Bundesliga Prediction: Werder Bremen vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen
TSG 1899 HoffenheimWerder Bremen host TSG 1899 Hoffenheim at the Weserstadion on October 31 in Bundesliga round eight. Sixth-placed Werder have 12 points, three more than their tenth-placed visitors. Hoffenheim can draw level with the hosts; Bremen are five points behind leaders Bayern Munich.
Werder: productive attack, no clean sheets
Recent form and home performance
Werder's last three league games brought draws against Dortmund and Paderborn, both 2:2, followed by a 3:2 win at Mainz. Their subsequent cup visit to Dortmund ended in a 3:2 defeat. Those four competitive matches produced nine goals scored and nine conceded; the earlier 7:0 friendly defeat at Twente should be treated separately.
Strengths and weaknesses
- At home, Bremen are unbeaten in three league matches: two wins, one draw and an 8:5 goal balance.
- They have scored 15 league goals, but conceded 14 without recording a clean sheet.
- BTTS has landed in all seven league games, with Over 2.5 goals in six; this remains a short sample.
Personnel and attacking options
Daniel Thioune has Olivier Deman doubtful. Niclas Fullkrug and Ludovit Reis each have two league goals in three appearances, while Marco Grull has two assists. A confirmed probable XI and formation are unavailable.
- Borussia Dortmundaway2:3
- 1. FSV Mainz 05away3:2
- Paderborn 07home2:2
- Borussia Dortmundaway2:2
- Twenteaway0:7
Hoffenheim: recent wins meet a depleted squad
Results and the away split
Hoffenheim won three of their last five matches: 2:1 at Monchengladbach, then 3:0 against both Lyon and Leverkusen. Defeats against Besiktas and Holstein bracketed that sequence, leaving 12 goals scored and six conceded. Their league away record is less convincing: one win and two defeats, with five goals scored and seven allowed.
What the scoring record reveals
- All seven league matches have cleared Over 2.5 goals.
- BTTS has occurred six times, with just one league clean sheet.
- A 14:14 league goal balance shows attacking output matched by defensive losses.
Absences across Ilzer's squad
Christian Ilzer is without injured Bernardo, Albian Hajdari, Patrick Wimmer, Nathan De Cat and Alexander Prass; Luis Engelns is suspended until January 29, 2027. Max Moerstedt, Valentin Gendrey, Bambase Conte and Tim Lemperle are doubtful. Prass has two goals and an assist, while Conte has two goals: their availability directly affects the attacking options. No probable XI or formation is confirmed.
- Holsteinaway1:2
- Bayer 04 Leverkusenhome3:0
- Lyonhome3:0
- Borussia Monchengladbachaway2:1
- Besiktashome2:3
Recent meetings favour the visitors
Hoffenheim have won six of the eight official meetings listed, with Werder winning twice and no draws. The aggregate goal count is 17:11 to Hoffenheim, averaging 3.5 per match. Both teams scored in the first six, but Bremen failed to score in either meeting during 2026. Hoffenheim also won all four of these fixtures played in Bremen.
- 09.05.2026TSG 1899 Hoffenheim1:0Werder BremenGermany. Bundesliga
- 27.01.2026Werder Bremen0:2TSG 1899 HoffenheimGermany. Bundesliga
- 01.08.2025Werder Bremen0:1TSG 1899 HoffenheimClub Friendlies
- 16.02.2025Werder Bremen1:3TSG 1899 HoffenheimGermany. Bundesliga
- 29.09.2024TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3:4Werder BremenGermany. Bundesliga
News coverage needs a calendar distinction
Pre-match coverage highlights Werder's league improvement and Hoffenheim's victory over Leverkusen. The reports describing each side's “last three” games do not reflect the complete latest all-competition sequence, which includes midweek cup defeats. No expert opinions are supplied.
Our Prediction
The recommended bet is Both Teams To Score - Yes 1.33. Werder Bremen have seen both teams score in all seven Bundesliga matches, while Hoffenheim have produced the same outcome in six of seven. Bremen average 2.14 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per league game, with no clean sheet; Hoffenheim also average 2.00 for and against.
The recent sequence supports an open match: Werder scored in four of their last five and conceded in all five, while Hoffenheim found the net in each of their last five games in all competitions. Bernardo, Albian Hajdari and Patrick Wimmer are unavailable for the visitors, while Max Moerstedt, Bambase Conte and Tim Lemperle are doubtful. Werder’s Olivier Deman is also questionable. A 2:2 scoreline fits the statistical profile and the selected market.
Conclusion
Both Teams To Score - Yes 1.33 is the preferred outcome. Seven consecutive Werder league matches with goals at both ends, combined with Hoffenheim’s reliable attack and defensive losses, gives this selection the clearest support.
FAQ
When does Werder Bremen — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim kick off?
The match starts on 31.10.2026 at 10:30 (New York), Weserstadion (Bremen).
What is the prediction for Werder Bremen — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?
Our pick is Both Teams To Score - Yes at 1.33.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Werder Bremen win — 39%, draw — 23%, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win — 37%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Borussia Dortmundaway2:3
- 1. FSV Mainz 05away3:2
- Paderborn 07home2:2
- Borussia Dortmundaway2:2
- Twenteaway0:7
- Holsteinaway1:2
- Bayer 04 Leverkusenhome3:0
- Lyonhome3:0
- Borussia Monchengladbachaway2:1
- Besiktashome2:3
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | RasenBallsport Leipzig | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:14 | 12 |
| 7 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 10 |
| 8 | Elversberg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:15 | 10 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | 9 |
| 10 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 9 |
| 11 | Hamburger | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | 9 |
Head-to-head
- 09.05.2026TSG 1899 Hoffenheim1:0Werder BremenGermany. Bundesliga
- 27.01.2026Werder Bremen0:2TSG 1899 HoffenheimGermany. Bundesliga
- 01.08.2025Werder Bremen0:1TSG 1899 HoffenheimClub Friendlies
- 16.02.2025Werder Bremen1:3TSG 1899 HoffenheimGermany. Bundesliga
- 29.09.2024TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3:4Werder BremenGermany. Bundesliga
About the match
- 31 October · 10:30 New York
- Venue: Weserstadion (Bremen)
- Weather: 12° · precip. 0% · wind 1.2 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 31.10 06:20
A narrow away edge in the market
The 1X2 market makes Hoffenheim favourites at 42.8%, against 33.8% for Werder and 23.4% for the draw. That is a modest away advantage rather than a majority expectation. No notable movement has occurred over the last 24 hours.
BTTS is assessed at 68.9%, while Under 3.5 goals holds a narrower edge at 52.5%. The distinction matters: confidence in both attacks scoring is considerably stronger than confidence in the match reaching four goals.
Our prediction
- Market
- Both Teams To Score - Yes
- Current odds
- 1.33
- Odds at prediction
- 1.35
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 69%
- Market estimate
- 70%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match
