UEFA Champions League: Roma vs Slovan Bratislava Match Prediction
Roma
Slovan BratislavaRoma host Slovan Bratislava at the Olimpico in Rome on 20 October in the third round of the UEFA Champions League league phase. The hosts sit 25th with one point; the visitors are bottom without a point. Both need to repair their European position after defeats in the previous round.
Roma: attacking output meets defensive risk
Recent results and home performance
Roma have two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five matches. Their latest result, a 2:0 home win over Genoa, ended a three-match winless run. Their broader Champions League home record is stronger: eight wins in the last ten games.
Strengths and weaknesses
Roma scored in four of those five fixtures, but their home results ranged from 2:2 against Inter to 3:4 against Real Madrid. Their European goal difference of 4:5 after two rounds nevertheless shows why domestic shutouts cannot settle concerns about this competition.
Attacking options and absences
Donyell Malen is available after a domestic suspension; his tournament return is two goals in one appearance. Matias Soule has two assists and Marten de Roon one goal. According to media reports, Paulo Dybala remains out for several weeks, Mile Svilar faces roughly a month out with a fractured toe, and Manu Kone is recovering from injury. Bryan Cristante is expected back for Napoli next week rather than this fixture.
- Genoahome2:0
- Real Madridhome3:4
- Comoaway0:0
- Internazionale Milanohome2:2
- Torinoaway2:0
Slovan: away momentum with a European warning
Recent form across competitions
Slovan have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five outings. That travelling form contrasts with their two home games: a draw against Skalica followed by a three-goal defeat to Stuttgart.
Where their record needs context
Slovan scored in four of those five matches but also conceded in four; BTTS occurred three times. Their only clean sheet came in the latest outing, against Spartak Trnava. The larger concern is the step up in opposition: one goal scored and nine conceded across two Champions League rounds leaves a gap between their domestic attacking returns and their effectiveness in Europe.
Selection and preparation
No confirmed lineup, formation, injury list or suspension update is available for Slovan. Coach Yaya Toure said the performance and atmosphere after the Trnava victory had increased confidence before the trip to Rome. That lift follows a successful away performance, although it does not establish how Slovan will organise against stronger opposition.
- Spartak Trnavaaway3:0
- VfB Stuttgarthome0:3
- Skalicahome1:1
- KFC Komarnoaway2:1
- FC Nitraaway3:1
Head-to-head
- 25.08.2011Roma1:1Slovan BratislavaUEFA Europa League. Qualification
- 18.08.2011Slovan Bratislava1:0RomaUEFA Europa League. Qualification
Coaches' messages and the short turnaround
Gian Piero Gasperini has rejected any suggestion of underestimating Slovan, describing them as dynamic, physically well prepared and equipped with good players. Both clubs last played on 17 October, leaving three calendar days before this fixture. No independent expert assessment is available.
Our prediction: Roma to take the points
Our pick is W1 1.17. Roma need a win at the Olimpico to move towards the Champions League qualification places. Slovan have conceded nine goals in two European matches, a defensive return that makes their domestic away success a weak counterweight here. Roma’s eight wins in their last ten home games in this competition strengthen the case for backing the hosts.
Malen is available again and has scored twice in his one tournament appearance, while Soule has supplied two assists. That attacking threat matters against the visitors’ vulnerable defence. According to media reports, Dybala, Svilar and Kone are unavailable, reducing Roma’s options and making a clean sheet less certain. The hosts’ absences temper expectations of the margin rather than overturn the selection.
Final betting verdict
W1 1.17 is the selection: Roma’s home record and available attacking quality outweigh the risks created by their missing players. Back the result rather than requiring a wide winning margin.
FAQ
When does Roma — Slovan Bratislava kick off?
The match starts on 20.10.2026 at 15:00 (New York), Olimpico (Rome).
What is the prediction for Roma — Slovan Bratislava?
Our pick is W1 at 1.17.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Roma win — 84%, draw — 11%, Slovan Bratislava win — 5%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Genoahome2:0
- Real Madridhome3:4
- Comoaway0:0
- Internazionale Milanohome2:2
- Torinoaway2:0
- Spartak Trnavaaway3:0
- VfB Stuttgarthome0:3
- Skalicahome1:1
- KFC Komarnoaway2:1
- FC Nitraaway3:1
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bodo-Glimt | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 3 |
| 25 | Roma | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 26 | PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 35 | Galatasaray | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:9 | 0 |
Head-to-head
- 25.08.2011Roma1:1Slovan BratislavaUEFA Europa League. Qualification
- 18.08.2011Slovan Bratislava1:0RomaUEFA Europa League. Qualification
About the match
- 20 October · 15:00 New York
- Venue: Olimpico (Rome), Rim
- Weather: 20° · precip. 33% · wind 1 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 19.10 15:20
Market confidence centres on the hosts
Roma are the clear 1X2 favourites, with an 84.1% margin-free market probability, and support for the home win has strengthened over the last 24 hours. The total-goals market leans towards Over rather than Under, though less decisively. BTTS remains close to evenly balanced, with recent movement towards “No”: confidence in Roma is much firmer than confidence in both attacks contributing.
Our prediction
- Market
- W1
- Current odds
- 1.17
- Odds at prediction
- 1.19
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 83%
- Market estimate
- 84%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.17
- Potential win
- 17 $
- Status
- pending
