Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers: Championship Match Prediction
Birmingham City
Queens Park RangersMatch result
Birmingham City 3:0 Queens Park Rangers (1:0, 2:0)
In England Championship, the match between Birmingham City and Queens Park Rangers ended in a 3:0 home win, with half scores of 1:0 and 2:0. The prediction for the game was Both Teams To Score - Yes; however, the bet lost as Queens Park Rangers did not score.
Our prediction: Both Teams To Score - Yes at 1.69 — the bet lost.
Birmingham City host Queens Park Rangers at St Andrew's in Championship round 11. Fourth meets fifth, both on 17 points and six behind leaders Swansea City. Each has four wins, five draws and one defeat from 10 league matches; victory would separate them.
Birmingham: scoring momentum, frequent home draws
Recent results and venue trends
Birmingham have won three of their last five matches, scoring 10 goals and conceding five. Defeat at Norwich and victory at Derby preceded a draw with Middlesbrough, then wins over West Bromwich Albion and Preston. The last two matches brought five unanswered goals, the latest finishing 4:0. They have won both away games since the Norwich defeat.
Attacking output and defensive balance
Birmingham have scored in all five recent games. In the league, they average 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded; seven of 10 fixtures have featured BTTS (both teams to score), and seven have gone Over 2.5 goals.
At home, they are unbeaten with one win and four draws. Their 11 goals scored and seven conceded at St Andrew's represent a higher scoring rate at both ends than their overall averages.
Availability and selection
Paik Seung-ho is out with a minor injury, Marc Leonard has an Achilles problem, and Christopher Lund has not resumed training after an injury in a closed-door match during the international break. Priske has two league goals in two appearances; Liam Millar and Demarai Gray have one apiece. No probable starting XI or formation has been specified.
- Preston North Endhome4:0
- West Bromwich Albionaway1:0
- Middlesbroughhome2:2
- Derby Countyaway2:1
- Norwich Cityaway1:2
QPR: unbeaten away, but short of available options
A win after four draws
QPR's 4:1 victory over Derby ended four consecutive draws against Charlton, West Brom, Preston and West Ham. They scored eight and conceded five across those five games. All three away matches in that sequence finished level. Their full league away record is two wins and three draws, with seven goals scored and four conceded.
Low concession rate, few clean sheets
QPR average 1.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per league match, but have kept only two clean sheets in 10 fixtures. Opponents have usually scored without producing large totals: BTTS has occurred seven times, while five matches have gone Over 2.5 goals. Smit, Lloyd and Veil each have one league goal.
Injuries and suspension
Dennis Cirkin is suspended, and Tariq Lamptey is out after a setback in his ankle recovery. Ilias Chair and Rumarn Burrell are not expected to feature through injury. Amadou Mbengue is doubtful with an unspecified knee problem; Koki Saito is also doubtful after missing two matches. No probable lineup or formation has been specified.
- Derby Countyhome4:1
- West Ham Unitedaway1:1
- Preston North Endhome2:2
- West Bromwich Albionaway1:1
- Charlton Athleticaway0:0
Head-to-head results offer no clear leader
The seven official meetings over five years have produced three wins each and one draw. Birmingham lead the aggregate scoring 7:6, with four of the seven meetings going Over 2.5 goals: matches No. 1, No. 2, No. 5 and No. 6. At St Andrew's, Birmingham have won two, drawn one and lost one; the latest meeting there ended 1:0 in March 2026. These meetings have been lower-scoring than Birmingham's current league fixtures.
- 11.03.2026Birmingham City1:0Queens Park RangersEngland. Championship
- 09.12.2025Queens Park Rangers2:1Birmingham CityEngland. Championship
- 29.03.2024Queens Park Rangers2:1Birmingham CityEngland. Championship
- 22.09.2023Birmingham City0:0Queens Park RangersEngland. Championship
- 18.03.2023Queens Park Rangers0:1Birmingham CityEngland. Championship
Coaches focus on organisation and solidarity
Chris Davies described QPR as a “real team”, citing their ability on the ball and defensive organisation. Julien Stephan said he had asked his players to “fight for Amadou”. Birmingham have four days between matches and QPR three, leaving neither a full week's preparation.
Line-ups
Birmingham City
Starting XI: 1. James Beadle, 4. Christoph Klarer, 5. Phil Neumann, 9. August Priske Flyger, 14. Jhon Solis, 16. Patrick Roberts, 17. Liam Millar, 20. Alex Cochrane, 24. Tomoki Iwata, 26. Bright Osayi-Samuel, 28. Jay Stansfield
Substitutes: 2. Ethan Laird, 7. Carlos Vicente, 10. Demarai Gray, 18. Max Bird, 19. Taylor Hickman, 21. Ryan Allsop, 23. Dale Fry, 32. Luis Vazquez, 33. Marvin Ducksch
Coach: Chris Davies
Queens Park Rangers
Starting XI: 1. Pierce Charles, 2. Kealey Adamson, 3. James Dunne, 5. Ronnie Edwards, 6. Jake Clarke-Salter, 11. Paul Patrick Smyth, 12. Boy Kemper, 17. Kwame Adubofour-Poku, 18. Glen Kamara, 20. Harvey Vale, 26. Rayan Kolli
Substitutes: 4. Liam Morrison, 13. Calum Ward, 14. Koki Saito, 22. Richard Kone, 23. Isak Alexander Alemayehu Mulugeta, 24. Nicolas Madsen, 25. Justin Obikwu, 33. Leon Scarlett, 40. Jonathan Varane
Coach: Julien Stephan
Our scoring forecast
For Birmingham City against Queens Park Rangers at St Andrew's, our pick is Both Teams To Score - Yes 1.69. Both sides have scored and conceded in seven of their ten Championship fixtures. Birmingham's home return of 11 goals scored and seven conceded across five games makes a clean sheet less convincing than their unbeaten record there might suggest.
Each attack scored four goals in its latest outing, while QPR have found the net in four of their last five matches. The visitors also face availability concerns: Dennis Cirkin is suspended, Tariq Lamptey is out with an ankle injury and Amadou Mbengue is doubtful with a knee problem, according to media reports. Birmingham's clean-sheet potential is the main counterargument, but QPR's recent scoring run supports backing a reply rather than another shutout. Predicted score: 1-1.
The final call
Both Teams To Score - Yes 1.69 is the selection. The case rests on both attacks contributing, without requiring either side to turn its scoring form into victory.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Preston North Endhome4:0
- West Bromwich Albionaway1:0
- Middlesbroughhome2:2
- Derby Countyaway2:1
- Norwich Cityaway1:2
- Derby Countyhome4:1
- West Ham Unitedaway1:1
- Preston North Endhome2:2
- West Bromwich Albionaway1:1
- Charlton Athleticaway0:0
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Birmingham City | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20:11 | 20 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 6 | Stoke City | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18:16 | 19 |
| 7 | Southampton | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:10 | 17 |
| 8 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18:15 | 17 |
| 9 | Queens Park Rangers | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 10 | Blackburn Rovers | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:16 | 15 |
Head-to-head
- 11.03.2026Birmingham City1:0Queens Park RangersEngland. Championship
- 09.12.2025Queens Park Rangers2:1Birmingham CityEngland. Championship
- 29.03.2024Queens Park Rangers2:1Birmingham CityEngland. Championship
- 22.09.2023Birmingham City0:0Queens Park RangersEngland. Championship
- 18.03.2023Queens Park Rangers0:1Birmingham CityEngland. Championship
About the match
- 17 October · 10:00 New York
- Venue: St Andrew's (Birmingham), Birmingem
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market gives Birmingham a measured advantage
Birmingham's margin-free 1X2 market probability is 46.9%, below an outright majority. All listed markets have remained broadly unchanged over the last 24 hours.
BTTS is the betting preference over a match-result selection, with the draw and away win closely priced. The Over/Under market offers little separation between the two outcomes.
Our prediction
- Market
- Both Teams To Score - Yes
- Odds
- 1.69
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 55%
- Market estimate
- 55%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.69
- Potential win
- 69 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.69
- Status
- lost
- Profit
- −100 $
