VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Monchengladbach Match Prediction in Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart
Borussia MonchengladbachMore picks
- 2nd half: Total Over (1.5) 1.48 won
- Yellow cards: Total Under (4.5) 1.3 lost
Match result
VfB Stuttgart 2:3 Borussia Monchengladbach (1:1, 1:2)
The Germany Bundesliga match between VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Monchengladbach ended in a 2:3 result. The score was 1:1 in the first period and 1:2 in the second. With VfB Stuttgart scoring twice, our prediction for Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) was successful, and the bet won.
Our prediction: Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) at 1.26 — the bet won.
Our prediction: Half 2: Total Over (1.5) at 1.48 — the bet won.
Stuttgart host Borussia Monchengladbach at the MHP Arena in Bundesliga round 7 on 23 October. The hosts are 13th with six points; the visitors are bottom without a point. Stuttgart must balance European commitments with league improvement, while Gladbach seek their first Bundesliga points of the season.
Stuttgart: stronger recent results than league position
Form and home record
Stuttgart have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five matches across all competitions. A friendly victory inflates that record. Their latest league outing ended in a 1:0 defeat at Hamburg. At home in the Bundesliga, they have one win and one loss, with four goals scored and two conceded.
Attacking output and defensive limits
The hosts have scored eight and conceded 10 in six league fixtures. BTTS and Over 2.5 goals have each occurred three times, with just one clean sheet.
Availability and selection
Tiago Tomas is ruled out, reducing the wing options. Maximilian Mittelstadt has recovered and is starting again; Nikolas Nartey is available but not ready to start. The complete probable lineup, formation and suspension status remain unconfirmed.
Stuttgart played their European fixture at home, avoiding travel.
- Atletico Madridhome1:1
- Hamburgeraway0:1
- Slovan Bratislavaaway3:0
- Paderborn 07away2:0
- Greuther Furthhome5:0
Gladbach: attacking returns cannot cover the concessions
Recent results and away difficulties
Gladbach's last five matches brought one win, one draw and three defeats, with nine goals scored and nine conceded. Both unbeaten results came in friendlies. Their latest competitive matches were defeats at Cologne and at home to Hoffenheim. Away in the league, they have lost all three fixtures, scoring just once and conceding 10.
The imbalance behind last place
Across six Bundesliga matches, Gladbach have eight goals for and 20 against: the same scoring total as Stuttgart, but twice as many conceded. Every league fixture has exceeded 2.5 goals, four have featured BTTS, and none has yielded a clean sheet. They have scored in all five recent matches across competitions, but that run contrasts with their weak away league return.
Personnel information
Gladbach's injuries, suspensions, expected lineup and formation remain unconfirmed, preventing an assessment of how absences or selection changes might affect their defending.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheimhome1:2
- 1. Kolnaway1:2
- St. Pauliaway1:1
- Sportfreunde Siegenaway3:0
- 1. FSV Mainz 05home3:4
Previous meetings favour Stuttgart
Stuttgart have won six of the nine official meetings over the past five years, with Gladbach winning three and no draws. Of the eight listed encounters, six exceeded 2.5 goals and five featured BTTS. Stuttgart won the two most recent meetings without conceding. The last four meetings at this venue brought three home wins and one Gladbach victory.
- 25.01.2026Borussia Monchengladbach0:3VfB StuttgartGermany. Bundesliga
- 30.08.2025VfB Stuttgart1:0Borussia MonchengladbachGermany. Bundesliga
- 01.02.2025VfB Stuttgart1:2Borussia MonchengladbachGermany. Bundesliga
- 14.09.2024Borussia Monchengladbach1:3VfB StuttgartGermany. Bundesliga
- 18.05.2024VfB Stuttgart4:0Borussia MonchengladbachGermany. Bundesliga
European workload shapes the preparation
The draw with Atletico Madrid was Stuttgart's first dropped points in this season's Champions League. The additional European workload complicates their efforts to collect Bundesliga points.
Line-ups
VfB Stuttgart
Starting XI: 3. Ramon Hendriks, 6. Angelo Stiller, 7. Maximilian Mittelstadt, 9. Ermedin Demirovic, 10. Chris Fuhrich, 16. Atakan Karazor, 17. Dzenan Pejcinovic, 22. Lorenz Assignon, 29. Finn Jeltsch, 41. Dennis Seimen, 44. Leo Sauer
Substitutes: 1. Fabian Bredlow, 2. Ameen Al Dakhil, 11. Bilal El Khannous, 18. Jamie Leweling, 20. Leonidas Stergiou, 21. Grischa Promel, 24. Julian Chabot, 26. Deniz Undav, 47. Yanik Spalt
Coach: Sebastian Hoeness
Borussia Monchengladbach
Starting XI: 1. Moritz Nicolas, 2. Fabio Chiarodia, 10. Florian Neuhaus, 14. Daiki Hashioka, 16. Philipp Sander, 18. Shuto Machino, 26. Lukas Ullrich, 29. Joseph Scally, 36. Wael Mohya, 38. Hugo Bolin, 47. Zento Uno
Substitutes: 7. Kevin Stoger, 20. David Herold, 22. Yukhym Konoplia, 25. Robin Hack, 33. Daniel Batz, 34. Mathieu Nguefack, 35. Uwakhonye Josiah, 39. Iaia Manco Danfa, 48. Lion Schweers
Coach: Alexander Blessin
Our scoring pick
Our bet is Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) 1.26. Gladbach have lost all six league matches, conceding 20 goals, an average of 3.33 per game. Their away record is particularly relevant: 10 conceded across three defeats. Stuttgart need two goals for this selection, rather than a win or a high-scoring contribution from both sides.
The hosts have scored four times in two home league fixtures, although that is a small sample. Staying in Stuttgart after hosting Atletico Madrid removes the need to travel, easing one part of the European workload rather than eliminating fatigue. According to media reports, Tiago Tomas is unavailable, while Maximilian Mittelstadt has returned to the starting lineup. Stuttgart scored three in the latest meeting with Gladbach. Predicted score: 2:1.
Final verdict
Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) 1.26 targets Gladbach's defensive weakness without relying on Stuttgart keeping a clean sheet. The visitors' away concessions make two home goals the preferred angle.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Atletico Madridhome1:1
- Hamburgeraway0:1
- Slovan Bratislavaaway3:0
- Paderborn 07away2:0
- Greuther Furthhome5:0
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheimhome1:2
- 1. Kolnaway1:2
- St. Pauliaway1:1
- Sportfreunde Siegenaway3:0
- 1. FSV Mainz 05home3:4
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11:14 | 6 |
| 14 | VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | 6 |
| 15 | Schalke 04 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 5 |
| 16 | Paderborn 07 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:17 | 5 |
| 18 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11:22 | 3 |
Head-to-head
- 25.01.2026Borussia Monchengladbach0:3VfB StuttgartGermany. Bundesliga
- 30.08.2025VfB Stuttgart1:0Borussia MonchengladbachGermany. Bundesliga
- 01.02.2025VfB Stuttgart1:2Borussia MonchengladbachGermany. Bundesliga
- 14.09.2024Borussia Monchengladbach1:3VfB StuttgartGermany. Bundesliga
- 18.05.2024VfB Stuttgart4:0Borussia MonchengladbachGermany. Bundesliga
About the match
- 23 October · 14:30 New York
- Venue: MHP Arena (Stuttgart)
Odds
odds before kick-off
A clear favourite, with goals also prominent
The 1X2 market puts Stuttgart's win probability at 69.2%, the draw at 16.9% and Gladbach's at 14%. Over 3.5 goals is assessed at 55.3%, while BTTS stands at 65.1%. None of the listed markets has moved noticeably over the past 24 hours.
Gladbach's away scoring makes BTTS the less convincing goals angle; their defensive record offers stronger support for Over 3.5 goals.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 1 Over (1.5)
- Odds
- 1.26
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 74%
- Market estimate
- 77%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.26
- Potential win
- 26 $
- Odds at kick-off
- 1.22
- Status
- won
- Profit
- +26 $