Borussia Monchengladbach vs Paderborn 07: Bundesliga Match Prediction
Borussia Monchengladbach
Paderborn 07Borussia Monchengladbach host Paderborn 07 at Ista Borussia-Park in Bundesliga round 8 on 31 October. The hosts are bottom with 3 points; the visitors sit 13th with 8. Paderborn can increase their cushion over a direct relegation rival.
Gladbach: recovery meets a fragile home record
Recent results and scoring balance
Gladbach's last five matches brought two wins, one draw and two defeats. The latest results, 3:2 at Stuttgart and 2:0 against Karlsruher in the cup, mark an improvement after league defeats to Koln and Hoffenheim. Their Bundesliga home record remains three defeats from three, with seven goals scored and ten conceded: attacking output has not protected them from defensive losses.
Strengths and weaknesses
The hosts have scored in all five recent fixtures, but their league concession rate is 3.14 per match. All seven Bundesliga games exceeded 2.5 goals, five featured BTTS, and none produced a clean sheet. Joseph Scally and Wael Mohya each have two goals and one assist in three appearances. Those contributions offer attacking alternatives, though seven league matches remain a small sample for judging longer-term trends.
Returning options and absences
Isac Lidberg, Daiki Hashioka and Leonidas Stergiou have returned; Nicolas Kuhn is set for his first involvement, Jens Castrop is available, and Ko Itakura impressed in a holding role in the cup. Yefym Konoplya also made his first start. Hugo Bolin, Franck Honorat, Kevin Diks, Jan Leszczynski, Fritz Fleck, Tim Kleindienst and Enzo Leopold are unavailable through injury. Philipp Sander was sent off in the cup; he is suspended and will miss the next game.
- Karlsruherhome2:0
- VfB Stuttgartaway3:2
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheimhome1:2
- 1. Kolnaway1:2
- St. Pauliaway1:1
Paderborn: defensive economy, limited away threat
A mixed sequence under Kettemann
Ralf Kettemann's side also have two wins, one draw and two losses across their last five fixtures. Their recent league sequence was a 0:2 defeat to Stuttgart, a 2:2 draw at Werder Bremen and a 1:0 win over Hamburg, followed by a 0:1 cup exit against Stuttgart. Away in the Bundesliga, two draws and one defeat have yielded two goals for and five against.
Where their balance differs
Paderborn concede 1.29 goals per league game, substantially fewer than their hosts, but score just 0.86. Two clean sheets in seven underline their greater defensive restraint; BTTS occurred twice and Over 2.5 goals three times. Their challenge is turning that restraint into away chances rather than relying on Gladbach's defensive errors.
Shape and attacking personnel
Alexander Blessin describes Paderborn as a cohesive 5-3-2 team, strong defensively and in ball-winning. Steffen Tigges has one goal and one assist in three appearances; Stefano Marino and Rayan Philippe each have one goal over the same appearance count.
- VfB Stuttgarthome0:1
- Hamburgerhome1:0
- Werder Bremenaway2:2
- VfB Stuttgarthome0:2
- D.C. Unitedaway1:0
Head-to-head
- 17.07.2021Paderborn 073:1Borussia MonchengladbachFriendlies
- 22.08.2020Paderborn 070:2Borussia MonchengladbachFriendly Club Tournament
- 20.06.2020Paderborn 071:3Borussia MonchengladbachGermany. Bundesliga
- 18.12.2019Borussia Monchengladbach2:0Paderborn 07Germany. Bundesliga
- 01.03.2015Borussia Monchengladbach2:0Paderborn 071. Bundesliga
Blessin prioritises execution over possession
Blessin wants Gladbach to maintain their momentum after the coaching change, stressing basic execution and warning against becoming overly focused on possession. Against Paderborn's compact structure, that points to the quality of progression rather than possession volume.
Our Prediction
Our pick is BTTS (both teams to score) - Yes 1.44. Borussia Monchengladbach have conceded 22 goals in seven Bundesliga matches, including 10 in three home fixtures. They have also scored in each of their latest five matches. A 3:2 win at Stuttgart and a 2:0 cup victory over Karlsruher show their attacking output, though the cup clean sheet does not address their league defensive record.
Paderborn have scored six goals in seven league games, including two at Werder Bremen, and drawn two of their three away fixtures. Both teams have scored in five of Gladbach’s seven league matches, and all seven have finished Over 2.5 goals.
Gladbach are without Hugo Bolin, Franck Honorat, Kevin Diks, Tim Kleindienst and others. Philipp Sander is suspended, although several players have returned to contention. Paderborn’s compact 5-3-2 may restrict chances, but their transitions can exploit a home defence without a Bundesliga clean sheet. Expected score: 2:1.
Conclusion
BTTS (both teams to score) - Yes 1.44 is the pick: Paderborn’s away scoring threat meets a vulnerable Gladbach defence, while the hosts continue to score.
FAQ
When does Borussia Monchengladbach — Paderborn 07 kick off?
The match starts on 31.10.2026 at 10:30 (New York), Ista Borussia-Park (Monchengladbach).
What is the prediction for Borussia Monchengladbach — Paderborn 07?
Our pick is Both Teams To Score - Yes at 1.44.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Borussia Monchengladbach win — 45%, draw — 24%, Paderborn 07 win — 31%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Karlsruherhome2:0
- VfB Stuttgartaway3:2
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheimhome1:2
- 1. Kolnaway1:2
- St. Pauliaway1:1
- VfB Stuttgarthome0:1
- Hamburgerhome1:0
- Werder Bremenaway2:2
- VfB Stuttgarthome0:2
- D.C. Unitedaway1:0
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1. Koln | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 13 | Paderborn 07 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | 8 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | 6 |
| 16 | Schalke 04 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | 6 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:18 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11:22 | 3 |
Head-to-head
- 17.07.2021Paderborn 073:1Borussia MonchengladbachFriendlies
- 22.08.2020Paderborn 070:2Borussia MonchengladbachFriendly Club Tournament
- 20.06.2020Paderborn 071:3Borussia MonchengladbachGermany. Bundesliga
- 18.12.2019Borussia Monchengladbach2:0Paderborn 07Germany. Bundesliga
- 01.03.2015Borussia Monchengladbach2:0Paderborn 071. Bundesliga
About the match
- 31 October · 10:30 New York
- Venue: Ista Borussia-Park (Monchengladbach)
- Weather: 12° · precip. 0% · wind 2 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 31.10 02:20
Home favouritism without majority confidence
The 1X2 market makes Gladbach favourites at 48.7%, short of an outright majority; the draw stands at 23.7% and an away win at 27.6%. BTTS carries a 64.6% assessment, while Under 3.5 goals is favoured at 56.9%. That combination anticipates scoring at both ends more readily than a high aggregate. None of these markets has moved noticeably over the past 24 hours.
Our prediction
- Market
- Both Teams To Score - Yes
- Current odds
- 1.44
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 65%
- Market estimate
- 65%
- Status
- pending
The bet will be placed 1–3 hours before the match
