CS Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe: UEFA Conference League Match Prediction
CS Universitatea Craiova
GetafeMatch result
CS Universitatea Craiova 1:1 Getafe (0:0, 1:1)
The UEFA Conference League match between CS Universitatea Craiova and Getafe ended in a 1:1 draw. Following a 0:0 score in the first period, the game finished 1:1 overall after a 1:1 second period. As a result, our W1 prediction lost.
Our prediction: W1 at 3.2 — the bet lost.
CS Universitatea Craiova host Getafe at Stadionul Ion Oblemenco in the opening round of the UEFA Conference League league phase on 15 October. Both start without points or matches played: their listed positions of 33rd and 11th do not yet reflect competitive performance. The immediate prize is a first return in the league phase.
Craiova: clean sheets underpin the winning run
Recent results and scoring patterns
Craiova have won their last five matches, although that sequence includes a 4–0 friendly victory over CSM Slatina. Their latest outing was a 1–0 away win at Csikszereda on 11 October. That combination reflects one-sided scoring rather than consistently low totals.
Home strength and the limits of the sample
Home fixtures produced a 4–0 win over Universitatea Cluj and a 5–0 defeat of FCSB. Defensive protection is the clearest strength, with no goals conceded across the sequence; the contrast between those home scorelines and narrower away wins also shows how strongly venue has shaped their attacking returns. These results do not establish how that attack will fare against Spanish opposition.
Absences and selection
According to media reports, Carlos Mora is suspended, while Adrian Rus and Monday Etim are injured; all three will miss the match.
- Csikszereda Miercurea Ciucaway1:0
- CSM Slatinaaway4:0
- FCSBhome5:0
- Corvinul Hunedoaraaway1:0
- Universitatea Clujhome4:0
Getafe: away scoring is the main concern
Five games with limited attacking output
Getafe arrive with one win, two draws and two defeats from their last five matches. Their most recent result was a 3–0 loss at Barcelona on 10 October. They beat Malaga 1–0.
A sharp home-away split
At home, Getafe were unbeaten across three fixtures, including 1–1 draws against Celta and Deportivo de A Coruna. Their two away matches both ended in defeat without a goal scored, the other being 1–0 at Real Betis. Keeping three of five opponents to no more than one goal offers a defensive counterweight, but their away attack has supplied no margin for defensive errors.
A depleted travelling group
According to media reports, Zaid Romero has a quadriceps injury; Enes Unal and Orel Mangala are recovering from muscle injuries, while Juanmi Jimenez and Christantus Uche have knee injuries. Ivan Azon misses out through illness. Andres Garcia has recovered from illness and travelled, but Dani Carvajal is ineligible because he is not registered for this stage. A probable lineup and formation have not been confirmed.
- Barcelonaaway0:3
- Malagahome1:0
- Real Betisaway0:1
- Deportivo de A Corunahome1:1
- Celtahome1:1
The coaches set out their expectations
Filipe Coelho says Craiova intend to fight for victory despite their absences. Jose Bordalas described the hosts as a team with interesting players and said the match would not be easy. Those comments frame the visitors' task cautiously rather than treating their status as favourites as a guarantee.
Line-ups
CS Universitatea Craiova
Starting XI: 3. Oleksandr Romanchuk, 6. Vladimir Screciu, 8. Tudor Baluta, 9. Assad Al Hamlawi, 10. Stefan Baiaram, 11. Nicusor Bancu, 16. Joao Lameira, 20. Alexandru Cicaldau, 21. Laurentiu Popescu, 23. Samuel Teles, 24. Nikola Stevanovic
Substitutes: 1. Alexandru Gabriel Maxim, 4. Alexandru Cretu, 5. Baptiste Roux, 7. Steven Nsimba, 19. Heriberto Tavares, 22. Simon Elisor, 29. Luca Basceanu, 30. David Matei, 31. Ronaldo Webster, 90. Razvan Sava
Coach: Filipe Coelho
Getafe
Starting XI: 2. Djene Dakonam, 3. Davinchi, 6. Mario Martin Rielves, 8. Nemanja Gudelj, 9. Borja Mayoral, 10. Martin Satriano, 11. Ramon Terrats, 13. David Soria, 16. Francho Serrano Gracia, 21. Andres Garcia Robledo, 26. Jean Ives Valou
Substitutes: 1. Jiri Letacek, 4. Saba Sazonov, 5. Abdel Abqar, 15. Juan Sebastian Boselli Graf, 17. Francisco Femenia, 22. Johan Mojica, 28. Alberto Risco, 35. Diego Ferrer Martinez
Coach: Jose Bordalas
Our pick: home advantage over market preference
Our bet is W1 3.2. Craiova have shown defensive strength, while Getafe face attacking concerns. That contrast favours the hosts: the visitors must reverse their away attacking pattern to put pressure on a defence that has kept five consecutive clean sheets.
Getafe’s absences further weaken that prospect: Enes Unal, Juanmi Jimenez and Christantus Uche are unavailable, while Ivan Azon has not travelled because of illness. Craiova also lose Carlos Mora, Adrian Rus and Monday Etim, so this is not a selection based on full squad strength. The hosts’ results nevertheless offer a stronger platform than the visitors’ depleted attack. The main caution is the difference between domestic opposition and this European fixture; Craiova’s recent friendly also carries less weight than a competitive win. Predicted score: 1–0.
Final betting view
W1 3.2 is the pick, with Getafe’s depleted attack central to the case. Back Craiova to turn their defensive edge into a narrow victory rather than expect another high-scoring home performance.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Csikszereda Miercurea Ciucaway1:0
- CSM Slatinaaway4:0
- FCSBhome5:0
- Corvinul Hunedoaraaway1:0
- Universitatea Clujhome4:0
- Barcelonaaway0:3
- Malagahome1:0
- Real Betisaway0:1
- Deportivo de A Corunahome1:1
- Celtahome1:1
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Twente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 15 | Getafe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 16 | Midtjylland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 20 | Egnatia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 21 | CS Universitatea Craiova | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 22 | Riga FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
About the match
- 15 October · 12:45 New York
- Venue: Stadionul Ion Oblemenco (Craiova), Krayova
Odds
odds before kick-off
A modest away preference in the market
Getafe are favourites in the 1X2 market, with a margin-free win probability of 40.6%; the home win and draw are each assessed at 29.7%. That is a relative preference, not a majority expectation of an away victory. Under 2.5 goals carries 58.1%, while BTTS is almost evenly divided, with No at 51%. No listed market has moved noticeably over the past 24 hours.
Our prediction
- Market
- W1
- Odds
- 3.2
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 40%
- Market estimate
- 34%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 3.2
- Potential win
- 220 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 2.78
- Status
- lost
- Profit
- −100 $
