Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction: Bundesliga preview
Borussia Dortmund
Eintracht FrankfurtBorussia Dortmund host Eintracht Frankfurt at Signal Iduna Park in Bundesliga round seven. Dortmund are level on points with leaders Bayern Munich, while Frankfurt sit six points behind the top side. The hosts can protect their position near the summit; the visitors need points to reduce the gap.
Dortmund: strong league base, uneven recent run
Results and performance
Dortmund have taken 14 points from six league games, scoring 11 goals and conceding four. Their last five across competitions brought two wins, two draws and a defeat, with five goals scored and four conceded. The sequence includes a 0–1 loss at Bodo-Glimt, a goalless draw at Union Berlin and a 2–1 win at Sabah. In the league, their three home matches produced seven goals and two conceded, with two wins and a draw. They kept four clean sheets in six league games, while both teams scored in only two of those matches.
Strengths, personnel and availability
Dortmund have conceded four goals in six league fixtures and scored seven in three home games. Creativity is the main concern: according to media reports, coach Niko Kovac has been forced to adopt a more defensive approach due to a shortage of creative attacking midfielders. Konstantinos Karetsas, Giannis Konstantelias and Justin Lerma are reported unavailable. Nico Schlotterbeck and Daniel Svensson have each scored once in the league, while Filipe Soares has one assist; each has played twice. Kovac recently extended his contract despite criticism from supporters.
- Sabah Bakuaway2:1
- Union Berlinaway0:0
- Bodo-Glimtaway0:1
- Werder Bremenhome2:2
- VfB Stuttgartaway1:0
Frankfurt: goals at both ends, especially away
Results and performance
Frankfurt have eight points from six league matches and rank 11th, with 10 goals scored and 16 conceded. Their last five across competitions yielded three wins, a draw and a loss, but the 4–0 friendly win over Eintracht Braunschweig should not be treated as equivalent to their league results. In the league, they beat Mainz 3–1, drew 2–2 with Freiburg, lost 0–6 at Leipzig and then edged Cologne 1–0. Frankfurt have scored in four of their last five and conceded in three. Both teams scored in four of their six league matches, over 2.5 goals landed in five, and they kept one clean sheet.
Strengths, vulnerabilities and squad notes
Frankfurt’s 10 goals provide an attacking route, but their 16 conceded are the most among the teams listed near them in the table. In three league away matches, they scored six goals and allowed 10, recording one win, one draw and one defeat. Younes Ebnoutalib has one league goal and Noel Aseko Nkili one assist, both in two appearances. The team comes off a 1–0 league win over Cologne.
- 1. Kolnhome1:0
- RasenBallsport Leipzigaway0:6
- Eintracht Braunschweighome4:0
- Freiburghome2:2
- 1. FSV Mainz 05away3:1
Recent meetings favour the hosts
Dortmund have won seven of the 10 official meetings across the last five years, with two draws and one Frankfurt victory. The latest listed encounter, in May 2026 at Signal Iduna Park, ended 3–2 to Dortmund. Across the eight most recent listed fixtures, Dortmund scored 20 goals and Frankfurt 12; six featured at least three goals. The latest home meeting also showed that Frankfurt can score at Signal Iduna Park.
- 08.05.2026Borussia Dortmund3:2Eintracht FrankfurtGermany. Bundesliga
- 09.01.2026Eintracht Frankfurt3:3Borussia DortmundGermany. Bundesliga
- 28.10.2025Eintracht Frankfurt1:2Borussia DortmundGermany DFB Pokal
- 17.01.2025Eintracht Frankfurt2:0Borussia DortmundGermany. Bundesliga
- 24.08.2024Borussia Dortmund2:0Eintracht FrankfurtGermany. Bundesliga
Team context before kickoff
Dortmund ended a three-match winless spell across competitions with the 2–1 victory at Sabah, according to media reports. The result may improve confidence, but the reported shortage of creative midfield options remains relevant alongside the three absences. Frankfurt arrive after beating Cologne, while the 0–6 defeat at Leipzig highlights their away defensive problems.
Our Prediction
Borussia Dortmund’s main advantage is the combination of league position and home production: 14 points from six Bundesliga matches, with 11 goals scored and only 4 conceded. At Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund have scored 7 times in three games. That attacking output is sufficient for the selected market even with the reported absences of Konstantinos Karetsas, Giannis Konstantelias and Justin Lerma, while the team’s recent 2:1 win over Sabah ended a three-match winless run.
Eintracht Frankfurt’s defensive record is the key matchup factor. They have conceded 16 goals in six league rounds, including 10 in three away fixtures. Dortmund have scored at least two goals in each of their last four listed home meetings with Frankfurt: 4:0, 3:1, 2:0 and 3:2. The market also assigns the hosts a 64.1% probability of winning, supporting a Dortmund-led game script. Our bet is Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) at 1.38. Probable score: 2:1.
Conclusion
Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) at 1.38 is supported by Dortmund’s 7 goals in three home league matches, Frankfurt’s 10 away goals conceded and the hosts’ recent scoring record in this fixture.
FAQ
When does Borussia Dortmund — Eintracht Frankfurt kick off?
The match starts on 24.10.2026 at 12:30 (New York), Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund).
What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund — Eintracht Frankfurt?
Our pick is Individual Total 1 Over (1.5) at 1.38.
What are the teams’ chances?
By market estimate: Borussia Dortmund win — 64%, draw — 19%, Eintracht Frankfurt win — 17%.
Chances by market estimate
Team form
- Sabah Bakuaway2:1
- Union Berlinaway0:0
- Bodo-Glimtaway0:1
- Werder Bremenhome2:2
- VfB Stuttgartaway1:0
- 1. Kolnhome1:0
- RasenBallsport Leipzigaway0:6
- Eintracht Braunschweighome4:0
- Freiburghome2:2
- 1. FSV Mainz 05away3:1
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 22:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:6 | 13 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 8 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 12 | 1. Koln | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
Head-to-head
- 08.05.2026Borussia Dortmund3:2Eintracht FrankfurtGermany. Bundesliga
- 09.01.2026Eintracht Frankfurt3:3Borussia DortmundGermany. Bundesliga
- 28.10.2025Eintracht Frankfurt1:2Borussia DortmundGermany DFB Pokal
- 17.01.2025Eintracht Frankfurt2:0Borussia DortmundGermany. Bundesliga
- 24.08.2024Borussia Dortmund2:0Eintracht FrankfurtGermany. Bundesliga
About the match
- 24 October · 12:30 New York
- Venue: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund), Dortmund
- Weather: 11° · precip. 0% · wind 5.9 m/s
Odds
Odds updated 23.10 13:20
Market view and line movement
The 1X2 market makes Dortmund the clear favourite, assigning the home win a 64.1% probability; the draw is at 19% and an away win at 16.9%. That is strong backing for the hosts, but confidence has softened: the home-win line has drifted, while the draw and away-win lines have shortened. The 3.5-goal total is almost evenly split, with a slight lean to Under at 50.5%; BTTS Yes stands at 64.1%. Dortmund’s four clean sheets and Frankfurt’s high concession rate point in opposite directions on the scoring market.
Our prediction
- Market
- Individual Total 1 Over (1.5)
- Current odds
- 1.38
- Confidence
- Our estimate
- 67%
- Market estimate
- 67%
- Stake amount
- 100 $ · 1.38
- Potential win
- 38 $
- Status
- pending
