Real Betis vs Porto: UEFA Champions League Match Prediction
Real Betis
PortoMatch result
Real Betis 3:2 Porto (0:0, 3:2)
Real Betis defeated Porto 3:2 in a UEFA Champions League fixture. The first half concluded 0:0, with all five goals scored in the second half, leading to Betis's 3:2 victory. The "Handicap 1 (0)" bet placed on Real Betis was successful.
Our prediction: Handicap 1 (0) at 1.61 — the bet won.
Real Betis host Porto at La Cartuja in Seville on 14 October in the second round of the Champions League league phase. Kick-off is at 15:00 America/New_York time. Betis seek to build on their opening victory; Porto are chasing their first points after losing to Manchester City.
Real Betis: scoring form offsets defensive exposure
Recent results and home output
Betis are unbeaten in five matches: a 3:2 win at Lille, a 2:1 victory at Villarreal, a 1:0 home win against Getafe, a 1:1 draw at Deportivo La Coruna and a 5:2 home win over Osasuna.
Attacking consistency, limited clean sheets
Betis scored in all five games but kept just one clean sheet.
They sit 12th in the Champions League with three points. One European fixture is insufficient to establish a scoring trend.
Antony available, two absentees confirmed
Junior Firpo is out with an adductor injury, and Aitor Ruibal continues rehabilitation following meniscus surgery. Antony is fit and included in the squad, although Manuel Pellegrini has not decided whether he will start.
- Osasunahome5:2
- Deportivo A-Korunʹyaaway1:1
- Khetafehome1:0
- Vilʹyarrealaway2:1
- Lillʹaway3:2
Porto: a winning response without defensive shutouts
Four victories since the European setback
Porto followed their 0:2 defeat to Manchester City with wins over Casa Pia, Benfica, Deportivo La Coruna and Maritimo. Deportivo was a friendly, leaving three competitive victories in that four-game winning run.
Reliable goals, a vulnerable defensive record
Porto conceded in all five matches, including exactly once in each of their four wins. Those victories all featured BTTS and Over 2.5 goals, whereas the European opener produced neither. Their domestic and friendly scoring has yet to translate into this Champions League campaign.
Porto are 29th with no points, six behind the leaders.
Bednarek suspended as three players return
William Gomes and Vasco Sousa miss the match through injury. Jan Bednarek serves the second and final game of his suspension. Zaidu Sanusi, Nehuen Perez and Joao Costa have recovered and are included in the travelling squad, but their starting places are unconfirmed.
- Maritimuaway2:1
- Deportivo A-Korunʹyaaway3:1
- Benfikahome3:1
- Kasa Piyaaway4:1
- Manchester Sitihome0:2
Head-to-head
- 19.07.2019Portu2:1Real BetisTovarishcheskiye matchi klubov
Coaches set the tone before the second round
Pellegrini said Betis are capable of achieving greater success; Francesco Farioli said this match would demand maximum effort from Porto. The visitors have one additional day since their last fixture: they played Maritimo on 10 October, while Betis faced Osasuna on 11 October.
Probable starting lineups, formations, independent expert opinions and comparative strength figures are unavailable.
Line-ups
Реал Бетис
Starting XI: 1. Alʹvaro Valles, 4. Natan Bernardo de Souza, 5. Mark Bartra, 7. Entoni Mateus dus Santos, 10. Abdessamad Ezzalzuli, 11. Frantsisko Garsiya, 12. Ankhelʹ Ortis, 18. Nelʹson Deossa, 19. Troy Parrott, 21. Mark Roka, 22. Isko
Substitutes: 2. Ektor Belʹyerin, 3. Diyego Llorente, 6. Fakundo Bernalʹ Krus, 8. Pablo Fornalʹs, 9. Khuan Kamilo Ernandes Suares, 13. Diyego Konde, 15. Alʹvaro Fidalʹgo, 16. Valentin Gomes, 17. Rodrigo Rikuelm Reche, 20. Dzhovani Lo Chelʹso, 25. Dani Sebalʹos, 27. Khose Antonio Morante
Coach: Manuelʹ Pellegrini
Порту
Starting XI: 4. Yakub Kivior, 8. Viktor Frokholʹdt, 10. Gabriyelʹ Viyega, 11. Eduardo Pepe, 13. Pablo Rosario, 17. Borkha Sayns, 19. Andre Silva, 22. Alan Varela, 52. Martim Fernandes, 74. Fransisko Moura, 99. Dʹogo Kosta
Substitutes: 9. Samuelʹ Omorodion, 12. Zaidu Sanusi, 14. Klaudio Pires Morais Ramos, 16. Khvang In-Beom, 18. Neuyen Perez, 20. Alʹberto Kosta, 29. Santʹyago Khimenes, 33. Zhoau Viktor de Souza Menezesh, 42. Seko Fofana, 64. Luis Gomesh, 77. Oskar Pʹyetushevski, 92. Zhoao Teyyeyra
Coach: Franchesko Farioli
Our pick: protection against the draw
For Real Betis against Porto at La Cartuja, our pick is Handicap 1 (0) 1.61. Betis have won four of their last five matches without defeat, while Porto have conceded in each of their previous five. That combination favours the hosts, but the visitors' four successive wins make draw protection preferable to an outright home-win bet.
According to media reports, Porto will be without suspended Jan Bednarek and injured William Gomes and Vasco Souza; Betis are missing Junior Firpo and Aitor Ruibal, while Antony is available. These absences strengthen the case for targeting Porto's defence rather than expecting Betis to keep a clean sheet. The hosts have conceded in four of five games themselves, so their attacking edge matters more than defensive control.
Final betting verdict
Handicap 1 (0) 1.61 backs Betis to turn their scoring consistency into a home victory, with the stake returned if the match ends level. That safeguard suits a contest in which Porto retain an attacking threat.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Osasunahome5:2
- Deportivo A-Korunʹyaaway1:1
- Khetafehome1:0
- Vilʹyarrealaway2:1
- Lillʹaway3:2
- Maritimuaway2:1
- Deportivo A-Korunʹyaaway3:1
- Benfikahome3:1
- Kasa Piyaaway4:1
- Manchester Sitihome0:2
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 12 | Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 13 | Atletico Madrid | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 28 | Internazionale Milano | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 0 |
| 29 | Porto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 30 | Slavia Prague | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 0 |
Head-to-head
- 19.07.2019Portu2:1Real BetisTovarishcheskiye matchi klubov
About the match
- 14 October · 15:00 New York
- Venue: La Cartuja (Sevilla), Sevilʹya
Odds
odds before kick-off
Market preference softens towards Betis
Betis are the 1X2 favourites, with a margin-free market probability of 44.4%, against 26.1% for the draw and 29.6% for Porto. Over the last 24 hours, support has shifted away from the hosts and towards both the draw and an away win.
Over 2.5 goals carries a 55.8% market probability and BTTS stands at 59.2%. Both are favoured in their respective markets, though the latest movement towards Under and BTTS no runs against the teams' recent scoring records.
Our prediction
- Market
- Handicap 1 (0)
- Odds
- 1.59
- Odds at prediction
- 1.61
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 61%
- Market estimate
- 60%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.59
- Potential win
- 59 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.58
- Status
- won
- Profit
- +59 $