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Bundesliga Prediction: Union Berlin vs 1. Koln Match Preview

Germany. Bundesliga· Tour 8
Union BerlinUnion Berlin
09:30
1 November · New York
1. Koln1. Koln
12.7236%
X3.7826%
22.6138%
Our prediction
Individual Total 2 Over (1) 1.43
our estimate 67% · market 66% The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match

Union Berlin host 1. Koln at An der Alten Forsterei on November 1 in Bundesliga round 8. Union are 17th with 6 points; Koln sit 12th with 8. The table positions underline the closeness of the meeting. Both return to league action after meeting in the cup on October 27.

Union Berlin
Union BerlinLast 5: 2 W, 2 D, 1 L

Union Berlin: home resistance, limited scoring

Recent results and venue split

Union have two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five matches, including a friendly. Their latest three league results were a 1:0 win over Elversberg, a goalless draw with Borussia Dortmund and a 1:1 draw at Augsburg. At home this league season, they have one win, two draws and one defeat, scoring five and conceding six: a less exposed defence than their overall record suggests.

Strengths and weaknesses in numbers

  • League scoring averages just 0.86 goals per match, limiting their margin for defensive errors.
  • They concede 2.57 per league game, although two of seven matches ended with clean sheets.
  • BTTS has occurred in three of seven league fixtures, so defensive vulnerability has not consistently produced goals at both ends.

Availability and attacking options

Andrik Markgraf is out with a cruciate ligament injury, Felix Uduokhai is suspended following a sending-off, and Alexis Claude-Maurice is doubtful. Sima Suso has returned to the squad. Janik Haberer and Livan Burcu each have one league goal, leaving neither with a substantial scoring return to offset the team's low output.

Recent matches
  • 1. Kolnaway0:5
  • Augsburgaway1:1
  • Borussia Dortmundhome0:0
  • Elversberghome1:0
  • Rijekaaway1:0
1. Koln
1. KolnLast 5: 2 W, 2 D, 1 L

Koln: away results lag behind home performances

Form before the trip to Berlin

Koln also have two wins, two draws and one defeat across their last five outings, including a friendly. In the league, their recent sequence is a 2:1 victory over Borussia Monchengladbach, a 1:0 defeat at Eintracht Frankfurt and a goalless draw with Schalke. The contrast is geographical: all three league away games have ended in defeat, with two goals scored and seven conceded.

Scoring and defensive indicators

  • Their league attack averages 1.14 goals per match, better than Union's but still modest.
  • They concede 1.57 per league game and have kept just one clean sheet in seven.
  • BTTS has landed in five of seven league matches; four exceeded the 2.5-goal threshold, the same total as Union.

Absences across the squad

Thijs Dallinga is out with a cruciate ligament injury, Ellyes Skhiri with a syndesmosis tear, Timo Hubers with a knee injury and Rav van den Berg with a muscle injury. Ragnar Ache is doubtful with a muscular problem. Isak Johannesson and Said El Mala each have one league goal; Linton Maina has one assist.

Recent matches
  • Union Berlinhome5:0
  • Schalke 04home0:0
  • Eintracht Frankfurtaway0:1
  • Borussia Monchengladbachhome2:1
  • Viktoria Kolnaway2:2

Head-to-head: a longer Union edge, a recent reversal

Union lead the nine official meetings over five years with four wins against two defeats and three draws. Yet Koln won the latest encounter 5:0 in the cup on October 27.

Union Berlin wins 9draws 31. Koln wins 3
  • 27.10.20261. Koln5:0Union BerlinGermany DFB Pokal
  • 02.05.2026Union Berlin2:21. KolnGermany. Bundesliga
  • 20.12.20251. Koln0:1Union BerlinGermany. Bundesliga
  • 11.05.20241. Koln3:2Union BerlinGermany. Bundesliga
  • 20.12.2023Union Berlin2:01. KolnGermany. Bundesliga

Team news without a confirmed tactical picture

The available squad updates are listed above.

Our Prediction

Union Berlin meet 1. Koln at An der Alten Forsterei with both clubs near the bottom of the Bundesliga: Union are 17th with 6 points, while Koln sit 12th on 8. The market rates the teams almost equally, but the key matchup is Union’s vulnerable defence against a Koln attack that scored five goals in the latest meeting.

Our pick is Individual Total 2 Over (1) 1.43. In the recent German Cup match, Koln defeated Union 5:0, creating a direct and highly relevant reference point only five days before this fixture. Union have conceded 18 goals in seven league games, an average of 2.57 per match, and Felix Uduohai is suspended after his dismissal. Markgraf is also unavailable with a cruciate ligament injury, while Alexis Claude-Maurice is doubtful. Koln have scored 8 league goals and found the net in 3 of their last 5 matches, including that five-goal performance against this defence. Their away record is poor at 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, but the recent head-to-head attack and Union’s defensive absences support at least two Koln goals. Probable score: 1:2.

Conclusion

Individual Total 2 Over (1) 1.43 is the selection. Koln’s recent 5:0 win, combined with Union’s 18 conceded goals and a suspended player, makes the visitors’ goal total the clearest angle.

FAQ

When does Union Berlin — 1. Koln kick off?

The match starts on 01.11.2026 at 09:30 (New York), An der Alten Forsterei (Berlin).

What is the prediction for Union Berlin — 1. Koln?

Our pick is Individual Total 2 Over (1) at 1.43.

What are the teams’ chances?

By market estimate: Union Berlin win — 36%, draw — 26%, 1. Koln win — 38%.

Chances by market estimate

Union Berlin36%
Draw26%
1. Koln38%

Team form

Union Berlin
Union BerlinLast 5: 2 W, 2 D, 1 L
  • 1. Kolnaway0:5
  • Augsburgaway1:1
  • Borussia Dortmundhome0:0
  • Elversberghome1:0
  • Rijekaaway1:0
1. Koln
1. KolnLast 5: 2 W, 2 D, 1 L
  • Union Berlinhome5:0
  • Schalke 04home0:0
  • Eintracht Frankfurtaway0:1
  • Borussia Monchengladbachhome2:1
  • Viktoria Kolnaway2:2

Standings

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13Hamburger73046:169
141. Koln72238:118
15Eintracht Frankfurt722310:178
16Schalke 0481344:96
17Union Berlin71336:186
18Borussia Monchengladbach811611:224

Head-to-head

Union Berlin wins 9draws 31. Koln wins 3
  • 27.10.20261. Koln5:0Union BerlinGermany DFB Pokal
  • 02.05.2026Union Berlin2:21. KolnGermany. Bundesliga
  • 20.12.20251. Koln0:1Union BerlinGermany. Bundesliga
  • 11.05.20241. Koln3:2Union BerlinGermany. Bundesliga
  • 20.12.2023Union Berlin2:01. KolnGermany. Bundesliga

About the match

  • 1 November · 09:30 New York
  • Venue: An der Alten Forsterei (Berlin), Berlin
  • Weather: 10° · precip. 0% · wind 0.8 m/s

Odds

Match result
W12.72
X3.78
W22.61
Double chance
1X1.56
121.31
2X1.52
Handicaps
Handicap 1 (-1)4.44
Handicap 1 (0)1.94
Handicap 1 (1)1.26
Handicap 2 (-1)3.92
Handicap 2 (0)1.86
Handicap 2 (1)1.21
Totals
Total Over (2)1.33
Total Over (2.5)1.71
Total Over (3)2.16
Total Under (2)3.32
Total Under (2.5)2.14
Total Under (3)1.7
Team totals
Individual Total 2 Over (1)1.43
Both teams to score
Both Teams To Score - Yes1.55
Both Teams To Score - No2.32

Odds updated 01.11 02:50

Market: a narrow away lean

Koln are marginal favourites at 37.6%, against 36.9% for Union and 25.6% for the draw. That is close to an even assessment of the teams rather than a strong endorsement of the visitors. Their away record contrasts with that slight market preference.

Over 2.5 goals carries a 58.3% market probability, while BTTS is assessed at 61.6%. The latter sits closer to Koln's league pattern than Union's. Neither the 1X2 market nor the goal markets has shown notable movement over the past 24 hours; seven league games per team remain a small sample.

Our prediction

Market
Individual Total 2 Over (1)
Current odds
1.43
Odds at prediction
1.4
Confidence
Our estimate
67%
Market estimate
66%
Status
pending

The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match

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