UEFA Champions League: Bayern Munich vs Arsenal Match Prediction
Bayern Munich
ArsenalMatch result
Bayern Munich 2:2 Arsenal (1:1, 1:1)
The UEFA Champions League match between Bayern Munich and Arsenal ended in a 2:2 draw, with a score of 1:1 in both periods. Our prediction for Both Teams To Score - Yes was successful, meaning the bet won.
Our prediction: Both Teams To Score - Yes at 1.51 — the bet won.
Bayern Munich host Arsenal at the Allianz Arena on 21 October in the third round of the Champions League league phase. The visitors occupy a top-eight place; Bayern sit just outside that group. A home win would reverse their current order, while Arsenal can extend their advantage over the Munich side.
Bayern: prolific at home, exposed away
Recent results and scoring patterns
Bayern are unbeaten in five matches, with three wins and two draws. Their two home games produced victories over Union Berlin and Leipzig. Away from Munich, they recorded successive draws at Augsburg and Viking.
Strengths and weaknesses
- Bayern scored in all five games.
- They stand tenth in Europe with four points and an 8–3 goal balance after two games: scoring power has outpaced defensive control.
Availability and attacking personnel
Jamal Musiala is out with a thigh injury, Michael Olise is suspended and Manuel Neuer is doubtful. Joshua Kimmich is expected to play despite missing training for personal reasons. Harry Kane and Luis Diaz have one tournament goal apiece; Kimmich has one assist. Vincent Kompany missed open training and his press conference with a viral infection; hip discomfort has also been reported.
- RasenBallsport Leipzighome6:1
- Vikingaway3:3
- Augsburgaway2:2
- Union Berlinhome7:0
- Elversbergaway2:1
Arsenal: momentum with a defensive caveat
Three wins since the Brighton defeat
Arsenal have won four of their last five matches. Since losing 3–0 at Brighton, they have beaten Leeds, Lille and Nottingham Forest. Their three away fixtures in this sequence brought two wins and a defeat, with five goals at each end.
European control and attacking spread
- Seventh place rests on six points from two games and a 4–0 goal balance.
- Two consecutive clean sheets contrast with goals conceded in each of the preceding three matches.
- Bukayo Saka has one goal and one assist in the tournament; Eberechi Eze and Jurrien Timber have also scored.
Defensive absences and midfield return
William Saliba remains unavailable, while Christos Tzolis is out with a hamstring injury. Piero Hincapie has resumed training after an ankle injury, and Martin Zubimendi has returned to fitness. Hincapie's training return does not confirm a starting role. No probable XI or formation has been supplied.
- Nottingham Forestaway1:0
- Lille OSChome3:0
- Leeds Unitedhome2:1
- Brighton & Hove Albionaway0:3
- Ipswich Townaway4:2
Recent meetings offer no clear leader
The three official meetings in the last five years produced one win each and one draw. Arsenal lead the aggregate scoring 5–4. Two matches featured four goals and BTTS; the exception was Bayern's 1–0 home victory in April 2024. Arsenal won the latest encounter 3–1 in November 2025, but that result came in London.
- 26.11.2025Arsenal3:1Bayern MunichUEFA Champions League (League stage)
- 17.04.2024Bayern Munich1:0ArsenalChampions League (Play-off)
- 09.04.2024Arsenal2:2Bayern MunichChampions League (Play-off)
- 18.07.2019Arsenal2:1Bayern MunichInternational Champions Cup
- 19.07.2017Bayern Munich1:2ArsenalАЗИЯ: Международный кубок чемпионов
Ambition and the preparation schedule
Kane expects a difficult match and says Bayern are ready for the challenge. Mikel Arteta has stated Arsenal's ambition to reach another Champions League final; his team have won their last 14 group- and league-phase fixtures. Bayern last played on 17 October, Arsenal on 18 October, leaving the hosts an extra calendar day between matches. No independent expert opinions are supplied.
Line-ups
Bayern Munich
Starting XI: 1. Manuel Neuer, 2. Dayot Upamecano, 3. Kim Min-Jae, 7. Serge Gnabry, 8. Tom Bischof, 9. Harry Kane, 19. Alphonso Davies, 27. Konrad Laimer, 34. Ismael Saibari, 44. Josip Stanisic, 45. Aleksandar Pavlovic
Substitutes: 4. Jonathan Tah, 11. Nathaniel Brown, 14. Luis Fernando Diaz Marulanda, 21. Hiroki Ito, 23. Sacha Boey, 26. Sven Ulreich, 39. Bara Sapoko Ndiaye, 40. Jonas Urbig, 42. Lennart Karl, 46. Tim Binder
Coach: Vincent Kompany
Arsenal
Starting XI: 1. David Raya, 6. Magalhaes Gabriel, 7. Bukayo Saka, 8. Martin Odegaard, 12. Jurrien Timber, 15. Ezri Konsa, 20. Noni Madueke, 29. Kai Havertz, 33. Riccardo Calafiori, 39. Bruno Guimaraes, 41. Declan Rice
Substitutes: 3. Cristhian Mosquera, 4. Ben White, 10. Eberechi Eze, 13. Kepa Arrizabalaga, 14. Viktor Gyokeres, 23. Mikel Merino, 30. Illan Meslier, 36. Martin Zubimendi Ibanez, 49. Myles Lewis-Skelly, 56. Max Dowman
Coach: Mikel Arteta
Our pick: goals at both ends
Our bet for Bayern Munich against Arsenal at the Allianz Arena is Both Teams To Score - Yes 1.51. Bayern have scored in all five recent matches but conceded in four: their attacking output has not translated into reliable protection at the other end. Arsenal have scored in four of their last five, so backing them to exploit those openings does not require an exceptional attacking performance.
According to media reports, William Saliba is unavailable and Manuel Neuer remains doubtful, weakening Arsenal’s central defence and possibly Bayern’s last line. Bayern’s own attacking absences temper confidence, but Harry Kane and Luis Diaz have each scored in this Champions League campaign; Bukayo Saka has a goal and an assist for Arsenal. A 2-1 Bayern win is the projected score.
Final assessment
Both Teams To Score - Yes 1.51 is our selection: Bayern’s scoring consistency and defensive concessions make an exchange of goals more persuasive than a clean-sheet outcome.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- RasenBallsport Leipzighome6:1
- Vikingaway3:3
- Augsburgaway2:2
- Union Berlinhome7:0
- Elversbergaway2:1
- Nottingham Forestaway1:0
- Lille OSChome3:0
- Leeds Unitedhome2:1
- Brighton & Hove Albionaway0:3
- Ipswich Townaway4:2
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 7 | Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 8 | Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 13 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 14 | Bayern Munich | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 |
| 15 | Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 4 |
Head-to-head
- 26.11.2025Arsenal3:1Bayern MunichUEFA Champions League (League stage)
- 17.04.2024Bayern Munich1:0ArsenalChampions League (Play-off)
- 09.04.2024Arsenal2:2Bayern MunichChampions League (Play-off)
- 18.07.2019Arsenal2:1Bayern MunichInternational Champions Cup
- 19.07.2017Bayern Munich1:2ArsenalАЗИЯ: Международный кубок чемпионов
About the match
- 21 October · 15:00 New York
- Venue: Allianz Arena (Munich), Myunkhen
Odds
odds before kick-off
Home edge, with support for Arsenal
Bayern are the 1X2 favourites at a margin-free probability of 46.2%, below an even chance. Arsenal are assessed at 29.1% and the draw at 24.8%. The away-win price has shortened over the last 24 hours, while the home-win and draw lines have shown no notable movement.
The goals markets lean towards Over 2.5 at 59.4% and BTTS at 61.6%, both unchanged. That expectation fits Bayern's recent scoring pattern, but Arsenal's clean European record provides a counterweight. These are market assessments rather than a predicted result.
Our prediction
- Market
- Both Teams To Score - Yes
- Odds
- 1.51
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 62%
- Market estimate
- 63%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.51
- Potential win
- 51 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.47
- Status
- won
- Profit
- +51 $
