Championship prediction: West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton
West Bromwich Albion
SouthamptonMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (1) 1.38 void
- Yellow cards: Total Under (4.5) 1.33 won
Match result
West Bromwich Albion 1:1 Southampton (1:0, 0:1)
The England Championship match between West Bromwich Albion and Southampton ended in a 1:1 draw. West Bromwich Albion led 1:0 after the first period, but Southampton leveled it in the second period (0:1). Based on this outcome, our bet on Individual Total 1 Over (1) was void.
Our prediction: Individual Total 1 Over (1) at 1.43 — the bet was void.
Our prediction: Half 2: Total Over (1) at 1.38 — the bet was void.
West Bromwich Albion host Southampton at The Hawthorns in the fourteenth Championship round. The hosts are fourth with 24 points, four behind leaders Middlesbrough; Southampton are fifth with 23, five off the lead. A win would move Southampton above West Bromwich, while the hosts can strengthen fourth place and close the gap at the top.
West Bromwich: strong recent results, vulnerable defence
West Bromwich have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five matches. They scored in four of those games but conceded in all five. Their latest result was an away win at West Ham United, where they scored three.
At home in the Championship, they have three wins, two draws and one defeat, with nine goals scored and six conceded.
Form profile and available squad information
West Bromwich’s season record is seven wins, three draws and three defeats, with 19 goals for and 14 against. They average 1.46 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per league match. Both teams scored in nine of their 13 fixtures, and they kept two clean sheets.
Felix Horn Myhre and Aune Heggebo lead the team with two goals each; Isaac Price has one goal and one assist.
- West Ham Unitedaway3:1
- Preston North Endaway1:1
- Blackburn Rovershome3:2
- Wrexhamaway2:1
- Birmingham Cityhome0:1
Southampton: higher attacking output and cleaner recent work
Southampton are unbeaten in five matches, with four wins and one draw. They scored in four of those fixtures and kept clean sheets against Portsmouth and Norwich City. Their two consecutive victories culminated in a 4:1 home win over Queens Park Rangers.
Away in the league, Southampton have two wins, two draws and two defeats, with eight goals scored and eight conceded.
Attack, table position and squad status
Southampton have scored 28 goals in 13 matches, averaging 2.15 per game. They have conceded 13, exactly one per fixture. Both teams scored in ten matches, eight of 13 went Over the main goals line, and Southampton kept three clean sheets.
Kuryu Matsuki leads their scoring with three goals, followed by James Bree with two and Welington Santos with one.
- Queens Park Rangershome4:1
- West Ham Unitedaway3:2
- Bolton Wanderershome0:0
- Norwich Cityaway1:0
- Portsmouthhome1:0
Head-to-head record favours Southampton
Southampton are unbeaten in the six official meetings over the last five years, with four wins and two draws. The latest meeting ended 1:1 at The Hawthorns; the previous encounter there finished goalless. Southampton won one of the two 2024 playoff meetings, with the other ending 0:0.
- 11.03.2026West Bromwich Albion1:1SouthamptonEngland. Championship
- 09.12.2025Southampton3:2West Bromwich AlbionEngland. Championship
- 17.05.2024Southampton3:1West Bromwich AlbionEngland. Championship (Play-off)
- 12.05.2024West Bromwich Albion0:0SouthamptonEngland. Championship (Play-off)
- 16.02.2024West Bromwich Albion0:2SouthamptonEngland. Championship
News, motivation and confirmed information
A news headline refers to a four-point penalty for Southampton. Their current points total after 13 matches was reached despite that sanction.
Line-ups
West Bromwich Albion
Starting XI: 1. Max O'Leary, 2. Chris Mepham, 4. Callum Styles, 6. George Campbell, 7. Felix Horn Myhre, 8. Jayson Molumby, 11. Jimmy Jay Morgan, 17. Ousmane Diakite, 18. Brayann Pereira, 20. Rabby Inzingoula, 21. Isaac Price
Substitutes: 3. Nathaniel Phillips, 9. Barney Stewart, 13. Matt Ingram, 19. Aune Heggebo, 22. Conor Townsend, 23. Tammer Bany, 29. Harry Whitwell, 32. Rio Palmer, 35. Matthew Crowther
Coach: James Morrison
Southampton
Starting XI: 1. Peretz Daniel, 3. Ryan Manning, 4. Flynn Downes, 5. Jack Stephens, 10. Finn Azaz, 13. Keven Schlotterbeck, 14. James Bree, 23. Samuel Edozie, 27. Kuryu Matsuki, 28. Divin Mubama, 30. James Ward-Prowse
Substitutes: 6. Zach Abbott, 11. Lewis Dobbin, 15. Nathan Wood, 18. Tom Fellows, 25. George Long, 26. Cameron Bragg, 34. Welington Santos, 40. Princewill Ehibhatiomhan, 53. Barnaby Williams
Coach: Tonda Eckert
Before kick-off
West Bromwich Albion face Southampton at The Hawthorns with one point separating the sides in the Championship table. No further results, changes in league position or team news have been confirmed since publication; injury, suspension and likely lineup details are unavailable.
Our selection for the hosts
Our bet is Individual Total 1 Over (1) 1.43. West Bromwich average 1.46 goals per league match, while their home return is nine goals in six fixtures. That home average of 1.50 puts the target of two goals within reach, although it is not evidence that they regularly clear this line at The Hawthorns.
The stronger argument is their recent scoring ceiling: Albion scored twice at Wrexham and three times against both Blackburn and West Ham. Southampton have conceded eight goals in six away league matches, including two on their latest trip to West Ham. The visitors nevertheless allow only one goal per game across the season, so this is a measured attacking selection rather than a claim that their defence is weak. It also avoids requiring Albion to win against opponents with the higher seasonal scoring average. A projected score is 2:1.
Final betting judgement
Individual Total 1 Over (1) 1.43 targets two or more West Bromwich goals, with a refund if they score exactly once. That protection is useful against Southampton's defensive record, but a home blank would still mean a losing bet.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- West Ham Unitedaway3:1
- Preston North Endaway1:1
- Blackburn Rovershome3:2
- Wrexhamaway2:1
- Birmingham Cityhome0:1
- Queens Park Rangershome4:1
- West Ham Unitedaway3:2
- Bolton Wanderershome0:0
- Norwich Cityaway1:0
- Portsmouthhome1:0
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 | West Bromwich Albion | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Birmingham City | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23:13 | 23 |
Head-to-head
- 11.03.2026West Bromwich Albion1:1SouthamptonEngland. Championship
- 09.12.2025Southampton3:2West Bromwich AlbionEngland. Championship
- 17.05.2024Southampton3:1West Bromwich AlbionEngland. Championship (Play-off)
- 12.05.2024West Bromwich Albion0:0SouthamptonEngland. Championship (Play-off)
- 16.02.2024West Bromwich Albion0:2SouthamptonEngland. Championship
About the match
- 3 November · 15:00 New York
- Venue: The Hawthorns (West Bromwich), Uest-Bromidzh
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market view and price structure
The 1X2 market narrowly favours West Bromwich: the implied probabilities are 38.1% for a home win, 35.5% for an away win and 26.4% for a draw. The margin is 7.6%, with no notable movement over the last 24 hours.
Over 2.5 carries an implied probability of 56.1%, while BTTS Yes is at 60.4%. Both teams scored in 19 of the clubs’ combined 26 league matches, making BTTS Yes the better-supported goals angle.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 1 Over (1)
- Odds
- 1.43
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 65%
- Market estimate
- 65%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.43
- Potential win
- 43 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.43
- Status
- void
- Profit
- +0 $