RC Lens vs Como Prediction for the UEFA Champions League
RC Lens
ComoRC Lens host Como at Bollaert-Delelis in the fourth round of the UEFA Champions League league phase. Lens are twenty-seventh with three points; Como are ninth with six. Lens are six points behind the leader, while Como are three points behind; Lens need to close the gap to the qualifying places, while Como are defending a higher position.
RC Lens: home advantage against a fragile defensive trend
Lens have won two of their last five matches and lost three. They have scored in only two of those games and conceded in all five. Domestic wins over Troyes and Paris were interrupted by a Champions League defeat to Club Brugge. Their latest match ended in a one-goal defeat at Lille.
In the Champions League, Lens have one win and two defeats, with three goals scored and seven conceded in three matches. Their only home fixture ended in defeat, with no goals scored and two conceded. The 3:1 win at Troyes shows their attacking capacity in Ligue 1, but that output has not carried into Europe.
Squad situation and tactical balance
Central defender Ismaëlo Ganiou will miss the match after knee surgery, while central forward Odsonne Édouard is unavailable with an adductor injury. Lens therefore lose an option in each penalty area.
- Lille OSCaway0:1
- Parishome2:1
- Club Bruggeaway0:3
- Troyes ACaway3:1
- Sporting Clube de Portugalhome0:2
Como arrive with the stronger attack and the deeper run
Como have won all five of their latest matches. They have scored in every game, including away victories at Fiorentina and Torino. Their latest result was a one-goal home win over Unione Venezia.
Their Champions League record is two wins and one defeat, with ten goals scored and five conceded. BTTS landed in all three matches, each of which finished Over two-and-a-half goals. Their attack is averaging more than three goals per match, but they have yet to keep a European clean sheet.
Como lost their only away tournament fixture, scoring two and conceding three. Nicolas Paz Martinez has two goals and one assist in two tournament appearances, Anastasios Douvikas has two goals, and Jacobo Naveros has one goal and one assist.
Formation, personnel and attacking depth
Como use a flexible four-two-three-one. Moise Kean is out with a tibia contusion. Left wingers Jesús Rodríguez and Assane Diao have muscle injuries, while right winger Jayden Addai is also unavailable. Central defender Trevoh Chalobah has returned to training and is available. The starting lineup remains unconfirmed.
- Unione Veneziahome1:0
- Torinoaway3:1
- Sassuolo Calciohome2:0
- Manchester Unitedhome4:1
- Fiorentinaaway3:1
What the current reports add to the statistical picture
Como’s expected goals against rate is 0.86 per Champions League match. Their chance prevention has been stronger than their goals-conceded total suggests, although opponents have scored in every European fixture.
Their absences are concentrated in the central and wide attacking positions, but the winning run has continued despite those losses. No further team news or suspension information is confirmed.
Our pick: Como to score twice
Our bet for RC Lens against Como at Bollaert-Delelis is Individual Total 2 Over (1) 1.23. Como have scored 10 goals in three Champions League matches, while Lens have conceded seven across the same number of fixtures. The sample is small, but this pairing makes the visitors’ scoring line more attractive than relying on an away win.
Como scored at least twice in four of their last five games. Nicolas Paz Martinez and Anastasios Douvikas have two European goals each, spreading the scoring threat. Lens will be without centre-back Ismaelo Ganiou following knee surgery. Como’s absences, including Moise Kean and several wingers, temper confidence in a high total, so the protection at exactly one goal matters. A possible score is 1-2.
The betting verdict
Individual Total 2 Over (1) 1.23 needs two Como goals to win, with the stake returned if they score exactly once. That cushion is preferable to demanding a victory from an away side whose three European opponents have all scored.
FAQ
When does RC Lens — Como kick off?
The match starts on 04.11.2026 at 15:00 (New York), Bollaert-Delelis (Lens).
What is the prediction for RC Lens — Como?
Our pick is Individual Total 2 Over (1) at 1.23.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: RC Lens win — 28%, draw — 24%, Como win — 48%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Lille OSCaway0:1
- Parishome2:1
- Club Bruggeaway0:3
- Troyes ACaway3:1
- Sporting Clube de Portugalhome0:2
- Unione Veneziahome1:0
- Torinoaway3:1
- Sassuolo Calciohome2:0
- Manchester Unitedhome4:1
- Fiorentinaaway3:1
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 9 | Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 26 | Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 27 | RC Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 28 | Bodo-Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | 3 |
About the match
- 4 November · 15:00 New York
- Venue: Bollaert-Delelis (Lens), Lans
- Weather: 6° · precip. 0% · wind 3.8 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 04.11 01:00
Market view and the main price logic
The market assigns Como a 43.4% probability of an away win, compared with 32.1% for a Lens home win and 24.6% for the draw. The visitors are favourites, but the gap does not indicate a one-sided contest. The 1X2 line has shown no notable movement over the last twenty-four hours.
Under three-and-a-half goals is assessed at 59.2%, against 40.8% for Over, while BTTS Yes stands at 64.4%. The pricing favours both teams scoring without a high total; Lens’s recent scoring difficulties make their contribution the weaker part of that proposition.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 2 Over (1)
- Current odds
- 1.23
- Odds at prediction
- 1.25
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 76%
- Market estimate
- 77%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match
