Swansea City vs West Ham United: Championship Match Prediction
Swansea City
West Ham UnitedMatch result
Swansea City 0:1 West Ham United (0:1, 0:0)
In the England Championship, West Ham United defeated Swansea City with a 0:1 scoreline (0:1, 0:0). Our prediction for this matchup was Both Teams To Score - Yes. As the home side failed to get on the scoresheet, the BTTS bet lost.
Our prediction: Both Teams To Score - Yes at 1.58 — the bet lost.
Swansea City host West Ham United at Liberty Stadium in Championship round 11 on 17 October. The leaders have 23 points, four more than their third-placed visitors.
Swansea: home defence meets a prolific attack
Four straight wins, but fewer recent clean sheets
Swansea followed a 3–1 defeat at Southampton with victories over Burnley, Lincoln City, Norwich City and Millwall. Swansea scored in every match. Their broader league record is stronger defensively: seven conceded in ten games, with five shutouts. At home they remain unbeaten after three wins and two draws, conceding just twice while scoring seven. That home defensive record is their clearest strength here; conceding in four of the last five matches is the counterweight. Six of their ten league fixtures have gone Over 2.5 goals, while BTTS has occurred in five.
Right-back absences force a change
Josh Key is unavailable with a hamstring injury, while Filip Lissah serves a one-match suspension after his fifth yellow card. Vitor Matos has explicitly identified right-back as a position requiring a solution. Stephen Eustaquio has resumed training after a shoulder injury, but his involvement remains doubtful.
- Millwallaway1:0
- Norwich Cityhome2:1
- Lincoln Cityaway2:1
- Burnleyhome3:1
- Southamptonaway1:3
West Ham: scoring power with a draw-heavy away record
Big wins lift the totals
West Ham's last five matches brought two wins, two draws and a League Cup defeat. The sequence included 6–0 victories over Wrexham and, most recently, Lincoln City, alongside draws with Millwall and Queens Park Rangers. Their league attack has scored 29 times in ten games, averaging 2.9 goals, against 12 conceded. Eight fixtures have finished Over 2.5 goals and seven have featured BTTS; only three have ended with a clean sheet. Away from home, two wins and three draws leave them unbeaten, with 14 scored and seven conceded. The scoring threat is clear, but three draws in five trips distinguish that record from consistent away winning form.
Soucek returns with an immediate contribution
Tomas Soucek returned from a lengthy absence and scored twice against Lincoln. That supplies a concrete boost before this trip, although Nuno Espirito Santo said the squad would be assessed for any problems following that match. West Ham played on 14 October.
- Lincoln Cityaway6:0
- Queens Park Rangershome1:1
- Millwallaway2:2
- Fulhamhome2:3
- Wrexhamhome6:0
Head-to-head
- 03.03.2018Swansea City4:1West Ham UnitedEngland. Premier League
- 30.09.2017West Ham United1:0Swansea CityEngland. Premier League
- 08.04.2017West Ham United1:0Swansea CityEngland. Premier League
- 26.12.2016Swansea City1:4West Ham UnitedEngland. Premier League
- 07.05.2016West Ham United1:4Swansea CityEngland. Premier League
Coaches focus on competition and selection
Nuno described Swansea as a good side and expects a competitive contest. Matos said he would prefer to have everyone available, placing selection rather than a promised tactical change at the centre of his comments. Neither coach's remarks establish how aggressively the teams will approach the opening stages.
Line-ups
Swansea City
Starting XI: 4. Jay Fulton, 5. Benjamin Cabango, 6. Marko Stamenic, 14. Josh Tymon, 17. Goncalo Baptista Franco, 22. Lawrence Vigouroux, 23. Stephen Welsh, 30. Joseph Osei Opoku, 33. Adam Uche Idah, 35. Ronald Pereira Martins, 49. Moussa Kounfolo Yeo
Substitutes: 1. Andy Fisher, 3. Jenson Seelt, 7. Melker Widell, 8. Elijah Just, 9. Zan Vipotnik, 10. Eom Ji-sung, 44. Thomas Woodward, 46. Stephen Eustaquio, 50. Carter Heywood
Coach: Vitor Matos
West Ham United
Starting XI: 1. Mads Hermansen, 3. Max Kilman, 5. Felipe Rodrigues Da Silva, 7. Arne Engels, 10. Manor Solomon, 14. Divine Mukasa, 15. Kostas Mavropanos, 17. Mohamadou Kante, 19. Pablo Felipe Pereira, 20. Jarrod Bowen, 34. Joel Veltman
Substitutes: 2. Kyle Walker-Peters, 9. Joel Piroe, 11. Valentin Castellanos, 23. Alphonse Areola, 28. Tomas Soucek, 30. Oliver Scarles, 35. Edvin Austbo, 58. Airidas Golambeckis, 61. Lewis Orford
Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo
Our Prediction
Our bet is Both Teams To Score - Yes 1.58. West Ham United have scored 29 goals in 10 Championship matches, including 14 in five away fixtures, and both teams scored in seven of their ten league games. Their recent attack remains productive: six goals at Lincoln City followed a two-goal performance against Millwall.
Swansea City lead the table with 23 points and have scored in all five of their latest matches. Their home record is unbeaten after five games, with seven goals scored, while the visitors have conceded seven away goals. Swansea’s defensive absences are relevant: Josh Key is unavailable, Philip Lissa is suspended, and Steven Eustakiu remains doubtful. West Ham also have Tomas Soucek back after a long absence; he scored twice against Lincoln. The market rates BTTS as the likeliest listed outcome at 58.6%, above both the home win and draw probabilities. Expected score: 1-2.
Conclusion
Both Teams To Score - Yes 1.58 is supported by West Ham’s 2.9-goal attacking average, Swansea’s five-match scoring streak and the hosts’ defensive selection issues.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Millwallaway1:0
- Norwich Cityhome2:1
- Lincoln Cityaway2:1
- Burnleyhome3:1
- Southamptonaway1:3
- Lincoln Cityaway6:0
- Queens Park Rangershome1:1
- Millwallaway2:2
- Fulhamhome2:3
- Wrexhamhome6:0
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16:8 | 23 |
| 2 | West Ham United | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 30:12 | 22 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22:16 | 22 |
Head-to-head
- 03.03.2018Swansea City4:1West Ham UnitedEngland. Premier League
- 30.09.2017West Ham United1:0Swansea CityEngland. Premier League
- 08.04.2017West Ham United1:0Swansea CityEngland. Premier League
- 26.12.2016Swansea City1:4West Ham UnitedEngland. Premier League
- 07.05.2016West Ham United1:4Swansea CityEngland. Premier League
About the match
- 17 October · 10:00 New York
- Venue: Liberty (Swansea), Suonsi
Odds
odds before kick-off
West Ham hold a narrow market advantage
West Ham are the 1X2 favourites, but their margin-free win probability is 41.5%, below an even chance. Swansea stand at 32.1%, with the draw at 26.4%. The away preference sits against the hosts' higher league position and strong home defensive record; West Ham's greater scoring output is the main statistical contrast.
The goals markets lean towards Over 2.5 at 54.4% and BTTS at 58.6%. Neither indicates overwhelming confidence: Swansea's home resistance runs against West Ham's high-scoring profile. All listed lines have been stable over the past 24 hours, so there is no reported movement towards either team or either side of the goals markets.
Our prediction
- Market
- Both Teams To Score - Yes
- Odds
- 1.58
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 59%
- Market estimate
- 58%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.58
- Potential win
- 58 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.6
- Status
- lost
- Profit
- −100 $
