority
Fulham are the 1X2 favourites, with a margin-adjusted home-win probability of 49.8%; the draw and away win are equally weighted. That is a clear preference rather than an overwhelming one. The goals markets lean towards Over 2.5 and BTTS, placing greater emphasis on Palace's recent defensive record than Fulham's latest clean sheets. None of the listed markets has moved noticeably over the past 24 hours.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 1 Over (1)
- Odds
- 1.25
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 76%
- Market estimate
- 80%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.25
- Potential win
- 25 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.17
- Status
- lost
- Profit
- −100 $