Jablonec vs Brighton & Hove Albion: UEFA Conference League Prediction
Jablonec
Brighton & Hove AlbionMore picks
- Yellow cards: Total Under (4.5) 1.29 lost
Match result
Jablonec 0:0 Brighton & Hove Albion (0:0, 0:0)
The UEFA Conference League match between Jablonec and Brighton & Hove Albion ended in a 0:0 draw, with neither team scoring in either half (0:0, 0:0). Our prediction for this fixture was an away win (W2), which means the bet lost as Brighton & Hove Albion failed to secure a victory.
Our prediction: W2 at 1.23 — the bet lost.
Our prediction: Yellow Cards: Total Under (4.5) at 1.29 — the bet lost.
Jablonec host Brighton & Hove Albion at Strelnice on 22 October in the second round of the UEFA Conference League league phase. The hosts sit 23rd after an opening defeat; Brighton lead the standings with three points. Jablonec need their first points, while the visitors can build on their opening win.
Jablonec: scoring regularly, conceding more recently
Recent results and venue trends
Jablonec have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five matches. A 1:1 draw with Zlin preceded successive 1:0 away wins over Dukla Prague and Zbrojovka. They then lost 3:2 at Freiburg and by the same score at home to Viktoria Plzen.
Attacking continuity and defensive weaknesses
- They scored in all five matches, including both defeats.
Available players and attacking contributors
Jablonec have no reported injuries or suspensions as of 21 October. Antonin Rusek and Garang Kuol each scored in the European opener, while Jiri Slama supplied an assist. Those contributions spread the attacking responsibility, although the defeat showed that scoring twice was insufficient to secure a point.
- Viktoria Plzenhome2:3
- Freiburgaway2:3
- Zbrojovkaaway1:0
- Dukla Pragueaway1:0
- Zlinhome1:1
Brighton: heavy scoring backed by clean sheets
Five wins across three competitions
Brighton's last five results are a 3:2 win at Manchester United, 3:0 against Arsenal, 2:0 at Sunderland, 4:0 against Zalgiris Kaunas and 5:0 against Crystal Palace.
Where the visitors hold the advantage
- Their opening European win puts them first, with a goal difference of plus four.
Absences narrow the selection options
Kaoru Mitoma is out with a hamstring injury, Yankuba Minteh with a shin injury and Evan Ferguson with an ankle injury. Stefanos Tzimas has a cruciate ligament injury, Mats Wieffer a knee injury, and Aziz is also unavailable. Georginio Rutter contributed two goals and an assist in the European opener; Jack Hinshelwood and Matthew O'Riley also scored. That leaves several established contributors despite the absences.
- Crystal Palacehome5:0
- Zalgiris Kaunashome4:0
- Sunderlandaway2:0
- Arsenalhome3:0
- Manchester Unitedaway3:2
Rotation is the main selection question
According to media reports, Fabian Hurzeler is likely to rotate before Brighton's Premier League match against Liverpool. That makes the allocation of minutes relevant after both clubs played on 18 October, four days before this fixture. Brighton's absent attackers also reduce the choices available when resting players. Probable starting line-ups, formations and named expert assessments have not been provided.
Line-ups
Jablonec
Starting XI: 1. Jan Hanus, 4. Nemanja Tekijaski, 6. Nelson Okeke, 7. Vakhtang Chanturishvili, 9. Antonin Rusek, 13. Richard Sedlacek, 15. Dusan Pavlovic, 17. Saidou Alioum Moubarak, 18. Martin Cedidla, 20. Jiri Slama, 21. Matej Polidar
Substitutes: 8. Filip Zorvan, 12. David Nykrin, 14. Daniel Soucek, 19. Jan Chramosta, 24. Dominik Holly, 25. Sebastian Nebyla, 31. Evzen Maly, 34. Adam Kubat, 36. Garang Kuol, 57. Filip Novak, 99. Klemen Mihelak
Coach: Lubos Kozel
Brighton & Hove Albion
Starting XI: 1. Bart Verbruggen, 3. Jaouen Hadjam, 8. Jack Hinshelwood, 10. Georginio Rutter, 13. Pascal Gross, 15. Ibrahim Osman, 20. Costinha, 21. Olivier Boscagli, 30. Michael Svoboda, 33. Matthew O'Riley, 35. Malick Junior Yalcouye
Substitutes: 5. Lewis Dunk, 12. Promise Oluwatobi Emmanuel David, 14. Jose Maria Andres Baixauli, 19. Charalampos Kostoulas, 24. Ferdi Kadioglu, 26. Yasin Ayari, 38. Thomas McGill, 44. Luka Vuskovic, 49. Nehemiah Oriola, 50. Shane Nti, 59. Younes Ibrahim, 61. Steven Hall
Coach: Fabian Hurzeler
Our forecast
Jablonec host Brighton & Hove Albion at Strelnice in the second round of the UEFA Conference League league phase. The recommended bet is away win 1.23. Brighton lead the overall league-phase table after a 4:0 opening win over Zalgiris, while Jablonec sit 23rd after a 2:3 defeat.
Brighton have won their last five matches, including a 5:0 victory against Crystal Palace after their European win. Jablonec have lost their last two, conceding three goals in each, although they scored in all five recent matches. The market assigns the away win a 77.5% probability, with support strengthening over the past day.
Brighton will miss Kaoru Mitoma, Evan Ferguson, Stefanos Tzimas, Yankuba Minteh, M. Wieffer and Aziz. Fabian Hurzeler is expected to rotate before the Liverpool fixture. Jablonec have no reported injuries or suspensions. Brighton retain greater attacking depth despite their absences. Probable score: 1:3.
Conclusion
Away win 1.23 is the selection: Brighton’s attacking strength and defensive record outweigh the risks from rotation and absences against Jablonec’s defence.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Viktoria Plzenhome2:3
- Freiburgaway2:3
- Zbrojovkaaway1:0
- Dukla Pragueaway1:0
- Zlinhome1:1
- Crystal Palacehome5:0
- Zalgiris Kaunashome4:0
- Sunderlandaway2:0
- Arsenalhome3:0
- Manchester Unitedaway3:2
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 10 | Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 23 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 24 | Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 | Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
About the match
- 22 October · 12:45 New York
- Venue: Strelnice (Jablonec nad Nisou)
Odds
odds before kick-off
A clear favourite, with a tighter goals assessment
Brighton are the clear market favourite, and the line has moved further towards an away win over the past 24 hours. Support for Jablonec and the draw has weakened. The visitors' winning sequence and defensive record explain that preference, while likely rotation affects how closely their starting side will resemble the teams behind those results.
The goals markets are less decisive. Under 3.5 retains a 57.3% assessment, although the line has moved towards Over. BTTS No has also attracted support. These movements can coexist: Brighton have recently combined high scoring with clean sheets, whereas Jablonec have scored consistently while conceding more heavily in their latest two games.
Our prediction
- Market
- W2
- Odds
- 1.23
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 78%
- Market estimate
- 79%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.23
- Potential win
- 23 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.2
- Status
- lost
- Profit
- −100 $