Some sports books have released MLB win totals. Over the next few days, we’ll analyze the win totals by division and comments where we see some value. Today, we’ll focus on the American League West:
The odds-makers believe that Los Angeles will repeat as AL West champions, but Seattle is not far behind. Oakland traded away five of its seven All-Stars and lost the American League Wildcard game. Texas was completely derailed by injuries last season while Houston is building towards the future.
Los Angeles won 97 games last season, so the odds-makers are expecting a nine-win reduction. That win reduction can be attributed to its starting rotation. Jered Weaver struggled last season while CJ Wilson had the worst season of his career. Matt Shoemaker had a great rookie season, but can he repeat it as a 28-year-old, second-year player? Add in the Josh Hamilton drama and there are a lot of question marks surrounding this team.
Seattle won 87 games last season, so the odds-makers are expecting a similar result. Robinson Cano was a welcomed addition and Felix Hernandez had the best season of his career. The key to getting to the next level will be the maturation of James Paxton and Taijuan Walker.
Oakland always finds a way to compete, so some way see some value after winning 88 games last season. Still, Oakland is betting on Brett Lawrie to replace the production of Josh Donaldson. Jon Lester and Jeff Sarmardizja are also gone. Ben Zobrist and Yunel Escobar are experienced players that should help keep Oakland competitive.
Odds-makers are expecting a big bounce back campaign by Texas. Texas won just 67 games last season, so an 11-win jump seems lofty. Texas is hoping to get full seasons from Prince Fielder, Shin Soo Choo, Mitch Moreland, and Yu Darvish. Texas also traded for Yovani Gallardo to bolster its rotation.
Houston traded for Evan Gattis to bolster its line-up, but lacks the starting pitching to compete.
The odds-makers are expecting a lot of change in this division. Texas and Houston are projected to win 11 and 5 more games, respectively while Los Angeles and Oakland are expected to regress.
- Angels Under 88.5 Wins
- Astros Under 75.5 Wins